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re: Official Week 8 College Football Bet Thread
Posted on 10/21/15 at 9:01 pm to Carson123987
Posted on 10/21/15 at 9:01 pm to Carson123987
quote:
leaning K State +4.5 and ML hard
The only bet I've locked so far
1
Posted on 10/21/15 at 9:57 pm to Billy Mays
quote:
Auburn is still a fraud and matches up poorly with Arky. This game is one that Arky has had circled for a while now.
Lay them all day, seems like a relatively easy 14+ point win.
As an auburn fan myself, you could not be more off. We are jekel and Hyde. Always have been.
Would not be surprised if we get blown out, lose close, or win. I wouldn't touch that game.
Don't care what any spread sheet says
Posted on 10/21/15 at 11:30 pm to HailToTheChiz
After being at the LSU game last weekend and not watching any other games, I feel really out of the loop this weekend.
As of right now I took Arky -6 and K-State/Texas u51. It will be interesting to see if Snyders boys rise up or fall after that embarrassment vs OU.
As of right now I took Arky -6 and K-State/Texas u51. It will be interesting to see if Snyders boys rise up or fall after that embarrassment vs OU.
Posted on 10/22/15 at 2:00 am to maclauer
Joined you on Kansas State +4. What is not to love about the situation?
Posted on 10/22/15 at 2:58 am to Zipfer2022
Thursday Games...
App St -6
ECU -3
Does USC get down to 3 or lower? I've been watching all week and its not moving either way..
App St -6
ECU -3
Does USC get down to 3 or lower? I've been watching all week and its not moving either way..
Posted on 10/22/15 at 6:21 am to rawDAWG333
I think Temple is the play tonight. They're 6-0 and have a great run defense while catching 3 points on the road. I see them winning outright.
Temple
App State over
UCLA over
Will be my 3 plays this evening.
Temple
App State over
UCLA over
Will be my 3 plays this evening.
Posted on 10/22/15 at 9:42 am to 4LSU2
Hoping to end up with two plays this week... Ga Tech +7 and USC -3. Waiting for better prices and I think they'll come by kickoff. Have patience with these lines, public will be chasing with FSU and Utah late.
Posted on 10/22/15 at 9:45 am to ChemE in the OP
locked in
kstate +4.5
va tech -2.5
mia +7
waiting/watching
usc and gt
thinking on
arky -6
virginia +17.5
kentucky +11.5
kstate +4.5
va tech -2.5
mia +7
waiting/watching
usc and gt
thinking on
arky -6
virginia +17.5
kentucky +11.5
Posted on 10/22/15 at 10:11 am to oleyeller
Taking the over in the app st game. Both teams seem to put up points when not playing bigger teams
Posted on 10/22/15 at 11:07 am to hehatedrew
Added Miami +7.5 & Vandy +3
K-State +4.5
Texas A&M +6
Miami +7.5
Vandy +3
K-State +4.5
Texas A&M +6
Miami +7.5
Vandy +3
Posted on 10/22/15 at 11:21 am to HailToTheChiz
quote:
As an auburn fan myself, you could not be more off. We are jekel and Hyde. Always have been.
Would not be surprised if we get blown out, lose close, or win. I wouldn't touch that game.
Don't care what any spread sheet says
Contrary to what you may think, my opinion of this game has nothing to do with Auburn fan hot takes, Bert's bravado, the Weekly Bet Thread groupthink, or a spreadsheet.
Stats-wise, Auburn is a terrible team in key metrics such as yards per play and defensive efficiency.
On offense, my eyeball test shows me that Auburn cannot efficiently score points. They rely on dink and dunk passing, gadget plays for explosion, and generic power run with a non-threatening QB on zone read. Arky is well equipped to stop this with their defense that is weaker in the back 4 than front 7.
On defense, Auburn struggles in all facets, most notably stopping power run. Arky has a good power running game a QB that is accurate enough to abuse Auburn's secondary on 3rd down.
Arkansas also statistically has one of the best home-field advantages in the SEC, and is coming off a bye, so the intangibles favor them as well.
Arky -5.5 is one of my favorite lines of the week, and I expect an easy win.
This post was edited on 10/22/15 at 11:24 am
Posted on 10/22/15 at 11:26 am to Billy Mays
well k state is up to 7 point dogs lol and va tech is up to 3.5 favs
Posted on 10/22/15 at 11:28 am to oleyeller
quote:
well k state is up to 7 point dogs lol and va tech is up to 3.5 favs
I liked Va Tech @ 2 and 2.5, but the hook is not good considering this is more than likely a FG game.
Posted on 10/22/15 at 11:30 am to ChemE in the OP
I jumped on FSU -5.5. I wouldn't put any $ on GT only getting 7. FSU is hitting its peak right before GT. Golson is finally looking good. GT is a dumpster fire right now. This is the only game I'm not using pub #s when betting.
This post was edited on 10/22/15 at 11:36 am
Posted on 10/22/15 at 11:31 am to TheOcean
quote:
only game I'm not using pub #s when betting.
ironically you have zero bias in the game
Posted on 10/22/15 at 11:35 am to oleyeller
Have a ton of bias. But I wouldn't bet on FSU if I didn't think -5.5 to -7 wasn't a good bet. Solid post, though. You definitely called me out.
Posted on 10/22/15 at 11:37 am to TheOcean
it was a joke more than anything
Posted on 10/22/15 at 11:38 am to oleyeller
I'm starving and in class. Not a solid combo for detecting jokes on here
Posted on 10/22/15 at 11:49 am to TheOcean
I think you all will be buried on K-State
Posted on 10/22/15 at 11:50 am to accnodefense
I'm not touching that game.
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