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re: Official Week 8 College Football Bet Thread
Posted on 10/21/15 at 7:10 am to 4LSU2
Posted on 10/21/15 at 7:10 am to 4LSU2
What yall think about the over on temple ecu? It's like 52 right now. I like that app state and Georgia southern over as well at what, 63?
Never mind, didn't realize temples D was pretty damn good.
Never mind, didn't realize temples D was pretty damn good.
This post was edited on 10/21/15 at 11:05 am
1
Posted on 10/21/15 at 9:01 am to jp90
quote:
Any team that can give their qb a decent amount of time or has designed quick routes can pretty much throw at will against LSU right now.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 9:09 am to hehatedrew
Week 8 Game Sheets: LINK
Please keep in mind that this is the first week my sheets are no longer influenced by preseason estimates. Also this is the first week my model weights games, the first game a team played is worth 40% of the most recent game played.
Also the requested Western Kentucky-LSU sheet:
Please keep in mind that this is the first week my sheets are no longer influenced by preseason estimates. Also this is the first week my model weights games, the first game a team played is worth 40% of the most recent game played.
Also the requested Western Kentucky-LSU sheet:
Posted on 10/21/15 at 10:29 am to accnodefense
Thanks, ACC
Posted on 10/21/15 at 11:14 am to bamaatlsu
I may hold off on playing any totals based on my sheets this week. Method 5 is a bit too over-friendly, and looking at the math I need to switch the order of two processes. Although it may just be over-friendly because teams with good offenses/bad defenses and high possession per game rates are playing each other.
This post was edited on 10/21/15 at 11:17 am
Posted on 10/21/15 at 11:20 am to accnodefense
Updated card for this week:
FSU -5.5
WKU +15
Cuse +7
UVA +15.5
Miami +7
UTEP +6
Tulsa +10.5
UCF +21.5
Charlotte +15.5
Kent State +14.5
Buffalo +3
VT -2.5
Vandy +3
Will take USCw when the line moves to -3
FSU -5.5
WKU +15
Cuse +7
UVA +15.5
Miami +7
UTEP +6
Tulsa +10.5
UCF +21.5
Charlotte +15.5
Kent State +14.5
Buffalo +3
VT -2.5
Vandy +3
Will take USCw when the line moves to -3
This post was edited on 10/21/15 at 11:21 am
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:04 pm to TheOcean
locked va tech -2.5 and k state +4.5
waiting on
usc, gt, mia... and thinking on kentucky
waiting on
usc, gt, mia... and thinking on kentucky
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:11 pm to accnodefense
Your model loves Arky + Baylor. Interesting
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:20 pm to TheOcean
What's your record this year? I bet pretty much the opposite of you
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:25 pm to hehatedrew
quote:
What's your record this year? I bet pretty much the opposite of you
Probably the opposite of your record
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:28 pm to Chuckiee
I meant we were pretty much opposite this week, I doubt we do the same every week or he would be done betting for the year probably
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:41 pm to ATLtiger12
quote:
New to college football betting, but I had a decent week last week going 5-3-1. There are a lot of lines I like this week and would love to hear your all thoughts:
Clemson -6.5
Duke +2
Florida State -6.5
Utah +3.5
Alabama -14.5
Hate the Clemson play. Road game against a determined team.
Hate the Duke play. On the road, might as well take the Money Line for them, 2 points on the road is the same as 0, take the ML instead if you want to play Duke or wait for the line to hit 3.
Hate the Florida State play. Georgia Tech, while having a poor season, still has the ability to beat anyone, especially at home. Florida State has not been a covering team this year either.
Utah is a 50/50 play. I think that a team or two will get Utah before the year is over, and if I had to pick that team, it would be this USC game. Utah's defense is good, but offensively they are average at best.
Alabama is a game I would stay away from. Offensively they won't light up the scoreboard. This has the makings of one of those patented games where Alabama is never in danger of losing, but doesn't cover either, ala what they did against ULM and MTSU.
IMO there are better plays on the board than those 5.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:46 pm to accnodefense
Agreed - all of those sides are chalky and are already heavily bet by the public.
This post was edited on 10/21/15 at 12:47 pm
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:49 pm to Billy Mays
I took Utah but that's the only one on that list. Don't really feel great about it, so went light on it.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:50 pm to Chuckiee
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:52 pm to hehatedrew
The book is begging you to take Utah - it is the trap of all traps.
I wouldn't fault anyone for doing it tho - it looks so enticing.
I wouldn't fault anyone for doing it tho - it looks so enticing.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 1:07 pm to Billy Mays
quote:
The book is begging you to take Utah - it is the trap of all traps.
Yup - the half point hook confirms this. Even though Utah is getting 2/3 of the wagers.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 1:09 pm to accnodefense
I got it at 3 early this week
Posted on 10/21/15 at 2:12 pm to hehatedrew
I got arkansas -6 at home against auburn... thoughts?
Posted on 10/21/15 at 2:20 pm to hehatedrew
quote:
What's your record this year? I bet pretty much the opposite of you
Overall? Up slightly on CFB
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