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re: OFFICIAL Week 5 CFB Betting Thread

Posted on 9/23/14 at 12:56 pm to
Posted by BobRoss
Member since Jun 2014
1718 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 12:56 pm to
I like TCU. I may just unload against SMU all year.
Posted by Louie T
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2006
36584 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 12:56 pm to
RAS must have released Miami.
Posted by RandySavage
9 Time Natty Winner
Member since May 2012
34613 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

I may just unload against SMU all year.


I watched a lot of their game against A&M because I had money on it and they looked like the worst team I've ever seen at any level of football high school or above. Especially with that first QB they had out there.
Posted by BobRoss
Member since Jun 2014
1718 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 1:07 pm to
Are you taking TCU to cover?
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32567 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 1:45 pm to
I changed some of mine when i got better lines

marland +4.5
duke +7
tx am -8
nd -12
bc -6.5
tcu -31
Posted by RandySavage
9 Time Natty Winner
Member since May 2012
34613 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

Are you taking TCU to cover?


I'll have to research a little more on TCU because I haven't watched them play. I have no doubt they could easily cover if they wanted to but depending on their style and how quickly they put up points will determine if I put money on them or not.

What's the first half line? I usually prefer those more in games where it's a total mismatch. It's just hard to know when a coach is going to call off the dogs against a mismatched opponent.
Posted by theebuckeyenut
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Aug 2010
881 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 2:22 pm to
The smu team I saw on Saturday was one of the worst teams I've ever seen. They can't throw, they can't catch, they can't tackle
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32567 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

The smu team I saw on Saturday was one of the worst teams I've ever seen. They can't throw, they can't catch, they can't tackle


thats them! thats the one im betting against!
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25612 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 2:30 pm to
I'm a bit put off that TCU is essentially favored in this game by the same amount that TAMU was

Still laying 'em, zero fricks given
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32567 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 2:31 pm to
we can ride or die together
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

I'm a bit put off that TCU is essentially favored in this game by the same amount that TAMU was Still laying 'em, zero fricks given


One reason is that TCU actually has a defense. I expect 14 pts from the TCU D/special teams. And as far as TCUs offense goes, their tempo is top 5 in the country.
Posted by Veritas
Member since Feb 2005
9844 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:10 pm to
About to take Duke +7. Can't believe Duke is getting points...can someone put this into perspective, besides uneducated Miami fans just throwing money at their team driving the line up?

Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
81744 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:29 pm to
Contrarian POV:
Miami coming back home after keeping it close in lincoln.
Duke has beaten a bunch of nobody's. And this is a revenge game miami.
Id lean miami up till -4, 7 too steep
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:43 pm to
I'm perplexed by the line movement in that game myself. Only thing that eases my mind at all is the fact that the sharps have bet against Dook the last two weeks and lost.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 4:06 pm to
A&M down to -8, I'll add a few more bills if it hits 7.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25612 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 4:07 pm to
The only thing I can venture to say why this line has risen is RLM or big money bets. I do believe a lot of sharp bettors aren't buying Duke's weak schedule - Miami is clearly the more battle tested team this season. It surely isn't volume driving up the line, because the majority of the tickets are Duke tickets (2 out of 3).

The public will likely be on Duke in this game. IMO we won't see a 7.5, and this price is at an all-time high.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4288 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

Duke tickets (2 out of 3).


Where are you getting this info from? The website I use shows damn near 50/50
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25612 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 4:14 pm to
Oddshark - surely with the line climb money came in on Miami in the last few hours.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4288 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 4:20 pm to
I was just curious. Vegas Insider has it 52/48
Posted by Louie T
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2006
36584 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 4:20 pm to
RAS is on Miami.
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