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re: OFFICIAL Week 4 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 9/20/12 at 3:47 pm to
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48478 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

I don't think that would be a profitable move


Correct. The lines usually settle about 1.5 to 2 points off where he releases his picks.

Out of 5 picks, the line move may bite you once, but if the other 4 are on point, you will finish 4-1 comfortably even with the shittier lines.

I just pick the wrong totals to bet last weekend.
Posted by skullhawk
My house
Member since Nov 2007
27758 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

Probably some value in Fading him after hs picks move lines, wonder what the stats are on that?


last week analyzed. First # is the RAS play, 2nd # is after the lines adjusted, and last # is the actual total.

Michigan/UMASS U57 - 45.5 - 76
Texas/Ole Miss O47.5 - 51 - 97
Maryland/UCONN U42.5 - 40.5 - 45
UTEP/New Mexico St O55 - 59 - 69
SMU/Texas A&M O58 - 60.5 - 51
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48478 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 4:38 pm to
quote:

Michigan/UMASS U57 - 45.5 - 76


Michigan's total closed at 55, not 45.5..
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 5:20 pm to
I was selected as one of three finalists for the CIR/RAS job.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48478 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 5:25 pm to
quote:

I was selected as one of three finalists for the CIR/RAS job.


??
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 5:28 pm to
Posted by CE Tiger
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
41904 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 5:28 pm to


Better give tots a finder fee
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48478 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 5:31 pm to
quote:

I was selected as one of three finalists for the CIR/RAS job.


If one of your perks is getting their picks before they get released to the public, you better be emailing that shite out to us.
This post was edited on 9/20/12 at 5:32 pm
Posted by 4LSU2
Member since Dec 2009
38063 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 5:34 pm to
I took the over of 50 in tonight's game.

Good luck to all.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82190 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 5:36 pm to
quote:

I was selected as one of three finalists for the CIR/RAS job.

For real?????? Thats awesome!!!
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 5:41 pm to
Chatting with RAS on Google Talk right now.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82190 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 5:56 pm to
No shite man! I better get some kickbacks from hooking you up with this if you get it.


ETA: As in picks!
This post was edited on 9/20/12 at 5:56 pm
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 6:00 pm to
Just finished. Said he'll let me know when he chats with the other finalists. If I was selected and it worked out, I would have a chance to help out with general research for the handicapping team.

Hopefully I'll have the inside scoop. Tots will have number 1 spot on my email list.
This post was edited on 9/20/12 at 6:03 pm
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82190 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

Hopefully I'll have the inside scoop. Tots will have number 1 spot on my email list.

Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 6:09 pm to
0.5* BYU/NYG ML Parlay

Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16910 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 6:13 pm to
Just put 1.5* on UCLA -6.5 @ home against Oregon State ... After Wisky struggled mightily against Utah State, the win isn't looking as strong for Oregon State.

I think UCLA's offense is just too strong for Oregon State to stop. May even lay down some more on it on game day.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 6:21 pm to
quote:

Hopefully I'll have the inside scoop. Tots will have number 1 spot on my email list.


That documentation should be helpful in court...
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 6:23 pm to
Never mentioned picks. Scoop meaning my findings in my own research.
Posted by Cowbells
USA
Member since Aug 2012
556 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 6:39 pm to
Added NC state -13.5 vs citadel for 1 unit.

I won on a similar too-good-to-pass play on Iowa vs Northern Iowa at -6.5 last weekend. Let's see how this works out this week.

By the way,I'm done betting on mid week games. Friggin 0-3 in non-Saturday plays!
Posted by Boomdat
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2012
478 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 6:40 pm to
Boise -6.
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