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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 4 CFB bet thread™
Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:17 am to wish i was tebow
Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:17 am to wish i was tebow
quote:
i think there will be alot of points probably wont touch that high but wouldnt be surprised if it hits 80 pts
I hope not but I see why you would think that. I want to see Oregon's defense make a statement.
0
Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:18 am to wish i was tebow
I don't trust Arizona even with Rich Rod. Oregon always seems to find ways to make them look foolish since Dixon left.
Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:25 am to sms151t
Just put another 2* LSU -20 (-120)
Plus a parlay $2 to win $28
BYU +8
Clemson +14.5
Miami Ohio -25.5
LSU -20
Plus a parlay $2 to win $28
BYU +8
Clemson +14.5
Miami Ohio -25.5
LSU -20
Posted on 9/18/12 at 1:16 am to HoLeInOnEr05
Might give the Clemson FSU game a 13 point super middle teaser look.
-130
Clemson +27.5
FSU -1.5
UNDER 71
OVER 45
-130
Clemson +27.5
FSU -1.5
UNDER 71
OVER 45
Posted on 9/18/12 at 8:44 am to bamafan425
I'd stay away from Clemson is you are betting it straight up. FSU at home is going to wreak havoc on them. There is a reason why the line is now 14.5, books begging for action on Clemson.
This post was edited on 9/18/12 at 8:45 am
Posted on 9/18/12 at 8:47 am to TigerTatorTots
I don't like straight up either way. I do like like the thought of teasing FSU down.
Posted on 9/18/12 at 8:52 am to bamafan425
I agree. I think FSU wins by 20-23
Posted on 9/18/12 at 8:58 am to TigerTatorTots
Why? Clemson best them by 5 last year, has most of that team back, and now all of a sudden can't keep it within 2 tds?
Posted on 9/18/12 at 9:12 am to JG77056
Clemson should keep it within 2 TDs. Their offense is too prolific not to.
This post was edited on 9/18/12 at 9:21 am
Posted on 9/18/12 at 9:16 am to JG77056
FSU is a lot better than the SEC crowd is giving them credit for.
Posted on 9/18/12 at 9:21 am to TigerTatorTots
Clemson has already been battle tested thought. FSU has played a bunch of no bodies. I'm not saying Clemson wins at all. I'm just insinuating that there will probably be a late garbage TD to back door.
Posted on 9/18/12 at 9:47 am to TigerTatorTots
quote:
I'd stay away from Clemson is you are betting it straight up. FSU at home is going to wreak havoc on them. There is a reason why the line is now 14.5, books begging for action on Clemson.
It was 13.5 for a while. Couldn't we say that they were begging us to bet FSU? Especially considering they are the trendy team right now. They have played ZERO competition.
While Auburn isn't exactly a stud win for Clemson, they are way better than Florida school for the blind and Sarasota elementary on FSU's schedule.
I think 14.5 is worth a look. Then again, my record would make me wrong.
This post was edited on 9/18/12 at 9:48 am
Posted on 9/18/12 at 9:49 am to TigerTatorTots
That may very well be true, but FSU isn't tested. Plus they lost their stud d-lineman for the year, another blow. I agree with hole that there could be a garbage TD for the backdoor cover.
This post was edited on 9/18/12 at 9:49 am
Posted on 9/18/12 at 9:49 am to dcrews
quote:The big money has poured in on FSU. With the line now at 14.5, books really want Clemson backers to even the money out
It was 13.5 for a while. Couldn't we say that they were begging us to bet FSU? Especially considering they are the trendy team right now. They have played ZERO competition.
Posted on 9/18/12 at 9:51 am to TigerTatorTots
I understand. It makes sense, but I've made a habit of overthinking the lines and it's cost me big. I'm gonna try taking a new apporoach. 
Posted on 9/18/12 at 9:56 am to dcrews
here's a prop bet for you guys. Over/Under 30. How many times will phillygodfather tweet about loving coffee?
Posted on 9/18/12 at 9:57 am to TigerTatorTots
Common misconception tots, there are many reasons for line movement.
This post was edited on 9/18/12 at 10:00 am
Posted on 9/18/12 at 10:00 am to JG77056
The reason why I'm saying large money is on FSU is because an insider I follow of twitter stated that. I can't remember exactly which one for me to copy/paste though
Posted on 9/18/12 at 10:03 am to dcrews
I'm still fading you like it's my job this weekend.
Posted on 9/18/12 at 10:04 am to TigerTatorTots
quote:
The reason why I'm saying large money is on FSU is because an insider I follow of twitter stated that. I can't remember exactly which one for me to copy/paste though
This is where the "fading the public concept" confuses me. Wouldn't this be a prime exemple of that?
Trendy pick
Media loves the team
Public perception is that they are a title contender
etc...
Isn't this what happened last week with USC (kind of)? Stanford wound up beating them outright.
Not saying your wrong TTT, just trying to understand the differences and nuances with line movements.
This post was edited on 9/18/12 at 10:05 am
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