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re: OFFICIAL Week 3 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 9/13/12 at 3:16 pm to
Posted by DovaVol
Member since Dec 2008
2198 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 3:16 pm to
He practiced yesterday and they said he was fine fwiw. JLS said he could pretty much do anything he wanted, they held him up some though. DE B. Smith said he looked good though.

Also re: UNC, looks like RB Gio Bernard will play.
This post was edited on 9/13/12 at 3:17 pm
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82190 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 3:18 pm to
quote:

Texas/Ole Miss O58
The O/U I am seeing is 50.5...
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48478 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

The O/U I am seeing is 50.5...


shite. You're right. Their release was O47.5 I mixed it up with the A&M line.
This post was edited on 9/13/12 at 3:26 pm
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 3:24 pm to
taking a play on that game without knowing the QB situation? risky
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 3:25 pm to
the chick in your avatar is hot, therefore your advice is solid.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 3:33 pm to
I took it in a tease at 14. I like that line with Wilson playing. I bet assuming he was gonna start.
This post was edited on 9/13/12 at 3:37 pm
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

I'd rather him play honestly. Dont wanna hear all the bs associated when a backup plays. I've seen nothing to indicate one way or another though. Especially not 99% sure.


He's going to play.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 4:01 pm to
We got a source or just something you know?
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 4:05 pm to
He took 80% of the snaps yesterday and same today. They're prepping as if he'll play. I would be completely shocked if he sat.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

Also re: UNC, looks like RB Gio Bernard will play.



I was really expecting both my o/u picks to be RAS plays, but only one was. (A&M/SMU over 56.5 and UCF/FIU over 50)

Also got WVU -21.5 and it's now to 42! 42!!!

Feeling good about this week
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97728 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 4:27 pm to
I will pray for Wilson because the pass Rush is coming in this game.

No FB to block for Niles they will become one dimensional and ask Michigan how that turned out



Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
42396 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 4:37 pm to
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

I will pray for Wilson because the pass Rush is coming in this game.

No FB to block for Niles they will become one dimensional and ask Michigan how that turned out


I get what you're saying, and there is some validity to it, however Michican's Big 10 bodies were just insanely overmatched on both sides of the lines. Couple that with the fact that Denard Robinson is to college quarterbacking what Tebow is to NFL quarterbacking. Dynamic, overhyped and can't throw.

Tyler Wilson is a top notch QB with one of the most talented backs in the SEC. Not saying Arkansas will win, but Michigan having to throw to win and Arkansas throwing to win are two competely different things.

Who knows, Bama could very well blow them up by 40, but giving me 20 points, AT HOME, with a stud running back and a top notch QB looking to redeem themselves after an embarassing loss to UL Monroe is hard to pass up.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 4:44 pm to
Bottom line is this spread was less than a TD a few weeks ago. The 20 point line is an over-adjustment.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

Bottom line is this spread was less than a TD a few weeks ago. The 20 point line is an over-adjustment.

Yeah, giving 20 points to the home team who was ranked in the top 10 just a week ago.. I'd either take the points or stay away. I'm staying away.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 4:48 pm to
Agreed. Not to mention at the beginning of the season, everyone and their grandma was saying how Bama would lose to Arkansas. Now all of a sudden Bama will win by 3 TD's?


You think that line will bounce back up to 21 or 21.5?
This post was edited on 9/13/12 at 4:49 pm
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97728 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 4:56 pm to
Right when Ark was #8 in the Nation and had what most thought was a solid Passing/Running game.

Where is that team at?

How is it an over adjustment? explain
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 4:58 pm to
If Wilson plays, all of that is still true.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 4:59 pm to
Just as much as UL Monroe beating Ark is an anomaly, the same could be said for an upset over Bama. Strange things happen in college football. Teams underestimate or overlook smaller schools. Whether they cover or not, you can bet Arkansas is getting up for this one.

They aren't Michigan with undersized players who are completely outclassed. Nearly 3 TD's is a lot to lay on the road.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/13/12 at 5:00 pm to
You taking Bama -20?
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