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re: OFFICIAL Week 12 CFB Betting Thread - Vegas Disregards Committee Rankings Week

Posted on 11/11/14 at 6:56 pm to
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 11/11/14 at 6:56 pm to
quote:

Arky has lost 17 straight SEC games and are favored.


says all I need to know; Vegas is basically telling you what to do.
Posted by IceColdBeer
Sunbathing in Mission Beach
Member since Jan 2014
1076 posts
Posted on 11/11/14 at 7:05 pm to
quote:

Id lean Alabama, I just want to get it at -6.5



Im going large on MSU first half
Looking at Stale Soda over Buckeyes

Mizzu getting 5.5 looks tempting
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/11/14 at 7:55 pm to
I'm looking at Minn, UGA, Arkansas, Oregon St and Miami. The Miss St 1st half line will be interesting for sure.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/11/14 at 7:58 pm to
Va Tech and Maryland will get a look as well. Busy week so hopefully Thursday afternoon I can dig in.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
91552 posts
Posted on 11/11/14 at 9:03 pm to
quote:

ChemE in the OP


Got a couple questions.

Is the thinking behind the OSU Minn line that Vegas will need to set it a bit high in order to get even money? So basically there's good value on Minn...?

And my book started at Alabama -6.5, and is now Alabama -8.5. I want to wait for it to get to -9 and put money on Miss St. Do you see it getting to 9? And if I wanna be on Miss St should I go ahead and put money on em if it drops back to 8?
Posted by TX Tiger
at home
Member since Jan 2004
39349 posts
Posted on 11/11/14 at 11:37 pm to
2-team parlay lock of the season; bet the freakin' house, etc....

Bama -8.5 over Miss St
Aub +2 over UGA



Now you OWE ME!

ETA: Late info, taking A&M-Mizzou out of parlay. Mizzou wins this game.
This post was edited on 11/12/14 at 10:06 am
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/12/14 at 7:29 am to
A lot of factors for Minnesota including line value. OSU is still a young team and I suspect they'll be sleepwalking coming off a huge game and going on the road for the "sure thing" win.

As for Miss St, if you want to bet the full game, I'd guess you can bet it whenever as the line should stay between 7.5-9.5 and those numbers are all pretty much the same.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/12/14 at 7:30 am to
That being said, I'm looking for the Miss St 1st half line more likely.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 11/12/14 at 7:34 am to
That Minnesota line is just begging for a play. Ohio State has more than ever such a huge incentive to run up the score but the spread is only 12…?

I truly think this line is about five points off but maybe I'm missing something.
Posted by LSU1018
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2007
7383 posts
Posted on 11/12/14 at 10:01 am to
I like miss state, auburn, lsu, Florida state, and South Carolina. It does scare me that I like all road teams this week
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8782 posts
Posted on 11/12/14 at 10:07 am to
I wouldn't worry about that. Bettors make a lot of errors when calibrating homefield advantage so I think a lot of times there can be value on the road team.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/12/14 at 10:29 am to
First week 12 wager...

CFB STRAIGHT BET
[307] KENT STATE +13½ (-110)

Good luck!

Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/12/14 at 10:41 am to
And a few for Saturday...

CFB STRAIGHT BET
[341] VIRGINIA TECH +4½ (-110)

CFB STRAIGHT BET
[364] ARKANSAS -125

Will look to add Minnesota and Miami as those lines should climb Saturday morning...

Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32604 posts
Posted on 11/12/14 at 11:14 am to
locked in following

miss state +8.5
lsu +2
nebraska +6
georgia -2.5


Im looking at minnesota, missouri, south carolina also.. i will prob lay off uscjr and may lay off missouri also. my book shows uscjr +6.5 and missouri+5.5
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4298 posts
Posted on 11/12/14 at 11:30 am to
Moo St is such a scary line. Seems to me as Vegas is begging for Moo St money
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 11/12/14 at 11:39 am to
quote:

Moo St is such a scary line. Seems to me as Vegas is begging for Moo St money

would appear that way

after the Toledo cover last night, I'm looking into Ball and Kent tonight

ETA: and not sure what to make of UMass not having played a game in 2.5 weeks
This post was edited on 11/12/14 at 11:43 am
Posted by Dr Rosenrosen
Member since May 2006
4267 posts
Posted on 11/12/14 at 11:46 am to
I locked in Arizona State -9.5 and Texas -1.5.

Thank goodness UCLA bailed me out last week!
This post was edited on 11/12/14 at 11:48 am
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4298 posts
Posted on 11/12/14 at 11:52 am to
quote:

would appear that way


I mean anyone in their right mind would be crazy to pass up that 8.5. But when it's that way, I know what ends up happening
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32604 posts
Posted on 11/12/14 at 11:59 am to
quote:

right mind would be crazy to pass up that 8.5. But when it's that way, I know what ends up happening


i know exact same thing... and i think bama wins, and like bama at 6.5... but dang i really dont like them at 8.5, i know what im supposed to do...but sometimes vegas is wrong.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4298 posts
Posted on 11/12/14 at 12:01 pm to
It took some huge money to push that line to 8.5
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