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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 12 CFB Betting Thread - Vegas Disregards Committee Rankings Week
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:00 am to Zipfer2022
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:00 am to Zipfer2022
High % chance that LSU gets blown out this week? Get the frick out of here. What an asinine statement.
1
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:01 am to Zipfer2022
quote:
High % chance LSU gets blown out.
Jokin right?
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:04 am to ChemE in the OP
quote:
I'm still hoping FSU gets pounded late as folks chase losses... I'll pass unless 3/3.5 pops up.
i got mia +3
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:05 am to blades8088
Just tried skimming through the thread.
Is there any reason I shouldn't lay some money down on Miss State getting 10 freaking points?
Physical game against LSU the week before and Moo State runs an offense that Saban despises.
Up to 10 from opener of 7.
Is Alabama getting love based solely on the name?
Is there any reason I shouldn't lay some money down on Miss State getting 10 freaking points?
Physical game against LSU the week before and Moo State runs an offense that Saban despises.
Up to 10 from opener of 7.
Is Alabama getting love based solely on the name?
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:05 am to blades8088
quote:
Sharps disagree with you
1. Bama hangover
2. Arky wants this game 5x as much as LSU
3. Cold weather favors Arky
4. Arky has a better QB and homefield advantage
5. Arky plays LSU tough every single year.
6. LSU's anemic pass offense will mask Arky's weakness (pass D).
quote:
Get the frick out of here. What an asinine statement.
Just my opinion on one game. Don't get mad bro.
This post was edited on 11/15/14 at 11:10 am
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:09 am to Zipfer2022
quote:
There is no justification for betting LSU this week
sure there is, one they have more talent, 2 they are something like 25-1 after a loss under Les Miles 3 Arky has come close but can't close.
I've been rooting for Arky to win an SEC game all year because i've been afraid BB would pop his SEC cherry vs LSU and I understand after a heartbreaker like last week why everyone would pick LSU, but to act like we have no chance is just silly.
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:15 am to Zipfer2022
quote:
1. Bama hangover
2. Arky wants this game 5x as much as LSU
3. Cold weather favors Arky
4. Arky has a better QB and homefield advantage
5. Arky plays LSU tough every single year.
6. LSU's anemic pass offense will mask Arky's weakness (pass D).
1) possible but we beat MSU is same spot 2 years ago and that loss was more costly knocking LSU out of BCSCG possibility.
2) agree
3) disagree, a power running team like LSU is better suited for cold weather its not like it has never gotten cold in Louisiana
4) HF yes, better QB is not saying much but sadly true
5) agree
6) agree
This post was edited on 11/15/14 at 11:17 am
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:18 am to dcrews
quote:
Is Alabama getting love based solely on the name?
no
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:20 am to Zipfer2022
quote:
quote: Sharps disagree with you 1. Bama hangover 2. Arky wants this game 5x as much as LSU 3. Cold weather favors Arky 4. Arky has a better QB and homefield advantage 5. Arky plays LSU tough every single year. 6. LSU's anemic pass offense will mask Arky's weakness (pass D).
1. Please explain. As we have lost to Bama in the past we usually respond very well after a loss. 25-1 to be exact.
2. How do you know this? This is just an assumption and you have no facts to back it up.
3. How does cold weather favor Arky? Both teams like to run the ball. Yes they play in a little more cold weather than us but not that much to be a factor IMO.
4. I agree they have a better QB, but as far as any other position on the field, as a couple 2 at most could be argued, LSU talent wise has the way better team.
5. Arky does play us tough every year yet this game is a pick and LSU has won 6 out of the last 9.
In no means is LSU highly likely to be BLOWN OUT of this game. Hope you have lots of monies on Arky as you fell so strongly about it.
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:31 am to dcrews
quote:
Is Alabama getting love based solely on the name?
No, its the "eyeball" test, they have the most talent, top recruiting classes, most NFL prospects and top coaches etc.
I'm a little surprised the sharps are so heavy on them since in the past they have had a bit of a hang over after the LSU game, this is the same spot A&M beat them 2 years ago with a Heisman candidate QB. QB's like Prescott have given them trouble in the past. I know some are saying MSU has been shaky lately struggling with Arky and UK, but Bama really should have lost to both Arky and LSU and MSU smoked LSU and the same sharps like Arky to beat LSU. 10 seems like too much, but we will see.
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:36 am to H-Town Tiger
Buckeyes cruising. But I'm happy when I lose those type of bets 
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:39 am to blades8088
quote:
Hope you have lots of monies on Arky as you fell so strongly about it.
Nope standard play for me. It is still Arkansas, but like rocket said earlier the line is telling you what to do.
I posted before LSU's results after a Bama loss with no bye the following week here they are again...
2008 - Barely beat Troy in Tiger Stadium (Troy was up 31-3)
2009 - Barely beat LA Tech 24-16 at home
2012 - They did bounce back and beat Moo St at home 37-17
You have to look at the psychology of the two teams and the spot they are in. LSU has nothing left to play for. This is Arkansas Superbowl and are starved for a win.
I say they have a chance at getting blown out based on the line and the fact that LSU has fallen behind big this year numerous times. If they do, I'm not sure they will have the will to get off the mat this time.
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:44 am to Zipfer2022
i think lsu wins by a td
Posted on 11/15/14 at 11:53 am to H-Town Tiger
I like State SU. Dak has the ability to drive Saban crazy and their defense is good enough to get the job done. Mississippi State 31 Bama 26
Posted on 11/15/14 at 12:01 pm to Zipfer2022
quote:
I say they have a chance at getting blown out based on the line and the fact that LSU has fallen behind big this year numerous times.
LSU fell behind big 3 times, but all early in the year, D is much better now, but I'm curious why you say LSU has a chance to get blown out based on the line? I get the line movements and public money lead you to pick Ark, but why does that lead you to think they will or could get blown out?
Posted on 11/15/14 at 12:04 pm to H-Town Tiger
Only way LSU gets blown out is with inexplicable turnovers. In that weather, anything is possible.
Posted on 11/15/14 at 12:28 pm to SprintFun
quote:
Buckeyes cruising. But I'm happy when I lose those type of bets
well...
Posted on 11/15/14 at 12:36 pm to oleyeller
Outgaining them 200 yards at half and have a 3 pt lead. My negative TO differential on teams I've bet on has been awesome in 2014.
Posted on 11/15/14 at 12:39 pm to Louie T
quote:
Outgaining them 200 yards at half and have a 3 pt lead. My negative TO differential on teams I've bet on has been awesome in 2014.
Even worse for you is 150 of those yards were from 3rd and long and are likely unsustainable.
Posted on 11/15/14 at 12:40 pm to ChemE in the OP
Minny yards are 3rd and long broken plays? I haven't been able to watch any.
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