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re: Official U.S. Open Tennis Thread.
Posted on 9/3/13 at 10:15 pm to bobbyray21
Posted on 9/3/13 at 10:15 pm to bobbyray21
How about the sodomization that Djoker put on Granollers? That isn't a score line you usually see this late in men's draw. I didn't see the match, but Djoker has to be in top form with a result like that.
Posted on 9/4/13 at 2:13 am to bobbyray21
per tennisabstract.com. For each player, the percentages listed indicates their chances -- as projected by Jeff Sackman's computers -- of getting to the semis, getting to the final, and winning the tournament. He gives the slight edge to Novak over Rafa.
2013 US Open Men's Draw Forecast
Player SF F W
(1)Novak Djokovic (SRB) 86.8% 56.2% 35.2%
(21)Mikhail Youzhny (RUS) 13.2% 3.2% 0.7%
(3)Andy Murray (GBR) 80.5% 36.9% 19.8%
(9)Stanislas Wawrinka (SUI) 19.5% 3.7% 0.8%
(8)Richard Gasquet (FRA) 34.0% 8.1% 1.8%
(4)David Ferrer (ESP) 66.0% 24.3% 8.4%
(19)Tommy Robredo (ESP) 4.9% 0.6% 0.0%
(2)Rafael Nadal (ESP) 95.1% 67.0% 33.3%
2013 US Open Men's Draw Forecast
Player SF F W
(1)Novak Djokovic (SRB) 86.8% 56.2% 35.2%
(21)Mikhail Youzhny (RUS) 13.2% 3.2% 0.7%
(3)Andy Murray (GBR) 80.5% 36.9% 19.8%
(9)Stanislas Wawrinka (SUI) 19.5% 3.7% 0.8%
(8)Richard Gasquet (FRA) 34.0% 8.1% 1.8%
(4)David Ferrer (ESP) 66.0% 24.3% 8.4%
(19)Tommy Robredo (ESP) 4.9% 0.6% 0.0%
(2)Rafael Nadal (ESP) 95.1% 67.0% 33.3%
Posted on 9/4/13 at 4:29 am to bobbyray21
quote:
Rafa has LOTS of trouble with the Djoker. And both guys are playing well. Should make for a great final if it happens.
Please let this final happen. I got Djoker in 5 sets
Posted on 9/4/13 at 6:05 am to bobbyray21
quote:
(4)David Ferrer (ESP) 66.0% 24.3% 8.4%
Posted on 9/4/13 at 8:05 am to Sho Nuff
quote:
Rafa has LOTS of trouble with the Djoker. And both guys are playing well. Should make for a great final if it happens.
Would be a great one!
Posted on 9/4/13 at 12:33 pm to TigerFanatic99
Ferrer doesn't have an 8% chance to win this thing.
Posted on 9/4/13 at 3:10 pm to castorinho
It looks like Ferrer has an 8% chance to win his quarter final match.
Posted on 9/4/13 at 3:13 pm to castorinho
quote:
Ferrer doesn't have an 8% chance to win this thing.
I agree. Should be more like !% or less. I love that site, and I think the guy that runs it is really doing a great job in filling a much needed void in the way of tennis analytics. And it's only been around for a year or so. He's constantly improving it and adding new bells and whistles -- like player consistency ratings and comprehensive statistics filterable by seemingly anything* -- that I find interesting and useful. And so I don't wanna talk bad about his probability tree algorithm. But it's probably fair to say that it just looks to Ferrer's "power rating" as a player based on cumulative results, and isn't sophisticated enough to factor in the undeniable truth that Ferrer couldn't beat the top four players in a five set match on a hard court if his life depended on it (assuming no random injuries during the match a la Rafa 2011 (or was it 2010) at the Aussie Open.
Anyway, his computer did give Robredo a zero percent chance of winning the tournament, which is of course quite correct.
____________
*If you wanna know what Thomas Berdych's first serve percentage is against opponents with 7+ inch erect cocks (measured from the bottom), there's probably a way on that site.
This post was edited on 9/4/13 at 3:15 pm
Posted on 9/4/13 at 3:17 pm to barry
quote:
It looks like Ferrer has an 8% chance to win his quarter final match.
I dunno know about that. Frenchmen just love folding under the pressure. It's what they do best.
Posted on 9/4/13 at 3:19 pm to Sho Nuff
quote:
Please let this final happen. I got Djoker in 5 sets
I can't really disagree with that prediction.
I really want Rafa to get his second USO, but Djoker appears to be rounding into peak form. I can see another epic final just like the 2012 Aussie Final between them. Which is one of my favorite matches ever.
Posted on 9/4/13 at 3:21 pm to bobbyray21
Also, I have money on Ferrer, so I'm hoping he pulls this out.
Posted on 9/4/13 at 4:30 pm to bobbyray21
Ferrer drops a 5 setter to the frenchman.
Posted on 9/4/13 at 6:57 pm to bobbyray21
(no message)
This post was edited on 12/23/21 at 11:15 pm
Posted on 9/4/13 at 8:32 pm to graychef
Azarenka sounds like a fricking turkey when she plays 
Posted on 9/4/13 at 8:34 pm to Sho Nuff
You call this a 1/4 final match? Smh
And this mug beat Fed in straight sets.
And this mug beat Fed in straight sets.
Posted on 9/4/13 at 8:40 pm to castorinho
Lol...
This makes the Fed loss look A LOT worse
This makes the Fed loss look A LOT worse
Posted on 9/4/13 at 8:43 pm to MapGuy
Tommy wins a game 
This post was edited on 9/4/13 at 8:44 pm
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