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re: OFFICIAL CFB bet thread week 8

Posted on 10/19/13 at 3:33 am to
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12073 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 3:33 am to
I don't think Corso's ever picked against FSU has he? He still thinks he's playing with Burt Reynolds.
Posted by DCBJR6
Madisonville, LA
Member since Jan 2011
4252 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 5:46 am to
Just threw .2U on O10.5 1Q in the Texas Tech/WVU game.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 6:29 am to
Let's do it BIG today
Will be on WVU+5, UF-3, Okie Lite-7.5 for 11am games
This post was edited on 10/19/13 at 7:03 am
Posted by SeeeeK
some where
Member since Sep 2012
30675 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 6:49 am to
Any really good, live dogs of 7 points or more?

I like WVU ml
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 7:04 am to
I like the WVU ml also but i never take money lines. Ive actually been flip flopping between UF and Mizzou all week. Still may flip again on it. I should just lay off but its pissing me off i cant cap the game
Posted by theOG
Member since Feb 2010
10782 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 8:03 am to
i have a parlay going this weekend too:

CENTRAL FLORIDA +14
VIRGINIA -2½
NORTHWESTERN -12½
LSU -10
STANFORD -4½
NOTRE DAME -3

Posted by Meauxjeaux
102836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
45905 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 8:15 am to
1st parlay of the day:
Arky +29
LSU -10
SCar -.5 1Q

Luv me some SEC.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 8:46 am to
No plays so far.

Leans:
LSU -6 1H
LSU O 18 1H
LSU defense is a concern, but I feel they are getting better. More importantly, Ole miss is missing 7(?) defensive starters against an LSU offense that could have/should have had another 2 TD's against an elite Florida defense last week. I don't think Ole Miss can hang.

Oregon O 34 1H
Oregon is just Oregon. I know Washington State gave em some problems last year, but the game is in Oregon and the Ducks offense is more efficient and explosive than ever. Would surprise me if they don't drop 35 1st half.


Vandy O 13.5 1H
Home game. UGA defense has gotten absolutely TORCHED through the air. I suspect Jordan Matthews will have a big day.

Alabama O 21 1H
I think Alabama wins this one handily and puts the breaks on late. But I like them putting it away early.


Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12073 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 8:50 am to
Just took 4 units and did a 2 team round robin with Baylor 1h and the over and Oregon 1h and over. My thinking is if Baylor isn't covering 20.5 then its because ISU has scored 21+, not because Baylor hasn't scored. Same with Oregon, and WSU throws the ball so much that they're either going to be completing them and scoring or not completing them and giving the ball back to Oregon without running any clock.

Worst case scenario that I see, I lose .4 units. If all 4 hit I win 10.2 units.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 9:03 am to
Card thus far (Just read your post JG, we have similar thinking). 1.5* Each


LSU -6 GAME
LSU 18 1H TT O
Oregon 34 1H TT O
Oregon -26 1H
Oregon/Wazzou 42 1H O
Vandy 13.5 1H TT O
Alabama 21 1H TT O
Iowa State/Baylor 42 1H O
Baylor -20.5 1H

Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12073 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 9:25 am to
Ok so everyone knows about Baylor and Oregon. Other leans are:

Clem +3 or ML--Senior QB, playing at home, best WR on the field to throw to, going against a freshman playing his first big road game at night.

Notre Dame -3 -- USC lost by 20 to ASU who lost to ND. Nah I'm just kidding, that's a stupid way to cap a game. But ND is playing at home and is the better team. Should be closer to 10.

Fresno St -14 1H -- UNLV is a terrible road team and Fresno starts fast. Should be up by a minimum of 17 at half.

Florida -3 -- Not huge on road teams but that D should give a short Matty Mauck a tough time all day. Florida has the best D in the country and they're probably pissed after losing last week. Mizzou's best weapon, their WRs should be neutralized by the Florida secondary.

A&M -13.5 -- If this was a night game I think Aubirn might be able to get hyped enough to keep it close on the road. A 2:30 start tells me Johnny football starts fast and keeps A&M comfortably ahead all game.

Maryland -5 -- Wake Forest is not very good at football and people still remember Maryland losing 63-0 to FSU and not their unbeaten start before that.

Other leans but not enough to put enough on to matter: Mich/IU over 67, USCe -7, Wash +3.5,
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 9:30 am to
I would watch out for A&M. Auburn has been getting better and better since week 1. Marshall will be back this week, which Aubie has one of the best rushing attacks in the SEC. With there run game and how terrible A&Ms D is I believe they can control the clock and keep this game very very close. With that said I'm on Aubie

ETA: Forgot to mention when a team has a great QB like A&M and a very highly touted team I seem to think the line is very inflated cause the public will bet JFF no matter what
This post was edited on 10/19/13 at 9:32 am
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45160 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 9:34 am to
Have around ~20 plays for today. Should be a good one. BOL everyone


Also jumped on the Mizzou bandwagon. Added them +3 and took the U.
This post was edited on 10/19/13 at 9:36 am
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12073 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 9:36 am to
Yeah Auburn is better than they were last year and at the beginning of this year, and if it was at night I think they could stay focused all game. But it just seems like teams start to give up during the afternoon games once things start going downhill for them.
Posted by biglil3
West Monroe
Member since Jan 2010
2049 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 9:41 am to
any feelings on UGA and Okie St games?
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 9:42 am to
Anyone like UF -Missouri under 43.5??

Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12073 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 9:47 am to
If I was forced to play a side on the total in that game I'd take the under. But I think there are way too many bets out there that are much better.
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 9:48 am to
I just want 11 am action. Trying to find my best option at 11
Posted by arowana
Metairie
Member since Aug 2007
1732 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 9:49 am to
Toledo -9 over navy
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12073 posts
Posted on 10/19/13 at 9:51 am to
USCe or T Tech.
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