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re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 7

Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:05 pm to
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5706 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

Let's talk Oregon St/ Washington St... what are your thoughts?


I like Washington State, numbers favor them by 6. Just didn't like the spot enough to make it a play for me. Was one of two I pondered playing, The other one being Utah State.

Here is my question for everyone, If Chuckie Keeton does not get hurt, Utah State are 3-4 point favorites in this game. The line is Boise -7, is Chuck Keeton worth 10 points to Utah State? I really don't know thats a crazy amount of points for one player. Still pondering adding the Aggies.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16910 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

is Chuck Keeton worth 10 points to Utah State?


Absolutely
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177195 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:08 pm to
Locked in Baylor 45
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

Locked in Baylor 45




I will tomorrow when I have the option too
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18049 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:11 pm to
Damn it's 47 on Sportsbook.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:15 pm to
Doesn't matter
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4298 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:17 pm to
I love Wisky to
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18049 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:22 pm to
Yeah I went ahead and got it at 47. Quick weather check just to make sure - sunny and 73 in Manhattan tomorrow

quote:

dgtiger3

That's why I generally don't post my picks. Obviously I don't put the time, effort, and number-crunching in to this as some of y'all, so nobody should ever follow what I do. But I just feel superstitious about posting my list of picks. That, and maybe I'm afraid of the ridicule I might receive.
This post was edited on 10/11/13 at 3:26 pm
Posted by SeeeeK
some where
Member since Sep 2012
30763 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:25 pm to
Can michigan st put points on the board? If so, that o/u of 53 looks low. Indiana will get 20-25 points. So can Michigan st get the rest?
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5706 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

I love Wisky to


A great spot for Wisconsin. No slight to Northwestern, the game last weekend was great to watch. They put together an excellent game plan to hang with a more talented team. Coming off that loss and traveling to Madison is not what you want to follow that game up with. It's going to take an equal effort just to stay within 10 points. I just don't think they can do it two weeks in a row, not with Wisconsin rested up.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:30 pm to
I post my picks because I think you have to be a clown too just blindly follow someone else's picks

Follow at your own risk haha. I don't ever tell people to follow the LOTW. I just tell them what I believe the lock is lol
Posted by SeeeeK
some where
Member since Sep 2012
30763 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:35 pm to
Like Wyoming a little

they should bounce back from road defeat, and coming off the bye, they should be ready.

New Mexico gives up points by the minute, so no reason they cannot win by 17/20.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:35 pm to
2* Alabama/Kentucky 1H O27
2* Oregon/Washington 1H O38
2* Baylor/Kansas 1H O37.5
2* LSU (PK) / aTm (PK) Teaser
2* Oregon TT O44.5
0.5* Missouri ML

Probably gonna look at some other game totals later as well.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4298 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:35 pm to
Couldnt agree more. They took a pounding on the ground last week and were wore down. This week they will even see more running than the week before
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5706 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

Follow at your own risk haha. I don't ever tell people to follow the LOTW. I just tell them what I believe the lock is lol


Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18049 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:37 pm to
Yeah I certainly don't blindly tail anybody. But I do gather my own thoughts/reserach and then compare to y'alls on here, keeping in mind that my analysis isn't that in-depth. What's great is if you follow throughout the week, you really do get perspectives from all angles of these games. And they all vary from pure numbers, to x's and o's, to gut feelings.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16910 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

2* Oregon/Washington 1H O38


This one scares me. I think this could be a slow starting game.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

This one scares me. I think this could be a slow starting game.


Anything can happen, but honestly, with the way Oregon runs their offense, they could go 3 and out on their first 5 drives and still drop 40+ in the 1st half. (exaggeration, but you get my point)

They are so efficient at what they do and they do it SO MANY TIMES. I just find it hard to believe they won't at least get 28 in the first half. Washington isn't a bad team either which means they could put up 14-21 points of their own.

A 22-17 score wins (with Oregon going for 2) and I can definitely see something like that happening.
This post was edited on 10/11/13 at 3:42 pm
Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
13995 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

They are so efficient at what they do and they do it SO MANY TIMES. I just find it hard to believe they won't at least get 28 in the first half. Washington isn't a bad team either which means they could put up 14-21 points of their own.


Washington hasn't put up many points in the first half. Also, our defense is probably built to stop Washington better than Stanford's. Oregon's defense makes life terrible on a short passing game.

Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 10/11/13 at 5:00 pm to
quote:

Washington hasn't put up many points in the first half. Also, our defense is probably built to stop Washington better than Stanford's. Oregon's defense makes life terrible on a short passing game.


I don't suspect they will, but it's a primetime, college gameday home game for them so I figure they are good for at least a TD or two. I figure Oregon is good for 4-5
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