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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 3
Posted on 9/13/13 at 1:57 pm to dcrews
Posted on 9/13/13 at 1:57 pm to dcrews
Yeah I don't think that Kent State is as capable of challenging our defense as UAB was. Defense lost focus for a quarter and surrendered 17 points to an offense that has some talent. I don't think Kent State is as big of a threat throwing the ball as UAB can be. Other than that one quarter, UAB couldn't move the football with a lot of success. I think LSU will cover that, worst case scenario, push it.
1
Posted on 9/13/13 at 2:26 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/19/13 at 10:19 am
Posted on 9/13/13 at 2:28 pm to PurpleAndGold86
Updated Card:
5 units
Teaser (+100)
Oregon -19.5
Louisville -5.5
3 units
LSU -21 1st Half (-110)
Gonna look at some more 1st half lines and team/game totals when I get off work.
5 units
Teaser (+100)
Oregon -19.5
Louisville -5.5
3 units
LSU -21 1st Half (-110)
Gonna look at some more 1st half lines and team/game totals when I get off work.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 2:34 pm to dgtiger3
I see you have a "2" next to Oregon under the "upset" column and a "-42" next to Tennessee under the Margin Column.
Does this mean you think Tennessee should lose big against Oregon?
When you say "lower" rating, do you mean lower as in the smaller number or ranked lower as in a higher number.
Sorry if I'm being dense
Does this mean you think Tennessee should lose big against Oregon?
When you say "lower" rating, do you mean lower as in the smaller number or ranked lower as in a higher number.
Sorry if I'm being dense
Posted on 9/13/13 at 2:40 pm to dcrews
SVP's "Winners"
SVP - (3-2 last week)
NCAA
Kentucky +14.5 (fading the public)
UCF +5.5 (May win outright)
ECU (+7.5)
NFL
Arizona (+1)
Miami (+1)
Russillo
NFL
Dallas +3
Oakland -4
NCAA
Oregon State +3
Maryland -6.5
Over63 Bowling Green @ Indiana
SVP - (3-2 last week)
NCAA
Kentucky +14.5 (fading the public)
UCF +5.5 (May win outright)
ECU (+7.5)
NFL
Arizona (+1)
Miami (+1)
Russillo
NFL
Dallas +3
Oakland -4
NCAA
Oregon State +3
Maryland -6.5
Over63 Bowling Green @ Indiana
Posted on 9/13/13 at 2:40 pm to dcrews
No worries, I knew it would be confusing as shite. But Hole wanted to see so I tried to clean it up as much as I could. 1=Best 115=Worst
The way I generally use it is if the Underdog has a smaller number than the favorite its a real good thing. It was built strictly find underdogs that keep the game closer than it should be, I have found over using it for three years that teams that lack those qualities tend to be get upset more often. Hope that clears up the confusion.
Home Field is not in anyway factored into these numbers, I use them as a start and I break down games that pop out to me and try to compile advantages looking at other things such as home field, injuries, and situations.
The way I generally use it is if the Underdog has a smaller number than the favorite its a real good thing. It was built strictly find underdogs that keep the game closer than it should be, I have found over using it for three years that teams that lack those qualities tend to be get upset more often. Hope that clears up the confusion.
Home Field is not in anyway factored into these numbers, I use them as a start and I break down games that pop out to me and try to compile advantages looking at other things such as home field, injuries, and situations.
This post was edited on 9/13/13 at 2:41 pm
Posted on 9/13/13 at 2:44 pm to dgtiger3
Was does that mean for UCLA Nebraska then? You have UCLA as a huge favorite, but Nebraska has a low upset #. But Nebraska is favored...
Posted on 9/13/13 at 2:46 pm to dgtiger3
quote:
But Hole
tee hee
Posted on 9/13/13 at 2:48 pm to dcrews
What about Bowling Green do ya'll like so much? I don't know anything about that team.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 2:50 pm to supadave3
quote:
I don't know anything about that team
Don't bet it.
Just kidding. I don't know anything about them either. New rule of thumb for my 2nd year of sports betting: Don't bet on games you know nothing about.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 2:51 pm to dgtiger3
So, you like
Air Force
Kentucky
Bowling Green
UCLA
Va Tech
New Mexico
Colorado
UCF
Texas A&M
Ole Miss
Washington
Utah
Maryland?
Air Force
Kentucky
Bowling Green
UCLA
Va Tech
New Mexico
Colorado
UCF
Texas A&M
Ole Miss
Washington
Utah
Maryland?
Posted on 9/13/13 at 2:52 pm to LSUJuice
I wanna pull the trigger on UCLA, haven't made up my mind.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 2:55 pm to dcrews
TCU vs tx tech +3 last night
Air Force +24 vs Boise St tonight
Louisville vs Kentucky +14
aTm +7.5 vs Bama
Miss. St vs Auburn -6
Ole Miss vs Texas -3
Air Force +24 vs Boise St tonight
Louisville vs Kentucky +14
aTm +7.5 vs Bama
Miss. St vs Auburn -6
Ole Miss vs Texas -3
Posted on 9/13/13 at 2:58 pm to dcrews
quote:
Don't bet on games you know nothing about.
Thats a good rule. I tailed everyone that was promoting Cincy last week and those son of a bitches lost by almost 30 points.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 3:02 pm to Carson123987
quote:Cover at Fred's tonight if you know the right people
what else are you gonna use the last 5 bucks for anyway
Posted on 9/13/13 at 3:08 pm to supadave3
quote:
Thats a good rule. I tailed everyone that was promoting Cincy last week and those son of a bitches lost by almost 30 points.
I tailed a LOT last year and it hurt me bad. Not saying TD can't pick games well, but I find if you're just picking and choosing tails based on little to no information (other than everyone else is on Team X), you're gonna have a bad time.
But eliminating this alone this year, I'm already exponentially better off than I was last year.
This post was edited on 9/13/13 at 3:09 pm
Posted on 9/13/13 at 3:08 pm to supadave3
quote:
Thats a good rule. I tailed everyone that was promoting Cincy last week and those son of a bitches lost by almost 30 points.
I did as well. Was driving for most of the game, but by the time I got to the bar and turned it on they were still within striking distance...until the qb's leg went the wrong way
Posted on 9/13/13 at 3:14 pm to DovaVol
5* Louisville -12' @ Kentucky
4* Oregon -25 @ Tennessee
3* South Carolina -12' vs Vanderbilt
2* Kent St +37 @ LSU
2* Nebraska -5' vs UCLA
1* Southern Miss +21' vs Arkansas
4* Oregon -25 @ Tennessee
3* South Carolina -12' vs Vanderbilt
2* Kent St +37 @ LSU
2* Nebraska -5' vs UCLA
1* Southern Miss +21' vs Arkansas
This post was edited on 9/15/13 at 2:45 am
Posted on 9/13/13 at 3:14 pm to dgtiger3
Ever seen the ESPN pickcenter? Im still trying to figure out what all their numbers mean
Posted on 9/13/13 at 3:17 pm to TigerTatorTots
Haven't had a lot of time to look, so the only things I'm on are WKU -9 and Bama -7 as of now.
If I can get Texas -2.5 w/o laying more than 10% vig I will be betting that
If I can get Texas -2.5 w/o laying more than 10% vig I will be betting that
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