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re: NFL Betting Thread Week 4

Posted on 10/1/12 at 4:40 pm to
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 4:40 pm to
Da Bears +10.5
U48.5
Posted by TexasTiger1185
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2011
13162 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

Like the Cowboys tonight. Expect Cutler to be harassed and frustrated. Good luck.


Cutler will spend plenty of time on his back tonight, you can be sure of that.

The under in this game may be my bet. Cowboys have a strong D and scored the fewest points in the NFL alongside the Eagles headed into tonight's match up.

This could mean that big D is ready to blow up the scoreboard though.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 5:05 pm to
OVER 5.5 sacks prop?
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 5:43 pm to
I would lean over but who knows...
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 5:45 pm to
Yeah. I mean it's a prop bet, only so much you can cap. I just think they get to Cutler a few times, and if Bears can contribute one or two then I think it'd hit.
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

Da Bears +10.5
U48.5


you usually have the best teasers, but for some reason i don't like either one of these #'s

i think this could be a crazy game tonight, cowboys could shite stomp da bears or cutler could show up to play

all i know is that from what i've seen is cutler folds like a house of cards with a descent pass rush, that and the game being MNF in jerryworld and that really makes me want to make a big play on -2.5 and a 1stH play
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 6:10 pm to
I'm praying the two retards leading both of these offenses show up tonight.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 6:13 pm to
Trying my super middle teaser again.

Bears +16
Cowboys +10
OVER 28.5
UNDER 54.5
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 6:47 pm to
Cowboys -2.5
UNDER 42.5

ETA: FWIW

quote:

Adam Schefter ?@AdamSchefter Bears RB Matt Forte will start tonight.
This post was edited on 10/1/12 at 6:56 pm
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 7:09 pm to
You buy the points?
Posted by Grassy1
Member since Oct 2009
7330 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 7:10 pm to
Man, I really trust you guys more than me,

but those two qb's sucked last week and I think they'll be trying to prove something tonight... throwing big..

**Over 41.5

best of luck (sorta)
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162153 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 7:20 pm to
Boys -3
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 7:40 pm to
I changed my my mind on my teaser before I submitted

7 pt teaser (-120) 1*
Boys +4
U48

Boys 1H -2 (-110) .5*
This post was edited on 10/1/12 at 7:41 pm
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 7:57 pm to
Yeah I bought the extra point. Been burned on some close totals this year.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 7:58 pm to
You crossed a zero!?!



Took the 1st half under 21
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162153 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 8:01 pm to
I didn't keep up, how'd the system fare yesterday ?
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 8:10 pm to
It fricking sucked!
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 8:11 pm to
Honestly, I think with the NFL having such tighter lines, it might be wise to fade the system. Ha.

College I think its a good system.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 8:22 pm to
quote:

Honestly, I think with the NFL having such tighter lines, it might be wise to fade the system. Ha.

College I think its a good system.


This.

I think we were talking about this yesterday. 10 points in the NFL is a LOT more points than it is for College. (10 being the key to this system)

I'm definitely going to keep at it for college. For the NFL, I'm gonna eye it for a couple more weeks. Maybe this was just a fluke week.

ETA: The original system based itself around the key number 10. Maybe we can do some research and adjust that key number to something lower for NFL games since the lines are tighter.
This post was edited on 10/1/12 at 8:23 pm
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 10/1/12 at 8:24 pm to
I think if the game is really far off in the NFL then it will adjust in 2nd half. Books know NFL alot better than CFB.

Like tonight, system will probably say play UNDER. I might play over.
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