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re: NBA Playoff First Round Predictions

Posted on 4/15/16 at 3:45 pm to
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59874 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

getting it out of the way early, they wanted the WCF rematch when they were at the healthiest and when GSW was the most vulnerable. If theylose, they were gonna lose regardless of how far they got.

Yea hackie tran you copied something I posted a few days ago, you are clearly a genius because I had to re-explain myself to someone else and you knew what my argument would be Pat youself on the back you know how to copy and paste
Posted by TbirdSpur2010
ALAMO CITY
Member since Dec 2010
134141 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

Right, finally. Ain't like I've said that over 5 times before hand here.


Whoa, over 5 times?!

That's like taking back a whole 4%of the total bullshite you've spewed this season.

#Progress
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59874 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 3:47 pm to
Gotta be an eye test kinda thing you can't put numbers on it. They blew you out both games at home...So even if that was their best game, They coulda played a couple notches below that level and still won. Comfortably. that's the reasoning. They split in SAS and played their A game neither time.
Posted by TbirdSpur2010
ALAMO CITY
Member since Dec 2010
134141 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

Gotta be an eye test kinda thing you can't put numbers on it.


There it is. Of course
This post was edited on 4/15/16 at 3:51 pm
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59874 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 3:53 pm to
you post that Spurs have a 25% chance to beat them so we are on the same page, although I put it closer to 15-20% chance.
Posted by htran90
BC
Member since Dec 2012
31919 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 3:54 pm to
quote:

There it is. Of course



Golden state B game > SAS A game bro

But Houston's A game v GS' B game, they got a shot

Considering the last 10:
GS 8-2 "B game"
- Losses to Minny and Boston
- Close Win v Memphis
- Wins v SAS x2, Utah, and Portland

Houston 6-4 "A game"
- Losses to Indiana, Chicago, Dallas, and Phoenix
- Close Win v Toronto, Cleveland, and OKC
- Other wins v LAL, Minny, and Sactown

Posted by brgfather129
Los Angeles, CA
Member since Jul 2009
17360 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 3:55 pm to
Just saw some dude walking around near AT&T Park in SF wearing a "Clutch City" sweatshirt... he looked miserable, think he knows rust is real.
Posted by Aggie Fishfinder
Republic of Texas
Member since Feb 2012
4260 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 3:57 pm to
Houstons A game includes a loss at home to the 2nd worse team in the west? Am I reading that right?
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59874 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

Considering the last 10:
quote:

- Losses to Minny and Boston
- Close Win v Memphis
tells me all I need to know. this doesn't happen earlier in the season.
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59874 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 3:59 pm to
no one said that was HOUs A game not a one person in this thread can go more than 5-6 posts without making something out of thin air and attributing it to a rockets fan..>Sure sign that you getting your arse handed to you..Well mabye tbird don't do that but shel, you and tran cant help yourselves.
This post was edited on 4/15/16 at 3:59 pm
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59874 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

Just saw some dude walking around near AT&T Park in SF wearing a "Clutch City" sweatshirt... he looked miserable, think he knows rust is real.
Jelly was hoping to make it out for a game but I have company next weekend..love the city
Posted by htran90
BC
Member since Dec 2012
31919 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

tells me all I need to know. this doesn't happen earlier in the season.



Boston is arguably one of the most underrated teams in the league.

Minnesota have two of the league's brightest stars who balled out that night.

Memphis was just a bad game.

Yet it did happen earlier in the season
Losses v Milwaukee, Detroit, Dallas, Denver, Portland, and even the mighty Lakers.

What's Houston's excuse for losing to Phoenix? Because nobody on this board, including the Rocket fans could explain it that night.
Posted by TbirdSpur2010
ALAMO CITY
Member since Dec 2010
134141 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 4:01 pm to
quote:

you post that Spurs have a 25% chance to beat them so we are on the same page, although I put it closer to 15-20% chance.


That has nothing to do with arbitrary B vs A game BS. I just think they're the favorites vs. anyone, period.

And yeah I've never said I think SA will beat GS. Only that I hope we do and that I think we have the best shot.
Posted by htran90
BC
Member since Dec 2012
31919 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

no one said that was HOUs A game not a one person in this thread can go more than 5-6 posts without making something out of thin air and attributing it to a rockets fan..>Sure sign that you getting your arse handed to you..Well mabye tbird don't do that but shel, you and tran cant help yourselves.



Me mocking you:
quote:

Golden state B game > SAS A game bro
But Houston's A game v GS' B game, they got a shot


You the last two pages:
quote:

Warriors B game beat Spurs A game, too.


quote:

Golden States B game wins a title. Golden states game that lost at home in the last 2 weeks to minnesota and boston and barely beat Memphis can be beaten. So the best time to get them is now.


quote:

irrelevant. The goal is a title. Whether they lose to GSW in the first series or conference finals doesn't make a hill of beans to me. TBH it's better to play Golden State now while they aren't playing their best ball.


insinuates you have a shot.
This post was edited on 4/15/16 at 4:04 pm
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112626 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

They blew you out both games at home...So even if that was their best game, They coulda played a couple notches below that level and still won. Comfortably. that's the reasoning. They split in SAS and played their A game neither time.
So GS is gonna beat SAS in 5 because they were 3-1 in the regular season against SAS with an avg MOV of around 10.

But GS is gonna go 7 games against HOU becuase they went 3-0 in the regular season with an avg MOV of around 12.

That sound about right?
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59874 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

Yet it did happen earlier in the season
that was a 3 or 4 game stretch that they played poorly show me anything comparable in the earlier season. You can't.
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59874 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 4:04 pm to
I didn't ever predict a 7 game series. I made no prediction on the amount of games.
Posted by htran90
BC
Member since Dec 2012
31919 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

that was a 3 or 4 game stretch that they played poorly show me anything comparable in the earlier season. You can't.



I would say losing 2/3, to detroit and denver, and also going 3-1 with a loss to milwaukee and barely escaping boston, barely taking over the last quarter of the 2nd milwaukee game counts as just as bad as the 4 game stretch of utah-boston-portland-minnesota.


Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59874 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

So GS is gonna beat SAS in 5 because they were 3-1
Yep

quote:

in the regular season against SAS with an avg MOV of around 10.
MOV has nothing to do with it they are just clearly the better team. Re MOV: GSW Up by 20 all game, put in Subs and Spurs cut the lead to 10 at the end. Clear example of why your MOV that you love so much can be misleading.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112626 posts
Posted on 4/15/16 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

I didn't ever predict a 7 game series. I made no prediction on the amount of games.

Or did you?

So again, SAS wins 1, HOU wins 3.

You use SAS vs GS in the regular season to say they'll win 1, yet HOU played even worse in the regular season vs GS, no wins and worst avg MOV. Make sense?
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