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re: Google Doc showing NBA MVP voting so far

Posted on 4/13/17 at 8:40 am to
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59874 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 8:40 am to
No I never said that either.

We said that the betting odds aren't always equal to the actual % chance that each bet has of winning according to the bookmakers. And that the lines are moved to encourage action. You made all the dumb assumptions. Again, you trying to take me to school on this. hilarious
Posted by StlPoke
Atlanta
Member since Feb 2017
1191 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 8:41 am to
You can sense the desperation in his posts. It is past denial. He wanted this MVP so bad. It has consumed him.

And just like that, Russ took it away.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112624 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 8:42 am to
Boom: They are giving good odds on harden to encourage bets to come that way bc most of their money is tied up in Westbrook bets.

Me: says the guy who thinks the odds wildly shifted from Westbrook as a long shot to a huge favorite just to get the money closer to even.

Boom: No I never said that Or anything close to it



FYI gambling afficionado, they're giving good odds on Harden because he's a big underdog to win the award. Vegas doesn't give a favorite to win an award "good odds"
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112624 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 8:43 am to
quote:

No I never said that either.

You said Harden has a better chance to win. Westbrook factually is the favorite. So yea, you did say exactly what I said you said.

Posted by StrongBackWeakMind
Member since May 2014
22650 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 8:44 am to
Boom was Trump before Trump.
Posted by Aggie Fishfinder
Republic of Texas
Member since Feb 2012
4260 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 8:45 am to
quote:

TL;DR Russ is going to run away with it from what it seems.


Looks that way. I'd expect him to get 60-70% of the first place votes.
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59874 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 8:53 am to
quote:

Me: says the guy who thinks the odds wildly shifted from Westbrook as a long shot to a huge favorite just to get the money closer to even.


NEVER said this. never. Odds shifted from Westbrook long shot to where they are now bc of what happened on the court. Now the bookies realise they have too many westbrook bets and are encouraging bets on james with a tasty line. Again I can recommend a few books for you. This is one of my fortes you could say.

Can never tell if you are trolling or if you actually Believe what you're typing.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112624 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 8:57 am to
So the odds shifted because Westbrook's odds of winning greatly increased?

Got it!!!!



Just to confirm, Harden is 60% to win while the big Vegas underdog to Westbrook's favorite line?
Posted by TbirdSpur2010
ALAMO CITY
Member since Dec 2010
134141 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 8:58 am to
quote:

You can sense the desperation in his posts. It is past denial. He wanted this MVP so bad. It has consumed him.


What percentage of Piñata's posts the past fortnight have had to do with arguing something regarding the MVP race?

I'd set that O/U at 65% and take the over.
Posted by Aggie Fishfinder
Republic of Texas
Member since Feb 2012
4260 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 8:59 am to
I guess Vegas no longer has voters on payroll to set a decent line...

Posted by StrongBackWeakMind
Member since May 2014
22650 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 9:00 am to
He def has a lot of time, energy and emotion invested into the NBA MVP debate.
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59874 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 9:04 am to
Not many people I know irl care one iota about MVP. If I wanna chat it up a little this is my best spot. Don't think NBA MVP affects b life outside of posting here TBH.
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
40608 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 9:06 am to
Why do you talk in 3rd person
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59874 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 9:06 am to
You gotta follow the line movement. And when and for how much bets were placed to get the whole picture. You don't have the capacity to put it all together and see what's going on. I laid it out CLEARLY.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
140708 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 9:10 am to
Boom are you claiming you never said someone else's quote? Because, I think you spouting about reading comprehension may be a reflection on you, Cabron.

This post was edited on 4/13/17 at 9:11 am
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112624 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 9:13 am to
quote:

You gotta follow the line movement. And when and for how much bets were placed to get the whole picture. You don't have the capacity to put it all together and see what's going on. I laid it out CLEARLY.

Westbrook is the big favorite, Harden is the underdog.

Westbrook is more likely to win.

You can come to grips with that now.
Posted by TbirdSpur2010
ALAMO CITY
Member since Dec 2010
134141 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 9:14 am to
quote:

Not many people I know irl care one iota about MVP.


You should take a hint from them.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112624 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 9:16 am to
So the spreadsheet in the OP has 14 1st place votes for Westbrook and 5 for Harden. Westbrook also has all 1st or 2nd place votes, while Harden does have a 3rd.

3 suspected ballots, 2 more 1st place votes for Westbrook, none for Harden.

What does all of this tell us with about 20% of the 1st/2nd place votes known? Harden - 60% to win, obviously!!!
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
36379 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 9:52 am to
Lowe chose Kawhi.
Posted by Aggie Fishfinder
Republic of Texas
Member since Feb 2012
4260 posts
Posted on 4/13/17 at 9:55 am to
quote:

Lowe chose Kawhi.


Looks like he went against the grain on a few picks. Picked Pop for coach of the year. Also picked Iggy for 6th man. But that really isn't against the grain. I've seen more people voters pick Iggy for 6th man than anybody else.
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