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FanGraphs Releases Annual "Industry Consensus" MLB Trade Value Rankings: 1-50

Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:03 pm
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40950 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:03 pm
LINK

quote:

For those new to the series, it marks an attempt to answer the question “Who would bring back the most in trade if he were put on the market before the deadline?” What’s notable about this list — as opposed to the prospect types I assemble with Eric Longenhagen — is that it’s the only one for which my opinion doesn’t matter. The goal here isn’t for me to project anybody’s future value but rather to capture the opinions of the industry and how they value players in reality, right now.


quote:

1. Jose Ramirez, 3B Indians
2. Francisco Lindor, SS Indians
3. Aaron Judge, RF Yankees
4. Mike Trout, CF Angels
5. Carlos Correa, SS Astros
6. Mookie Betts, RF Red Sox
7. Alex Bregman, 3B Astros
8. Trea Turner, SS Nationals
9. Freddie Freeman, 1B Braves
10. Luis Severino, SP Yankees
11. Kris Bryant, 3B Cubs
12. Corey Kluber, SP Indians
13. Corey Seager, SS Dodgers
14. Andrew Benintendi, OF Red Sox
15. Ozzie Albies, 2B Braves
16. Matt Chapman, 3B Athletics
17. Ronald Acuña Jr, OF Braves
18. Vladimir Guerrero Jr, IF Blue Jays
19. Juan Soto, LF Nationals
20. Gleyber Torres, 2B Yankees
21. Aaron Nola, SP Phillies
22. Christian Yelich, OF Brewers
23. Chris Sale, SP Red Sox
24. J.T. Realmuto, C Marlins
25. Jacob deGrom, SP Mets
26. Cody Bellinger, 1B Dodgers
27. George Springer, CF Astros
28. Willson Contreras, C Cubs
29. Noah Syndergaard, SP Mets
30. Shohei Ohtani, SP/DH Angels
31. Gary Sanchez, C Yankees
32. Eugenio Suarez, 3B Reds
33. Mitch Haniger, OF Mariners
34. Rhys Hoskins, LF Phillies
35. Blake Snell, SP Rays
36. Jose Altuve, 2B Astros
37. Andrelton Simmons, SS Angels
38. Anthony Rizzo, 1B Cubs
39. Fernando Tatis Jr, SS Padres
40. Walker Buehler, SP Dodgers
41. Max Scherzer, SP Nationals
42. Buster Posey, C Giants
43. Odubel Herrera, CF Phillies
44. Victor Robles, CF Nationals
45. Rafael Devers, 3B Red Sox
46. Jose Berrios, SP Twins
47. Trevor Bauer, SP Indians
48. James Paxton, SP Mariners
49. Jean Segura, SS Mariners
50. Kyle Tucker, OF Astros
This post was edited on 7/20/18 at 10:07 pm
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145174 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:06 pm to
quote:

13. Corey Seager, SS Dodgers
surprising given his injury and that it may force him to second
Posted by The Seaward
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2006
11351 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:07 pm to
It was a good read. Jose Ramirez's trajectory over the past few years has been pretty crazy. It still seems like most people probably don't realize how good he is.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145174 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:07 pm to
quote:

It still seems like most people probably don't realize how good he is.
its wild that baseball has this problem
Posted by TheAstroTiger
Member since Jun 2018
3101 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:09 pm to
I would flip one and four. Also surprised Kyle tucker is on the list.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145174 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:10 pm to
Trout is making like 30 million dollars now. I assume that's why hes no longer #1
This post was edited on 7/20/18 at 10:11 pm
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278458 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:11 pm to

quote:

15. Ozzie Albies, 2B Braves


quote:

16. Matt Chapman, 3B Athletics



quote:

27. George Springer, CF Astros


quote:

31. Gary Sanchez, C Yankees
32. Eugenio Suarez, 3B Reds




lol wtf these guys are way too high



Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40950 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:12 pm to
quote:

I would flip one and four.


Trout is clearly the best player in the game but you only have him for 2.5 more years vs. 5.5 more for Ramirez.
Posted by Drewbie
tFlagship
Member since Jun 2012
57902 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:13 pm to
No Bryce Harper in the top 50?
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
44871 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:15 pm to
Harper has half a year left on his contract and will command a gigantic contract in free agency. He'd have been in the top 5 if you made this list two years ago.
This post was edited on 7/20/18 at 10:17 pm
Posted by The Seaward
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2006
11351 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:16 pm to
quote:

No Bryce Harper in the top 50?


He only has half a year of control left. Mike Trout might not even make the top 50 if he only had that amount of control left.
Posted by The Seaward
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2006
11351 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:19 pm to
quote:

lol wtf these guys are way too high


The guy that wrote the piece has major industry contacts and passed multiple versions of the list around before coming to this final version. I'm sure with retrospect, parts of this list will look silly, but I doubt anything is too crazy right now.
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
44871 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:19 pm to
quote:

1. Jose Ramirez, 3B Indians
2. Francisco Lindor, SS Indians


Also, I think Cleveland will try and trade one of these two in the next 3 years. They know they won't be able to resign them both and their window is going to shut fast. They'll lose at least two of Miller, Brantley, and Bauer within the next 2 years and they aren't set up as well long term as Houston, NYY, or Boston. Their window was 2016 through this year, IMO. If they don't win the World Series this year, they won't win one with this core.
This post was edited on 7/20/18 at 10:21 pm
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40950 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:21 pm to
Albies and Chapman both with 5.5+ WAR in their first ~full season (Chapman a couple games more and Albies a handful of games less) and both are controlled through 2023.

5-6 WAR position players with 5.5 years left of control belong in the top 20.

Suarez is signed long term below market value and is a top 5 3B bat. Think he belongs at least there.

Agree on Springer and Sanchez being too high. Turner, Freeman, Syndergaard seem a little high to me as well.
Posted by ProjectP2294
South St. Louis city
Member since May 2007
70381 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:22 pm to
What does nolan arenado's contract situation look like? He seems to be a notable omission to me.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145174 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:24 pm to
1.5 years left. And he will be pushing 20 million in his late year of arbitration
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278458 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:24 pm to
quote:

but I doubt anything is too crazy right now.



The fact that he has Matt Chapman 17 but no arenado at all, Altuve 36 behind someone like Albies and Suarez is laughable to name a few.

Mitch Haniger & Hoskins at 33-34 lol
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40950 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:26 pm to
FA after next year. Rendon and Goldschmidt in the same boat.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145174 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:27 pm to
quote:

The fact that he has Matt Chapman 17 b
on pace for over 6 WAR and still has two pre arb years left
Posted by The Seaward
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2006
11351 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

The fact that he has Matt Chapman 17 but no arenado at all,


Chapman's contract is way better, and I bet if they switched parks, we wouldn't even be having this discussion.
This post was edited on 7/20/18 at 10:29 pm
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