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Declining home court advantage in NBA
Posted on 5/16/26 at 3:48 pm
Posted on 5/16/26 at 3:48 pm
2
Posted on 5/16/26 at 3:57 pm to UFFan
its because in the 1980s refs were worse and therefore more influenced by the home crowd
This post was edited on 5/16/26 at 4:00 pm
Posted on 5/16/26 at 4:00 pm to sgallo3
^ To expand
In their 2011 book “Scorecasting,” Yale behavioral economist Tobias Moskowitz and “Sports Illustrated” editor Jon Wertheim identified referee bias toward the home team as the primary factor in generating this home-court advantage, largely due to three distinct disparities:
More free throws. NBA referees awarded the home team one to 1.5 more free throws per game.
More favorable discretionary turnover calls. This was quantified in a 2012 study by BYU Professor Joseph Price, who found that referees granted the home team 11% more discretionary turnovers per game in the same period.
More aggressive play. The expectation of lenient officiating encourages home teams to play more aggressively, and the expectation of more harsh officiating toward visitors encourages them to play more carefully.
Moskowitz and Wertheim found that this combination of disparities gave home teams an average of over 2.5 points per game and accounted for three-quarters of the home-court advantage in the 2000s.
In their 2011 book “Scorecasting,” Yale behavioral economist Tobias Moskowitz and “Sports Illustrated” editor Jon Wertheim identified referee bias toward the home team as the primary factor in generating this home-court advantage, largely due to three distinct disparities:
More free throws. NBA referees awarded the home team one to 1.5 more free throws per game.
More favorable discretionary turnover calls. This was quantified in a 2012 study by BYU Professor Joseph Price, who found that referees granted the home team 11% more discretionary turnovers per game in the same period.
More aggressive play. The expectation of lenient officiating encourages home teams to play more aggressively, and the expectation of more harsh officiating toward visitors encourages them to play more carefully.
Moskowitz and Wertheim found that this combination of disparities gave home teams an average of over 2.5 points per game and accounted for three-quarters of the home-court advantage in the 2000s.
Posted on 5/16/26 at 10:07 pm to UFFan
Orlando begs to differ
During the playoffs the pistons flat out said they never want to play in Orlando again because it was deafening and the most insane atmosphere they have ever played in
During the playoffs the pistons flat out said they never want to play in Orlando again because it was deafening and the most insane atmosphere they have ever played in
This post was edited on 5/16/26 at 10:08 pm
Posted on 5/16/26 at 10:16 pm to FLTech
These are some actual stats here. Home court win % is down like 13% from what it once was.
Not some anecdotal comments by the Pistons to justify why they lost games 3-4 to the 8 seed.
Not some anecdotal comments by the Pistons to justify why they lost games 3-4 to the 8 seed.
Posted on 5/16/26 at 10:18 pm to sgallo3
Fake news
Posted on 5/17/26 at 12:10 am to UFFan
I'd wager it's because crowds used to be into games and not checking theor phones all the time. There was a time when people went to an event to be entertained and not just to be seen. There was a time when crowds cheered for the home team and knew what was going on in the game.
Posted on 5/17/26 at 12:37 am to Calen50
quote:
I'd wager it's because crowds used to be into games and not checking theor phones all the time. There was a time when people went to an event to be entertained and not just to be seen. There was a time when crowds cheered for the home team and knew what was going on in the game.
Look at ticket prices… the louder fans are priced out in favor of people who are too rich to care as much
And back in the day there was more incentive to help home teams with favorable officiating. The league wanted home fans to go home happy. Now with NBA being a TV product they can call it straighter down the middle.
Posted on 5/17/26 at 4:10 am to UFFan
Dang you owned him there, no sarcasm
Posted on 5/17/26 at 7:07 am to chalmetteowl
quote:
Look at ticket prices… the louder fans are priced out in favor of people who are too rich to care as much
Have 100% seen this at college football games.
The loudest, roudiest, fans tend to be blue collar, lower-middle income types. They can't afford to go the same way they used to.
Sporting events have become completely corporate. Even the vibe in the stadiums is more sterile.
Upper income, "professionals" are not gonna be drunk and screaming the F word the same way Bubba Lee would have
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