re: Daily Sports Betting Thread - 3/17, Luck of the Irish Edition

So every one was all over SD State. They score a lot of points, they said. They are one of the best shooting teams in the country, they said. SD State put up big scoring totals against good teams early in the season, they said. Providence was the luckiest team in the nation, they said.

Well SD State is playing a team with a pulse for the first time since before Christmas, and it is showing. 24 first half points. Today's first example of how the "know it all's" on TV and the internet really don't have a clue. And there will be plenty more.

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They also only gave up 31. No lead is safe this time of year. Especially a 8 point half time lead.

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I don't care who wins I just need them to get to 141 points. And that will take some doing.

Got a damn push on SD St. at +9. Goober fouling with 18 seconds left. Ugh.

Just saw a parlay being promoted on Fanduel that I like.

4-leg by Jon Rothstein (+772)
Gonzaga -19.5
UNC ML
Ark -2.5
San Fran ML

I'm taking Memphis -12 live if it odds are good. currently -15.5 (-125) with score 40-23

I think SF will win, but I like them +2.5 for a parlay. Still a +693 if you take the spread

Also I still have the parlay insurance on Fanduel, so I would do it there.

Well that’s Longwood’s nickname from here on out. The Fighting Jason Mraz’s

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College basketball is the hardest thing to bet I've run across

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I have had reasonably good success betting spreads and over/unders on college basketball since all this became legal. I am a decent amount ahead. But come post season, it is so much harder. During the regular season, especially in conference play, you can look at a lot of data and comparisons between teams who all play each other a lot.

Come tournament time, it is like comparing apples to oranges. Who knows how a team like South Dakota State will match up with Providence? Will Memphis' better athletes win out over Boise State's shooters and slower pace? It is a total crapshoot.

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UTk is rolling.

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Yeah Longwood and their bullshite can frick right off. Getting them at + 18.5 seemed like a good idea at the time. So here they are down 25 at half looking like they don't belong in the same building as Tennessee.

damn