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re: College all star team vs MLB team

Posted on 4/6/25 at 1:59 pm to
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
149428 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 1:59 pm to
i guess. i was more drawn to the idea that college baseball is somehow on par with AA ball
Posted by PP7 for heisman
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2011
8791 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

but i would bet the under on 7 wins for the whole year

Arms aren't there, especially relief arms.

Over an entire season, Skenes/Lowder can only get you so far. I mean the Pirates already lose games with Skenes going 7 scoreless
Posted by PP7 for heisman
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2011
8791 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

i guess. i was more drawn to the idea that college baseball is somehow on par with AA ball

Yeah feel like that was a comment made by Ben McDonald or something on a random broadcast and LSU fans have run with it.

SEC baseball is probably equivalent, at its' absolute peak, to high A ball. More realistically the modern version of A ball once Low A was eliminated. Better than Rookie ball for the most part.
Posted by vidtiger23
Member since Feb 2012
7913 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

The White Sox would sweep every time.

I wouldn’t say everytime. MLB teams lose to lesser teams all of the time. Baseball is a weird game.
Posted by vidtiger23
Member since Feb 2012
7913 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

Paul skenes couldn’t make it out of the first inning the first time he pitched in AA in 2023.

Yea he totally sucked when he made it to the majors a few months later.
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
36381 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

Yea he totally sucked when he made it to the majors a few months later.



That was the following season.



With an offseason of MLB training, mlb spring training, mlb pitching development etc.




In 2023 in AA he went 0.2 innings and gave up 4 runs. He pitched one more time went 2 innings and then was shut down
Posted by PP7 for heisman
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2011
8791 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 2:20 pm to
You're taking a sample size out of his worst possible conditions lol. He had 6 weeks off after throwing the most he's ever thrown, went on a media circuit, then threw a pre-planned probably ~50 pitches.

June '23 Paul Skenes >>> August '23 Paul skenes
Posted by vidtiger23
Member since Feb 2012
7913 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

In 2023 in AA he went 0.2 innings and gave up 4 runs. He pitched one more time went 2 innings and then was shut down

Right, but you’re using one outing to make a statement that in no way he could have pitched against major league teams because he would have gotten shelled. That’s not how baseball works. He didn’t go from someone with not able to pitch to literally being an All-star in one off season.
Posted by texastiger15
Phoenix, AZ
Member since Jan 2019
769 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 2:28 pm to
Dylan crews won the golden spikes and is hitting sub .100 so far

It’s a different game in the bigs
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
36381 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

You're taking a sample size out of his worst possible conditions lol. He had 6 weeks off after throwing the most he's ever thrown, went on a media circuit, then threw a pre-planned probably ~50 pitches.


Rhett Lowder had a 4.31 era In double A in 2024 over 77 innings.


Is that a big enough sample size to say he would get knocked around in 2023 vs a major league lineup?
This post was edited on 4/6/25 at 2:55 pm
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
38868 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 3:25 pm to
They'd win some games. But it really all depends on the pitching matchups
Posted by sorantable
Member since Dec 2008
53378 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

Supposedly, college baseball is on par with AA



College baseball probably isn’t even on the low-A rookie ball level.
Posted by profwilson
Member since Jul 2004
923 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

who is saying this?


Last week, Todd Walker said during one of the LSU broadcasts (can't remember which one) that big-time college baseball--SEC or ACC--is absolutely comparable to AA. Now, his word is not gospel and he might be wrong, but he had a successful MLB career and watches a LOT of college baseball. So I take his opinion as at least plausible--more so than the random assertions of any of us on a message board.

Those saying that college baseball is comparable to the low minors at best are not accounting for changes in the sport over the last decade. This may have been true twenty or thirty years ago, but the combination of NIL money and the substantially reduced size of the MLB draft has narrowed the gap between the upper minors and big-time college baseball considerably. The one major advantage that minor-league baseball does still have vis-a-vis the college game is the presence of talent from Latin America.
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
36381 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

more so than the random assertions of any of us on a message board. Those saying that college baseball is comparable to the low minors at best are not accounting for changes in the sport over the last decade. This may have been true twenty or thirty years ago, but the combination of NIL money and the substantially reduced size of the MLB draft has narrowed the gap between the upper minors and big-time college baseball considerably. The one major advantage that minor-league baseball does still have vis-a-vis the college game is the presence of talent from Latin America.





This isn’t just random assertions.


Take 2023 LSU.


Unquestionably the top team in college baseball that year.


For every Paul skenes and Dylan crews who are rapid risers there were key players like Brayden Joubert or Jordan Thompson who struggles in A ball or even Hayden travinski Cade beloso or Alex millazo who don’t make it to there.


Hell even Tommy white ain’t setting the world on fire yet in A ball much less AA.





I just don’t see how you can call SEC hall equivalent to double A when even that team had half a team or more that won’t sniff AA.
Posted by PP7 for heisman
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2011
8791 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 5:32 pm to
quote:

Rhett Lowder had a 4.31 era In double A in 2024 over 77 innings.

Rhett Lowder also had a 1.17 ERA in the MLB in 2024 over 30.2 innings

Why are you just using the AA numbers?
Posted by PP7 for heisman
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2011
8791 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 5:34 pm to
quote:

College baseball probably isn’t even on the low-A rookie ball level.

No need to be hyperbolic. Your top end SEC series (what we're talking about here) have more talent than the average rookie ball game (low A doesn't exist anymore).
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
36381 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 5:36 pm to
quote:

Rhett Lowder also had a 1.17 ERA in the MLB in 2024 over 30.2 innings Why are you just using the AA numbers?



Because you are talking about him facing MLB players in 2023z


How he faced mlb players at the end of 2024 after a season and a half of mlb system development is not how he would perform in 2023.


The closest we have is how he started in 2024 which would be his double A performance
Posted by reauxl tigers
Tiger Woods Fan
Member since Aug 2014
9811 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 8:17 pm to
Baseball is not like football. An all star team of college players would be better than the 2024 White Sox.
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
36381 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

Baseball is not like football. An all star team of college players would be better than the 2024 White Sox.



The 2024 white Sox that you think so little of IS a college all star team plus an all star team of international prospects.



Just offhand they had two golden spikes winners on that team. A pitcher who was on the watchlist prior to Covid cancellation who became a mlb all star

One international prospect who was ranked number 2 overall

A 1st round draft pick out of high school who reached the number 10 overall prospect and hit 110 on the radar gun.


I mention the prospect ranking because that shows that they were having success at levels higher than college baseball.

That’s not going into the mass amount of 1-3 round draft picks out of college and high school who have multiple seasons worth of experience seeing and facing professional talent.

The notion that a college all star team is better than the 2024 white Sox is laughable

This post was edited on 4/6/25 at 9:24 pm
Posted by AUFANATL
Member since Dec 2007
5052 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 9:42 pm to

Baseball is unique in that a starting pitcher can neutralize a major talent deficiency.

So an all-star team with Steven Strasbourg or Paul Skenes throwing their best stuff could definitely steal 1 of 3 from an MLB team having an off night.

It's probably the only scenario where a college team from any sport could beat their pro equivalents.

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