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re: CFB Betting: Week 1

Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:11 am to
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
4967 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:11 am to
There’s a $10 risk-free bet on Fanduel.

Trying to find one good bet to use it on instead of a parlay. Looking at plus odds on alt spreads

Maybe Utah -9.5 (+182)
Or take a TCU -24 or -27
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
53848 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:16 am to
quote:

There’s a $10 risk-free bet on Fanduel.

Trying to find one good bet to use it on instead of a parlay. Looking at plus odds on alt spreads


I’m using that to put together a parlay that will end up +1500-+2000. Those risk frees are what I use for my long odds parlays. Going to sit down and look at it tonight. Will probably be all ML and teasers.
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
36673 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:30 am to
North Texas +7 vs Cal. Cal traveling to denton for 3pm game? looking at the under too
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
4967 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:32 am to
I already threw away a couple bucks at this one.. might reduce it to about a 6-leg for $10 risk-free bet for a bigger payout.

I read that “good” FBS teams last year were undefeated ATS in week 1 matchups, hence all the plays on large spreads.

Posted by GoldenBoy
Winning!
Member since Nov 2004
42011 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

Bet the farm if you agree with that silly buzzard Luginbill on Colorado's roster talent.
If he's reading it right, it will be an extraordinary feat of coaching by Prime to win one game this season.
I think he's misreading it.


He might be overselling it, but I think he's onto something. There is zero depth on that roster.
Posted by sunnydaze
Member since Jan 2010
30028 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 1:50 pm to
Taking a 38.5 spread is ridiculous
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65497 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 1:53 pm to
especially if you consider usc let up fricking 6.0 ypp vs sj state last weekend

they couldnt stop a nose bleed, no way they cover a spread that large
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
4967 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

Taking a 38.5 spread is ridiculous


Week 1 last year, FBS teams that were favored by at least 4 TDs against other FBS teams went 8-0 ATS.

That included
Bama -42 vs Utah State
Texas -37 vs ULM
Tennessee-37 vs Ball St
Minnesota-36 vs NM St

Minnesota was the only one that won by < 38.5

Baylor also covered -42.5
Miami covered -49.5
Wisconsin covered -36.5
Marshall covered -40.5
Texas Tech covered -38
(Not sure all of those were against FBS)
This post was edited on 8/30/23 at 2:09 pm
Posted by krs1190
Member since Aug 2023
250 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 2:07 pm to
Buffalo +28
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
53848 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 4:47 pm to
Fanduel risk free

+3231
Utah ML
Miami FL -9.5
Purdue ML
Utah State +28.5
Illinois -6.5
South Carolina +7.5
Tulane ML
Oregon State -12.5
LSU ML
Posted by 632627
LA
Member since Dec 2011
12772 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 6:17 pm to
quote:


Taking a 38.5 spread is ridiculous


Not at all, one team is clearly overmatched and you're simply betting on the favored team to pay attention long enough to cover the number.

That said, I'd never lay that many points on this awful usc defense.
This post was edited on 8/31/23 at 10:54 am
Posted by TigersBy90
Member since Oct 2019
300 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 7:48 pm to
What y’all think about Florida money line? Just seen Utahs QB isn’t gonna be playing
Posted by krs1190
Member since Aug 2023
250 posts
Posted on 8/31/23 at 8:53 am to
Love the under in the Florida game.
Posted by Blutarsky
112th Congress
Member since Jan 2004
9674 posts
Posted on 8/31/23 at 9:40 am to
Line dropped from 6.5 to 4.5

At one point it was 5.5 so I think Vegas already had the line set for Rising not playing.
Posted by usc6158
Member since Feb 2008
35365 posts
Posted on 8/31/23 at 9:43 am to
quote:

Not at all, one team is clearly overwatched and you're simply betting on the favored team to pay attention long enough to cover the number.

That said, I'd never lay that many points on this awful usc defense.



USC has to score over 60 to cover a 38 point spread. Not happening with the new clock rules.
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
53848 posts
Posted on 8/31/23 at 10:12 am to
DraftKings has put up a risk free Week 1 bet offer now. I will create a second parlay that won’t hit.
Posted by StrongOffer
Member since Sep 2020
4368 posts
Posted on 8/31/23 at 11:17 am to
Army -9.5 over ULM
BC -8.5 over NIU
LSU -2.5 over FSU
Posted by justaniceguy
Member since Sep 2020
5463 posts
Posted on 8/31/23 at 11:29 am to
This is my little parlay for tonight’s games

Utah ML - Nebraska +7 - Kent state under 55
This post was edited on 8/31/23 at 11:30 am
Posted by KamaCausey_LSU
Member since Apr 2013
14553 posts
Posted on 8/31/23 at 11:32 am to
Accidentally added a decimal point so I'm betting 10 units on NC State -13.5 vs UConn. Cash out value sucked so I'm just going to ride with it.

Well, I guess FanDuel rep was right when I asked for it to be voided right after I bet it... Sucks to suck.
This post was edited on 8/31/23 at 10:40 pm
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77517 posts
Posted on 8/31/23 at 11:38 am to
Also thinking bama -39 will be a good play. They prob want to make a statement and run through mtsu hard. Hard to see how mtsu scores more than a few points
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