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re: CFB Betting Thread: Week 3

Posted on 9/10/19 at 11:42 am to
Posted by Veritas
Member since Feb 2005
9844 posts
Posted on 9/10/19 at 11:42 am to
There are some incredibly stinky lines right now on my book.

UNC +3
Ohio st. -15.5
Maryland -7

These all seem like locks to me, probably fade myself hard.
Posted by LB84
Member since May 2016
4351 posts
Posted on 9/10/19 at 12:50 pm to
NCState -6.5 @ WVU is free money. NCState defense hasn't given up a touchdown yet and WVU has the 124th ranked total offense.

Plus throw in Tony Gibson being the co-D coordinator for NCState. He is a players coach who was WVU's D coordinator last year. He wanted the head coaching job and the players campaigned for him to be head coach but were denied. Gibson's players are going to go all out for him saturday.
Posted by Pocket Kingz
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2013
1762 posts
Posted on 9/11/19 at 2:02 pm to
first bets of the year save for one 3 pick parlay (.3 units)

Colorado -3.5 2.2 units
NC State -7 2 units
Arkasas -10 2 units
This post was edited on 9/11/19 at 2:13 pm
Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
31733 posts
Posted on 9/11/19 at 9:30 pm to
Marshall -5.5

That's it for CFB, so far.
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile, AL.
Member since May 2008
35364 posts
Posted on 9/11/19 at 9:33 pm to
Tempted on under in FL-Kentucky

also kinda like Pitt
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile, AL.
Member since May 2008
35364 posts
Posted on 9/11/19 at 9:35 pm to
quote:

south bama +ml over memphis (you need at least one big ML)


Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48040 posts
Posted on 9/12/19 at 9:07 am to
Added lines for the 1st 4 plays of the weekend in the OP.
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66676 posts
Posted on 9/12/19 at 9:10 am to
quote:

South Alabama Fan

last week it was illinois who had no business being a 3 score favorite on the road. i dont know what kind of faith i could put in a lukewarm memphis team that allowed 24 to Southern (LA) last we laying 3 scores+ on the road
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66676 posts
Posted on 9/12/19 at 9:14 am to
KU Value (rank)
Pass Play % 36.21% (#111)

Les
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
83485 posts
Posted on 9/12/19 at 11:34 am to
quote:

Colorado -3.5 2.2 units


Have you heard of Paul Stone? If so, run like hell from that one.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48040 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 8:55 am to
Some interesting games tonight..

UNC @ Wake Forest
Kansas @ BC
Wazzu @ Houston
Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
6803 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:17 am to
W1: 18-4-0
W2: 7-3-0

Haven't looked at the board much past tonight. Really big on UNC +3. The heels have really impressed me in their first 2 games and Mack Brown looks like he's got them boys playing really well from the jump. Ready for another big CFB week. LFG!

Also like the Twins (Odorizzi) ML first 5 innings tonight (Twins hit 72% of first five bets when my guys on the bump). Got UNC +3 and Twins first 5 ML parlayed tonight, good luck bros.
This post was edited on 9/13/19 at 9:18 am
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66676 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:29 am to
im really intrigued by the wake-unc game. too bad it starts at 5: ct.
Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
6803 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:35 am to
I am really interested in the UF/UK line. I am thinking it keeps moving towards UF, in which case I will slamalama ding dong the Cats at home when it gets >+8. I am not sold on the Gators at all, esp on the road in a hostile SEC environment (albeit UK, but still).
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66676 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:37 am to
i think i like houston not only to cover, but possibly to win outright. teams move the ball ok on wash st. both nm st and no colo had some decent drives.

granted houston got torched by ou, but ou is probably going to torch a lot of people. wash st is really good ats the last few years. tough play going against the market. crazy line move on this one. lots of action on tPirate:

Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66676 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:39 am to
there is no model, trend, or logical reasoning that can explain how fla gets lucky on some bullshite every time
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66676 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:40 am to
crazy movement on the florida line too:

Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
6803 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:44 am to
Love the charts Winston, thanks for the info, going to have to check out that site.

I usually get info from Oddsshark but always looking for new sources, esp ones that visualize data for you and eliminate that entire process.

The craziest line movement I have ever seen is when LSU lost to Troy in 2017. We were playing UF the next week. The line opened -6.5 UF and closed -1 LSU. LSU won by 1.
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66676 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:45 am to
oddshark is blocked on my work computer, as well as most others, so i use teamrankings:

LINK
Posted by BowDownToLSU
Livingston louisiana
Member since Feb 2010
21060 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 10:34 am to
I really like Notre Dame to cover(-34) at home against New Mexico
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