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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 11/2/12 at 8:20 am to Bho
I just started looking race by race.
Am I crazy for liking sweet Shirley Mae in the juv sprint? I think she's my pick.
As for the marathon, I've bet atigun quite a bit this year, so I feel bad if I leave him out. Worth repeating is out, but they haven't said why. Maybe I'll try to hit a bomb in here with juniper pass or the south American filly. Wish I could've seen the horse training without a saddle.
Am I crazy for liking sweet Shirley Mae in the juv sprint? I think she's my pick.
As for the marathon, I've bet atigun quite a bit this year, so I feel bad if I leave him out. Worth repeating is out, but they haven't said why. Maybe I'll try to hit a bomb in here with juniper pass or the south American filly. Wish I could've seen the horse training without a saddle.
This post was edited on 11/2/12 at 8:26 am
Posted on 11/2/12 at 8:26 am to Aspercel
quote:
Am I crazy for liking sweet Shirley Mae in the juv sprint? I think she's my pick.
I think South Floyd is going to blow out and set a blistering pace. Merit Man and Super Ninety Nine right off of him. Those two are probably the best in the race, but I may try to hit on the late running claimer, Hazordous.
quote:
As for the marathon
I'm playing the gelded angle. Commander was gelded and has since rattled off 6 in a row. At least he likes to win.
Posted on 11/2/12 at 8:30 am to Bho
I don't know what to do in filly turf. I like spring venture.
I'll probably just bet her or skip the race all together.
I printed out Saturday so I'd have something to do on the plane.
I'll probably just bet her or skip the race all together.
I printed out Saturday so I'd have something to do on the plane.
This post was edited on 11/2/12 at 8:35 am
Posted on 11/2/12 at 9:11 am to Aspercel
I'm going to have to watch the first couple before deciding on that. I think the public is going to be all over Spring Venture. I may get a better price on Sky Lantern which is probably a better horse. Also, I expect a morning report on Gantry tomorrow. I want to know if he's live. That will save me some time from handicapping that race.
Posted on 11/2/12 at 9:20 am to Bho
Will do
That last work still has me in tears, but he had a few good unpublished works between races. They say he likes the track. Thank god for no rain. He's a little wuss about mud. Wish fast bullet was to our inside, not outside.
That last work still has me in tears, but he had a few good unpublished works between races. They say he likes the track. Thank god for no rain. He's a little wuss about mud. Wish fast bullet was to our inside, not outside.
Posted on 11/2/12 at 9:33 am to Bho
quote:
I think South Floyd is going to blow out and set a blistering pace. Merit Man and Super Ninety Nine right off of him. Those two are probably the best in the race, but I may try to hit on the late running claimer, Hazordous
ESPN's Streak for the Cash has a prop bet I am thinking of laying down my 4 game streak on...
Which horse will win the race?
(A) Merit Man or Super Ninety Nine
(B) Any other horse
I am leaning (A) for no other reason than they are the favorites. What is the opinion here?
Posted on 11/2/12 at 9:36 am to OnTheBrink
quote:
Which horse will win the race?
(A) Merit Man or Super Ninety Nine
(B) Any other horse
They are the best two horses IMO. There are scenarios where I think they can get beat, but under normal circumstances A would be the correct choice.
Posted on 11/2/12 at 9:41 am to Bho
quote:
scenarios where I think they can get beat
Please explain. Weather, jitters? And please excuse my ignorance in horse racing.
Posted on 11/2/12 at 9:43 am to OnTheBrink
Not leaving the gate, getting bumped, jock drops a rein (lol chantel) or stick, get hurt, horse go down in front or next to them, equipment failure, or just plain not cooperating. They are animals after all.
Posted on 11/2/12 at 9:44 am to Aspercel
quote:
Aspercel
What would you go with if presented the option above?
Posted on 11/2/12 at 9:45 am to OnTheBrink
Best option is a...
But I'd go with b. I'm a rebel like that
Plus, I like the filly to the outside a bit.
But I'd go with b. I'm a rebel like that
Plus, I like the filly to the outside a bit.
Posted on 11/2/12 at 9:51 am to Aspercel
Yeah, typically in these "too good to be true" scenarios the majority of pickers go with the heavy favorite. As of right now only 67% are picking (A) which worries me.
Posted on 11/2/12 at 9:55 am to OnTheBrink
I'll probably just wps her. Bet I'll get much better than her 4-1 ml
Posted on 11/2/12 at 10:37 am to OnTheBrink
quote:
Please explain. Weather, jitters? And please excuse my ignorance in horse racing.
Here is another example. Fast forward to the 1:29 and watch these horses come home. There is all kinds of stuff going on. Horse on the inside ducks out and cleans house. Also Julien(6) obviously has had something happen with his saddle, because he never looks like that on a horse. I was watching this for a race tomorrow
Bourbon Stakes @ Keeneland
Posted on 11/2/12 at 10:37 am to Aspercel
quote:
I'll probably just wps her. Bet I'll get much better than her 4-1 ml
Who?
Posted on 11/2/12 at 10:41 am to Bho
Sweet Shirley Mae
The bourbon was really rough.
There is always so much luck involved
The bourbon was really rough.
There is always so much luck involved
Posted on 11/2/12 at 11:38 am to Aspercel
Super Ninety Nine scratched.
Posted on 11/2/12 at 11:52 am to Bho
I guess that will screw up the prop on ESPN's SFTC.....
Posted on 11/2/12 at 11:56 am to Bho
DAYUM!!!
Really? Mysterious Baffert fever?
Oh. Cast in stal. Shitty luck
Really? Mysterious Baffert fever?
Oh. Cast in stal. Shitty luck
This post was edited on 11/2/12 at 11:57 am
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