re: BCS Bowl Projections (Week 11)

You are correct. I was thinking they only had 2 losses for some reason.

It doesn't matter if you're 1-2 loss team if eligible. BCS bowls are about ticket sales except BCSNCG.

Sure, but it matters if you have more qualified (by season performance), eligible teams that would also bring the ticket sales. Why not put USC in every year they're eligible?

USC wins out against top 20 ucla and top 4 ND and beats top 2 UO we'll be in the Rose Bowl for sure.

That's a pretty tall order, but it can be done.

i was with you till you said..

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beats top 2 UO

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beats top 2 UO we'll be in the Rose Bowl for sure.

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Yeah, tall order...a Duck team we can't stop for one single series...at Autzen with a berth in the National Title game on the line.

USC has enough problems getting to that game.

I don't see Tech climbing ahead of NU, Rutgers, aTm, Louisville, and USC

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would the Sugar really take an SEC at large and pass on ND?

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I think so. Here was my post in a different thread about this from earlier today:

Don't tick off Slive with the Champions Bowl site selection coming up and the second SEC team is still really good and a huge draw. Plus, look at how the selection process would play out. If you take ND, the Fiesta probably takes the SEC team. You're now basically forced to take either Oklahoma or Louisville if you're the Sugar (potentially Clemson could be in the top 14 but not guaranteed if they lose to South Carolina). Oklahoma is a rematch from earlier in the year. That's not unprecedented, but it'd likely want to be avoided. The other is ND-Louisville.

So it basically appears the Sugar has three options:

1) SEC-Oklahoma
2) ND-Oklahoma
3) ND-Louisville

I think No. 1 would clearly be their preference.

And believe it or not, I actually think it'd be the Rose that would potentially be more likely to select ND than the Sugar. If they already have a pretty bad Big Ten team, they might want ND rather than a team like Oregon State coming off a loss in their last game of the season and not a huge draw.

If you're expecting Nebraska to lose, the only chance is this weekend vs. PSU. They have already been through their rough stretch (Michigan/NW/Ohio St/Wisconsin/Mich St)... their last 2 games of the season are against Minnesota and Iowa.

Also, it's very possible for every team in the Pac-12 (w/ the exception of Oregon) to end up with 3 or more losses --

Stanford (currently 7-2): still must play Oregon St., Oregon, UCLA

Oregon St. (currently 7-1): still must play Stanford, Oregon

UCLA (currently 7-2): still must play USC, Stanford

USC (currently 6-3): still must play UCLA, ND

What happens if Stanford and Oregon beat Oregon State, Oregon beats Stanford, and Stanford or USC beat UCLA? All Pac-12 teams would have at least 3 losses.

Yeah if there isn't an eligible Pac12 team, which is very possible, they'd probably take ND unless the Sugar beats them to the punch and then, who the hell knows. Do they take OU to play NU? An SEC team, LSU bought tickets when it looked like we'd go there in 2006, got to think LSU or UF fans would flock to the Rose Bowl.