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Baylor's path to the playoff.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 4:50 pm
Posted on 11/24/19 at 4:50 pm
1) Baylor wins out (probably not likely)
2) LSU, Ohio State, and Clemson all win out (very good chance).
3) Auburn beats Bama (possible)
4) Oregon beats Utah (possible).
Seems like Baylor gets in for sure if all that happens. Would leave Baylor as a 1 loss conference champion with a bunch of 2 loss non conference champions competing for that same spot.
2) LSU, Ohio State, and Clemson all win out (very good chance).
3) Auburn beats Bama (possible)
4) Oregon beats Utah (possible).
Seems like Baylor gets in for sure if all that happens. Would leave Baylor as a 1 loss conference champion with a bunch of 2 loss non conference champions competing for that same spot.
6
Posted on 11/24/19 at 4:51 pm to GeauxTigers123
Baylor is not getting in.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 4:51 pm to Splackavellie
It is a hypothetical situation. If all that falls in place, I think they get in.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 4:52 pm to GeauxTigers123
quote:yes. They may not even need #3. Well they shouldn't.
Seems like Baylor gets in for sure if all that happens
Posted on 11/24/19 at 4:52 pm to GeauxTigers123
quote:
3) Auburn beats Bama (possible)
while this would obviously help baylor's chances, it's not realy a requirement
quote:
4) Oregon beats Utah
agree.
Assuming LSU/OSU/CU are 3, the last spot is going to come down to winners of the pac12 and big12 assuming only 1 loss. Bama doesn't really factor into this.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 4:53 pm to castorinho
I feel like they need #3. CFP committee loves eyeball test
Posted on 11/24/19 at 4:54 pm to GeauxTigers123
quote:
If all that falls in place, I think they get in.
If everything you posted happened how could they conceivably not get in? They would be a lock to get in.
Baylor's biggest competition right now is a 1-loss pac12 winner utah. As you said if they get upset by a 2-loss oregon they're set. As of now though it looks like utah would have the nod assuming 1 loss.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 5:00 pm to WG_Dawg
They should get in without #3 but I think they'll need it. Committee just isn't impressed with them.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 5:17 pm to Drew Brews
quote:
They should get in without #3 but I think they'll need it. Committee just isn't impressed with them.
I tend to agree.
Fair or not, the committee is obviously looking at these games as a pattern more than an anomaly (which is why Baylor sits behind Florida, Michigan ect right now):
Rice 21-13
Texas Tech 33-30 2OT
West Virginia 17-13
TCU 29-23 3OT
Beating Oklahoma may provide enough of a bump but, right or wrong, it's folly to not think the committee may choose Alabama (with 3+ TD wins over any team similar to these four and a 5 point loss to #1) over Baylor if it came down to those two for the last spot.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 5:23 pm to wm72
Baylor may end up with 2 or 3 ranked wins (meaning teams in the poll at the end). Bama would probably only have 1.
Bama would have 8 power 5 wins and Baylor would have 9 power 5 wins. But the committee loves Bama, so who knows.
Bama would have 8 power 5 wins and Baylor would have 9 power 5 wins. But the committee loves Bama, so who knows.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 5:25 pm to BearsFan
I think we can all agree that Bama has more raw talent on their team, but I don't personally think that should be how playoff spots are awarded.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 5:37 pm to WG_Dawg
So let me get this clear.
What your trying to say with the past history stuff etc. is that if UGA beats LSU, and Baylor is a 1 loss CChamp, they get the nod over LSU?
What your trying to say with the past history stuff etc. is that if UGA beats LSU, and Baylor is a 1 loss CChamp, they get the nod over LSU?
Posted on 11/24/19 at 9:09 pm to BearsFan
quote:
I think we can all agree that Bama has more raw talent on their team, but I don't personally think that should be how playoff spots are awarded.
I don't think that's exactly why the committee may choose Alabama over Baylor in this scenario.
Right or wrong, I think it would be due to the degree which they value "game control" (i.e., avoiding a lot of close calls and "bad days" against mediocre teams) and advanced metrics in assessing resumes over just whether it was a W or L.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 9:12 pm to Arch Madness
quote:
What your trying to say with the past history stuff etc. is that if UGA beats LSU, and Baylor is a 1 loss CChamp, they get the nod over LSU?
1 loss LSU is in, period.
Posted on 11/25/19 at 7:25 am to Double Oh
quote:
Baylor is a fraud
Spoken like someone who hasn’t left their mom’s basement this college season.
Posted on 11/25/19 at 7:29 am to GeauxTigers123
If Baylor wins out they deserve it over Bama.
Posted on 11/25/19 at 10:49 am to slackster
quote:
1 loss LSU is in, period.
If the loss is to A&M, maybe.
Posted on 11/26/19 at 9:37 pm to GeauxTigers123
After tonights rankings, it seems like #3 may not be necessary. But it also seems like #4 will be needed.
Posted on 11/26/19 at 9:42 pm to GeauxTigers123
quote:
Baylor wins out (probably not likely)
Baylor has Kansas and OU left.
They gagged against an OU team that has pulled three straight games out of its arse. Them winning out isn't all too far off.
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