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re: 2017 NHL Playoff Thread: PENGUINS WIN THE CUP, Crosby robs Malkin of the Conn Smythe

Posted on 5/10/17 at 11:31 am to
Posted by Patton
Principality of Sealand
Member since Apr 2011
32659 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 11:31 am to
quote:

That's a pretty bad team in front of him


No they aren't. They lack that elite superstar who can take over games, but the team has great depth and good overall talent.

The front office has not let him down. The Rangers have been in the playoffs for like 7 or 8 years in a row with different rosters.
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
46366 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 11:39 am to
Wash is at -185 and ANA is -117 tonight.

I really cant believe the caps are favored by so much. this team was down 2-0 leaving Washington after game2.

obviously their strong play is commanding respect from the betting public but this is still the defending champion Penguins we are talking about, a team WASH has only managed to beat 1 time in the last 10 series.


quote:

They think they won an easy game tonight. They think they can win Game 7. I say, 'No,"' Malkin told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

This post was edited on 5/10/17 at 11:43 am
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

Penguins we are talking about, a team WASH has only managed to beat 1 time in the last 10 series.


HEY! That's 1 in 9, pal.

But come on. Most of those have no bearing on this one. Shockingly, the Mario-Jagr-Stevens teams were better than the Bondra-Konowalchuk-Hunter Caps. Crosby and Ovi have only played twice before in the playoffs, and once was back in 2009, when each team had radically different rosters. Last year's series certainly plays, though. These players have history, but not a ton of it. The Rangers have sent the Caps home packing a lot more, though not as recently.

The way history will play is not with the players, but the arena. An early Pens' goal could suck the air out of that place so fast. Caps need that home ice advantage, and that means an early goal for the home side is critical.
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
46366 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 12:29 pm to
this is true, so we must turn to the current in-series trends for an explanation:

Carlson playing exceptionally well
Pen D playing like garbage.
MAF getting beat glove side often
Holtby looking spectacular
Ovi on the 3rd line has been a winning formula
Caps top Forward (Backs, Kuzy, Oshie, ovi) look like they can suddenly get any shot they want from anywhere

this all turned into a Combination of outscoring the Pens 8-0 (until the pens got 2 at the very end)
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 1:14 pm to
I disagree with quite a bit of your list....

Carlson has been good this series after playing like total arse against the Leafs, but Orlov-Niskanen are clearly the Caps' top 2 defensemen, and I don't think it's particularly close.

Agreed. the Pens D is garbage. In their defense, Letang and now Daley are out, and Doumolin is playing hurt.

Same with every butterfly goalie on earth. By covering the bttom of the net like they do, every butterfly goalie has a problem high glove side. It's simple biology.

Holtby has had a save percentage above .910 in just one game this series, and it wasn't the last two. He's no longer playing poorly, but let's stop short of spectacular while he's letting in over 10% of shots still.

Ovi on the 3rd has been great. Freed up Bura to run wild on the top line.

They were getting the shots earlier, they just weren't going in. Law of averages worked itself out. Especially for the Buracuda.

Posted by jumbo
Franklin
Member since Dec 2011
5063 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 1:19 pm to
WCF prices


Glad I got mine at season ticket holder prices.
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
46366 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 1:24 pm to
My points were targeted at just the past two games; not the whole series. The things that turned this from a 4-1 stomp to a game 7.

With that said, id be short sighted to leave off Orlov's improvements

I imagine the f/o and special teams numbers have improved toward the caps side as well but i dont have those stats handy

And yes , those #s would suggest holtby is just good not spectacular lately.
This post was edited on 5/10/17 at 1:26 pm
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 1:42 pm to
Holtby did make some great saves in the 3rd period of Game 5, but that's pretty much it. He's been a passenger these last two games, which is a step up from the liability he was in Games 1-4.

Towards the end of Game 6, the Caps power play just seemed to be screwing with the Pens. Moving the puck at will. It was gorgeous. But I think some of that was the Pens just wanting the game to end and not giving full effort.

Orlov has now moved into the role of the Cap who is Most Due for a goal. He's been everywhere, but still no goals this playoffs.


But look, this is one game for the series, and anything can happen in one game. And any team with Kessel, Malkin, and Crosby can go off at any time and score 5 goals or so. The Caps played well to earn this chance to move on, but it's just that: a chance. This game is pretty close to a coin flip.
Posted by Buckeye06
Member since Dec 2007
25483 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 1:47 pm to
I'm ready to watch tonight.

Go Caps
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
46366 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 1:57 pm to
I agree, I handicapped it as a coin flip (wash -110)last night and then saw Wash was -180 so i've been trying to determine why.
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 2:10 pm to
Seems like Vegas wants people to take Pittsburgh. So they don't view this as a coin flip. But there's not a Caps fan alive that would sign off on those odds. -180?!
Posted by jumbo
Franklin
Member since Dec 2011
5063 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 2:14 pm to
Joining the Caps wagon as well. Hope Trotzy can get over the hump as the Preds did.
Posted by UnluckyTiger
Member since Sep 2003
43735 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 2:15 pm to
I'll be there tonight. Arguably the biggest game in Caps history considering everything a win tonight would represent. I'm headed down to Chinatown in about an hour. Feel oddly optimistic tonight.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
141011 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 2:17 pm to
Bigger than the Stanley Cup vs Detroit in your opinion?


I think the Ducks win tonight. As far as the Pens-Caps game I have no feel for it. Just hope it is entertaining. It will be interesting to see the changes either makes after elimination.
Posted by UnluckyTiger
Member since Sep 2003
43735 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 2:21 pm to
No one in their right mind thought we had a chance against the Wings in that series. That was in the middle of the Wings dominance. And Esa Tikkanen quickly extinguished any hope they had by missing an empty net in Game 2.

A Caps win tonight gets rid of the demons against their most hated rival and paves the way towards a Cup with their best team of all time.
Posted by UnluckyTiger
Member since Sep 2003
43735 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 2:24 pm to
I honestly expect the Caps to win it all if they can get past this round. It's all mental with this team. Also, the Pens even with their injuries would still be the favorite to win the cup if they were to beat the Caps tonight. It's a shame the two best teams in the league had to meet in the 2nd round.
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 2:38 pm to
Yeah, the Caps team that made the Cup Finals wasn't all that good. It's just that all the top seeds lost in the first round and the bracket opened up. Beating Buffalo in the ECF is a big moment, but a win here would arguably be bigger.

The old adage is its only a big game if you lose. Tonight, it's the opposite. If the Caps win, this is the biggest win in franchise history. Which says a lot about franchise history.
Posted by Veritas
Member since Feb 2005
11381 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 4:07 pm to
I'll probably miss the first period...landing in Dulles. I'll watch the rest from the airport.

Let's do this!
Posted by StraightCashHomey21
Aberdeen,NC
Member since Jul 2009
126858 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 4:18 pm to
I'm going to start drinking when I get home
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
151145 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 4:36 pm to
The power of Justin Williams is with you boys tonight
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