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Zillow House value is trending down wth

Posted on 8/26/18 at 6:26 pm
Posted by lsufanintexas
Member since Sep 2006
5011 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 6:26 pm
So we bought our home here in the Dallas area two years ago for around 385k. It’s in an older neighborhood surrounded by other neighborhoods with multimillion dollar homes. It was increasing in value and last year we could probably sell it for between 410k and 420k. I took a look today on Zillow and over the past 90 days zillows estimated home value has dropped to 349k. Wth. Should I freak out, ie this is a market correction or should I calm down?
Posted by iknowmorethanyou
Paydirt
Member since Jul 2007
6548 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 6:30 pm to
zillow;dr
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
39588 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 6:32 pm to
If you're not selling it it's just a paper loss.

The perfect scenario with Texas property taxes would be to have a tank in value, then a massive upswing 20 years from now right before I sell
This post was edited on 8/26/18 at 6:34 pm
Posted by kaaj24
Dallas
Member since Jan 2010
610 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 6:40 pm to
If you are not planning on selling anytime soon why freak out? Zillow is only a pricing estimate not an absolute science.

Home prices don't always go up and the appreciation seen in Dallas the last 7 years is not sustainable.

I also live in Dallas. Population projections for this area are still expected to grow significantly through 2025. As such, demand for housing will be there which should keep home prices relatively stable at the very least.

When it comes to housing, stocks, and bonds there are no guarantees.
Posted by schexyoung
Deaf Valley
Member since May 2008
6534 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 7:32 pm to
First its Zillow. Don't get too worked up. What area of Dallas?
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75223 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 7:44 pm to
Isn’t realtor.com the more accurate one anyway?
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
48622 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 7:59 pm to
Look at comps in your neighborhood and adjust the price per sq ft to your house. That's way more accurate than Zillow.
Posted by ItzMe1972
Member since Dec 2013
9812 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 8:19 pm to
As others have said, don't rely on Zillow.
Posted by lsufanintexas
Member since Sep 2006
5011 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 8:30 pm to
I’m not very concerned just more curious why Zillow would be trending down now. I looked my home on a few sites and it looks like it not all doom and gloom. Zillow is shite so excuse my thread
Posted by schexyoung
Deaf Valley
Member since May 2008
6534 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 8:41 pm to
Sometimes a short sell/foreclosure in your area can really swing Zillow down in the immediate short term.
Posted by lsufanintexas
Member since Sep 2006
5011 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 9:06 pm to
I think this is what happened. Every home in our neighborhood is valued between 385 and 600. Looks like a home on my street sold for 158 which caused the homes on my street to go down on Zillow.
Posted by yellowhammer2098
New Orleans, LA
Member since Mar 2013
3850 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 9:25 pm to
quote:

I think this is what happened. Every home in our neighborhood is valued between 385 and 600. Looks like a home on my street sold for 158 which caused the homes on my street to go down on Zillow.



When I bought a condo about five years ago for $131,000, the realtor put it into Zillow (or whoever inputs this info into Zillow) as $13,100.
Posted by Jyrdis
TD Premium Member Level III
Member since Aug 2015
12805 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 9:56 pm to
I’ve always found that people that people way overvalue their homes. They think fresh paint is worth and extra $5k.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 10:28 pm to
Lol at Zillow.

Says the first house I owned and sold is worth about 30% over appraisal.

Second house has the “zestimate” at $125,000 less than it sold for (at appraisal value) earlier this year.

Current house has a “zestimate” of $95,000 below appraisal that was done 6 weeks ago.
Posted by GFunk
Denham Springs
Member since Feb 2011
14966 posts
Posted on 8/26/18 at 10:29 pm to
The easiest path towards making folks understand you think about your real estate investment without really understanding real estate is to post about Zillow having any basis in reality when it comes to your real estate investment.

You wanna know about your home’s value? Call a local appraiser.

Oh and before anyone suggests it, avoid a realtor. An appraiser does exactly what you’re interested in. For a living.
Posted by brian_wilson
Member since Oct 2016
3581 posts
Posted on 8/27/18 at 11:53 am to
quote:

The easiest path towards making folks understand you think about your real estate investment without really understanding real estate is to post about Zillow having any basis in reality when it comes to your real estate investment.


My friend is an appraiser and he says Zillow is fairly accurate assuming you have sales in your area, and there isn't anything peculiar about the house / location.

But to OP, I wouldn't worry too much about it unless you are about to sell.
Posted by GFunk
Denham Springs
Member since Feb 2011
14966 posts
Posted on 8/27/18 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

brian_wilson
quote:

My friend is an appraiser.


Well hey...That seals it for me. Best of luck to you. I disagree and we can leave it at that.
Posted by ItzMe1972
Member since Dec 2013
9812 posts
Posted on 8/27/18 at 2:43 pm to
"Oh and before anyone suggests it, avoid a realtor. An appraiser does exactly what you’re interested in. For a living."

Well....

I've been in RE most of my life as an investor.

An appraisal is only an opinion.
Real Estate agents can tell you $/SF for your area very easily/quickly.

Somewhere in there is the fair market value.


Posted by ItNeverRains
37069
Member since Oct 2007
25494 posts
Posted on 8/27/18 at 2:51 pm to
Might as well sell it for 349k and cut your zlosses
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
20484 posts
Posted on 8/27/18 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

You wanna know about your home’s value? Call a local appraiser.


I know you know what you are talking about, but this is simply wrong. Appraisers don't know every community well. The only way to really know a homes value is by selling it. I've seen appraisals off just as much as Zillow. Appraisers and Zillow both follow the current selling trend, whether thats up or down. But they don't plan the market. If its going up, your house could be worth quite a bit more in a hot market than one that sold 3 months ago.

Appraising/ Zillow/ etc. is not rocket science people. You take what homes have sold for in your area and divide it by sq ft, then you multiply that number by your own sq ft.

Where the kicker comes in, is small things that no one accounts for. My old neighborhood had Golf course lots, water front lots, interior lots with nothing but neighbors, and easement lots with woods. All of them had different values. Some houses have 1 garage some have 4, none of which is considered by zillow or an appraiser enough.

Even things like time of year. If you are selling your house in late fall or winter and no homes have sold since peak sales season in Summer, than there may be fewer buyers on average so your realistic price over the off season is likely lower.
This post was edited on 8/27/18 at 4:06 pm
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