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re: XOM dividend almost 10% now

Posted on 3/13/20 at 12:44 pm to
Posted by Brummy
Central, LA
Member since Oct 2009
4662 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

So would you put your money in a savings account that only pays you interest on the initial deposit? Then leave that money in for years?

I don't know what point you're trying to make with this. Dividends are paid based on the number of shares you own, regardless of what you paid for them or what the quoted the price of the stock is. It only changes if the board decides to change the dividend.

If a stock pays $1 dividend per share, and I buy a share for $50 and you buy a share for $100, the yield on my invested $50 is 2%. The yield on your invested $100 is 1%. If the stock price goes to $1M, my yield on my invested $50 is unchanged, unless the board changes the dividend rate.
Posted by Pintail
Member since Nov 2011
11888 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

You’re combining two different things. Only thing relevant to a dividend payment is the number of shares you own. The price of the stock at that moment is irrelevant. The company is distributing a portion of its earnings to shareholders, and that amount is divided by the number of slices of the pie you own. That’s it.


You are correct. But if that share is worth $8,700 making $3.40 per year would be a bad dividend investment compared to it being $37 making $3.40 per year.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

But if that share is worth $8,700 making $3.40 per year would be a bad dividend investment compared to it being $37 making $3.40 per year.

Correct, that would not be a stock that people buy for its dividend. :Insert most tech stocks here:
Posted by Pintail
Member since Nov 2011
11888 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

If a stock pays $1 dividend per share, and I buy a share for $50 and you buy a share for $100, the yield on my invested $50 is 2%. The yield on your invested $100 is 1%. If the stock price goes to $1M, my yield on my invested $50 is unchanged, unless the board changes the dividend rate.


At this point we would both have $1M invested only making $1 or 0.0001% dividends. You aren't making 2% on your investment anymore and I'm not making 1% on my investment.
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora
Member since Sep 2012
73031 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

Correct, that would not be a stock that people buy for its dividend. :Insert most tech stocks here:


right. Not replying to you specifically but in general..

Most of the reputational dividend stocks raise and lower their dividend as their stock price rises and falls. Therefore, if you bought stock at $30 with 30cent dividend, and five years later the stock is $90, assuming the growth was steady, the dividend is probably paying 90 cents a share. So, buying cheap can actually compound your actual div yeild over time ...

Say you bought 100 shares at 30. $3000

Then five years later, the value is $9000 and your div is 9 cents, but you only actually put in $3000 five years ago. now you are making % on the $9000, it really compounds and snowballs in a good way. Your actual div yeild at that point could be like 20% (not using exact numbers, just illustration)

But the reverse can also happen. Buy a good div stock at a high price, thinking you are at least getting 5% out of it in div, but then over the years it keeps falling, and div adjusted down, year after year after year. See Ford Motor Company
This post was edited on 3/13/20 at 12:59 pm
Posted by Desert King
Member since Oct 2018
1936 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

t this point we would both have $1M invested only making $1 or 0.0001% dividends. You aren't making 2% on your investment anymore and I'm not making 1% on my investment.


Your “investment” is still the original amount of money you paid for the stock. The fact that the share price has doubled or tripled or quadrupled since then doesn’t mean the dividend yield is readjusted to this amount. It’s not a savings account.
Posted by Brummy
Central, LA
Member since Oct 2009
4662 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

At this point we would both have $1M invested

No, we don't. I have $50 invested, with an unrealized gain of $999,950. The yield is still calculated on what I actually paid, not what I would have if I sold my stock today. You're getting capital appreciation and dividend yield mixed up.
Posted by Pintail
Member since Nov 2011
11888 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

At this point we would both have $1M worth of a stock


Okay I corrected it. And at this point we would both be terrible with money if we were still invested in this for the dividends.
This post was edited on 3/13/20 at 1:05 pm
Posted by SLafourche07
Member since Feb 2008
10038 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

we would both be terrible with money if we were still invested in this for the dividends.





No one has said the contrary.
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 2:54 pm to
nm
This post was edited on 3/13/20 at 2:56 pm
Posted by GeauxZone90
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2010
3256 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 5:20 pm to
Just got into rds b at 27 dollars. That is crazy low
Posted by omegaman66
greenwell springs
Member since Oct 2007
26274 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 5:49 pm to
quote:

A 10% dividend for almost any company is abnormal and a sign that the dividend could be in trouble.


Are it could be a sign that morons have panicked the nation into acting stupider than the normal level of stupid.
Posted by 632627
LA
Member since Dec 2011
14653 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 5:56 pm to
quote:



Are it could be a sign that morons have panicked the nation into acting stupider than the normal level of stupid.


Except the o&g stocks aren’t getting hit by just the corona hysteria.

Travel stocks yielding close to 10% are in trouble also.
Posted by cave canem
pullarius dominus
Member since Oct 2012
12186 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 2:00 am to
quote:

If the price of a stock is tanking and they still have to operate, how does the dividend go up? It just sounds counterintuitive.



Share price and operating revenue are not linked per se, or rather to say the share price has little effect on a company other than howling investors.
Posted by eScott
Member since Oct 2008
11376 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 8:16 am to
I would look at other companies not oil related paying high percentage dividends right now. I xom is one of the safest long term however.
Posted by Overbrook
Member since May 2013
6374 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:35 am to
quote:

The dividend payments are fixed. They don't move.

But they aren't fixed. They can change at any time at the discretion of the board. If this price war keeps up, the oil companies could very well reduce them.
And in the long run, as soon as a (much) better lithium battery is developed, gasoline will become obsolete.
This post was edited on 3/14/20 at 10:37 am
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