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Message

re: Why should current seniors get a $1.00, or 100% of the loaf, and future seniors get zero?

Posted on 5/11/23 at 11:58 am to
Posted by CISO
ATX
Member since Nov 2021
1082 posts
Posted on 5/11/23 at 11:58 am to
More seniors vote than do younger people.


This is the reason.
Posted by Dawgfanman
Member since Jun 2015
25905 posts
Posted on 5/11/23 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

I never heard my aunt bitch and moan. I just find it offensive that this couple lived modestly their entire lives are now being called out by pampered infants for getting back what they were forced to pay into


What is so dang hard to understand. They, as well as the rest of us, have been forced into what is essentially a Ponzi scheme. They are not getting back anything. The money they paid in has been spent, they were robbed of it, now they are using the same people who robbed them to rob a new generation. It has to stop sometime. Sooner is better.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
15848 posts
Posted on 5/11/23 at 6:14 pm to
quote:

Why are making up shite. She was born in 1921. They were in their 30s when he began paying into SS. If I recall he was a daily laborer in construction. So probably a lot of cash payments involved

Thus never paying much into SS.
Posted by Billy Blanks
Member since Dec 2021
4989 posts
Posted on 5/11/23 at 6:18 pm to
quote:

Baby Boomers are going to bankrupt Social Security and Medicare and everything else. There will be nothing left.




Yep, and all they are good for is watching the news. Sad
Posted by Auburn80
Backwater, TN
Member since Nov 2017
9612 posts
Posted on 5/11/23 at 8:54 pm to
quote:

Millennials are ready to get fricked again


How are millennials getting screwed again? What happened to them the first time? I’m a parent to 3 millennials and their lives have not been any different than the typical Baby Boomer or Gen X’er. The only difference with Boomers is there are a lot of them. You can blame the previous two generations for that.
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
25028 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 6:43 am to
You need to remove your personal experience of 3 kids and look consider the numerous macro economic changes that have negatively impacted millennials versus prior generations.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53116 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 7:31 am to
quote:

only difference with Boomers is there are a lot of them

There are a lot of millennials too. GenX is the smallest of the 3.

I can appreciate that many millennials had some back luck. A lot of them graduated college into the 2008 downturn. They really caught the beginning of the soaring cost of college. Then when they were about the age to become homeowners real estate went crazy.
This post was edited on 5/12/23 at 7:39 am
Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
44200 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 7:51 am to
quote:

It is almost always under 30 years. Typically in the 20-30 year window.

Back in the 80s and 90s, I remember it being proclaimed about 15 years remaining (which is where we are at today).


the last 12 Trustee reports have stated that Trust Fund reserves would become depleted in 2033
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26045 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 7:52 am to
quote:

You need to remove your personal experience of 3 kids and look consider the numerous macro economic changes that have negatively impacted millennials versus prior generations


Business and real estate cycles are unique to millennials?

Or millennials have never cracked open an encyclopedia and if it isn't on their cell phone it never happened?

"Life is suffering" was coined 2500 years ago. Different millennials entirely.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26045 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 7:56 am to
quote:

the last 12 Trustee reports have stated that Trust Fund reserves would become depleted in 2033

You realize that you are making my point (12 years ago, the report would show depletion at 21 years).
Back in the 90s, it was down to 15 years and the government began rolling full retirement age changes.

It would be better for your argument if you could find a report with a 30+ year window
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466944 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 8:21 am to
quote:

What happened to them the first time?

2008
2020
Now this
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466944 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 8:25 am to
quote:

Business and real estate cycles are unique to millennials?

2 real estate cycles that were unprecedented along with a Financial system collapse and then 10 years of inflation (to stop that crash from becoming a full on depression) are pretty unique. Then we had Covid and all the economic havoc and inflation that caused.

Your typical generation may deal with 1 or 2 of those events, but millennials have dealt with all of them. The 2008 crash alone (when many/most millennials were starting their careers) was terrible for their economic futures and caused irreparable damage on the macro level.

Income : Housing cost and Income : college cost are also pretty unprecedented.

*ETA: before this becomes a "stop blaming people for your failures", thanks to this board, I got ahead of 2008. Luckily I was running my own shop by 2020 and, while it derailed progress substantially and caused me to have to change gears, I was flexible enough to survive (unlike many). My comments aren't about me. They're about the macro situation.
This post was edited on 5/12/23 at 8:27 am
Posted by Auburn80
Backwater, TN
Member since Nov 2017
9612 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 8:32 am to
quote:

2008 2020 Now this


Boomers got Vietnam (draft was real), 1987 market downturn, Nixon issues, gas shortages, high interest rates, and plenty of other stuff also. Every generation has its challenges.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466944 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 8:44 am to
quote:

Every generation has its challenges.

2008 was more than a challenge and significantly more impactful than anything you listed.

LINK

quote:

The financial crisis split the generation into two distinct groups. Older millennials, who bore the brunt of the financial crisis dealt with a tough job market and wage stagnation, making it more difficult for them to save. Younger millennials, who experienced the recovery period, entered a better job market and became risk-averse by watching the recession unfold.

The generation overall, however, is plagued by financial problems that baby boomers didn't have to face at their age. From saving to spending and financial behaviors in between, here's what life is like as the average American millennial.


quote:

Adjusted for inflation, the annual salary of a millennial today is an estimated 20% lower than the average salary for a baby boomer at the same age, according to a SmartAsset study that analyzed data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for millennials who were ages 16 to 34 in 2015.

But in today's high cost of living, salaries are no longer what they once were. While millennials have benefited from a 67% rise in wages since 1970, according to research by Student Loan Hero, this increase hasn't kept up with inflating living costs: Rent, home prices, and college tuition have all increased faster than incomes in the US.


quote:

Despite millennials' best financial efforts, a large debt load on average is preventing them from saving as much as they'd like. While many don't carry credit-card debt or owe less than $5,000, nearly 45% of millennials have student-loan debt, Business Insider's Tanza Loudenback reported.


The Unluckiest Generation in US History

quote:

After accounting for the present crisis, the average millennial has experienced slower economic growth since entering the workforce than any other generation in U.S. history.

Millennials will bear these economic scars the rest of their lives, in the form of lower earnings, lower wealth and delayed milestones, such as homeownership.




quote:

The losses aren’t merely symbolic. This recession steamrolled younger workers just as millennials were entering their prime working years — the oldest millennials are nearing 40 while the youngest are in their mid-20s. Millennial employment plunged by 16 percent in March and April this year, our calculations show. That’s faster than either Gen X (12 percent) or the baby boomers (13 percent).


quote:

At the beginning of 2019, millennials became the largest generation in the United States’ full-time workforce, surpassing Gen X. But the coronavirus crisis walloped millennials so disproportionately that they’re on the precipice of giving the top generational spot back to Gen X.






quote:

The Great Recession pushed young workers a few steps down the wage ladder. Research shows they never recovered, even as their older colleagues regained all the ground they’d lost. It’s happening again, to many of those same young workers.

In a 2019 working paper, Census Bureau economist Kevin Rinz used regional differences in the Great Recession’s severity to calculate that while millennial employment recovered from the Great Recession within a decade, millennial earnings never did. Building on earlier work from the University of California at Berkeley’s Danny Yagan, Rinz based his findings on more than a dozen years of annual data for more than 4.1 million people in a government database.






Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 9:51 am to
quote:

Back in the 90s, it was down to 15 years and the government began rolling full retirement age changes.


Which is the point of the thread. The increase in full retirement age from the 1983 amendments extended the life of the fund by cutting benefits. They’ll have to do something similar again, which means current seniors are getting more benefits than future seniors are likely to see.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26045 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 10:02 am to
quote:

Which is the point of the thread. The increase in full retirement age from the 1983 amendments extended the life of the fund by cutting benefits. They’ll have to do something similar again, which means current seniors are getting more benefits than future seniors are likely to see.


I'm pretty sure the progression of benefits has been cut since the 50s.

There are many levers available to the government in terms of taxable income, gross income on top of social security, etc..

Changing benefits isn't new.

There hasn't been a lowering of retirement age.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
25198 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 10:07 am to
quote:

You realize that you are making my point (12 years ago, the report would show depletion at 21 years).
Back in the 90s, it was down to 15 years and the government began rolling full retirement age changes.

It would be better for your argument if you could find a report with a 30+ year window


Reagan fixed the problem in his day with the SS tax rate jacked up to cover the Boomer wave. DC just used it as a borrowed budgetary slush fund while paying interest half the rate of inflation.

quote:

What is the interest rate for Social Security trust funds?
The rate of interest on special issues is determined by a formula enacted in 1960. The rate is determined at the end of each month and applies to new investments in the following month. The numeric average of the 12 monthly interest rates for 2022 was 2.958 percent.


Paying 2.958% when inflation was over 8% makes a casino skim look like a good deal.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26045 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 10:08 am to
Inflation was worse in the 70s. Gas lines. Unemployment.
Black Monday 1987.
SnL
Tech bust.
Japanese Flu.
9/11

And everything you have listed since 2008? Boomers and Gen Xers are experiencing right along with you.

Every generation has a narcissism about itself. That's why they make labels for each generation. Do you think Gen X was a compliment?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466944 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 10:38 am to
quote:

And everything you have listed since 2008? Boomers and Gen Xers are experiencing right along with you.

It's literally not the same because of the timeline of economic development.

LINK

Starting your career in a recession has lifelong impacts, economically and in terms of health.

You're ignoring the data I literally just posted that shows the impact on Millennials from these incidents was far greater than any other age group.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
11632 posts
Posted on 5/12/23 at 10:40 am to
quote:

if it goes belly up... what money is left to be converted into an ira? you realistically would've needed to be starting this decades prior.


The plan is once we reach the rubicon where SS benefits out number the money coming in, benefits will be cut accordingly and that was written into law.

Now one thing I thought of since interest rates are high now why not create a Social Security Addon IRA that is government based using government bonds that pays a minimum 5% interest each year and you can contribute the money using payroll deductions up to the total amount paid in Social Security taxes by you and your employer. Unlike a traditional IRA that can lose money these are backed by government bonds and can be tied to I bonds that grow with inflation.

The program is optional and money is yours and if you die early the money is transferred to your heirs.
This post was edited on 5/12/23 at 10:56 am
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