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Message
re: When do I jump back in?
Posted on 6/14/22 at 2:47 pm to SavageReb
Posted on 6/14/22 at 2:47 pm to SavageReb
quote:
For those with investment knowledge, at what point would you jump back in
You don't want somebody with investment knowledge. You want a clairvoyant. If you are smart enought to have such a large cash position at this time, in this market, you can't be a big enough fool to get your financial advice from an internet forum.
0
Posted on 6/14/22 at 3:29 pm to SavageReb
You should've never jumped out. You set yourself back a good bit by doing so.
Posted on 6/14/22 at 3:39 pm to aTmTexas Dillo
Go get a new Kistler. Always works
Posted on 6/14/22 at 3:56 pm to SavageReb
quote:
Yeah, for those claiming I'm bragging or lying, I hope when you're my age that you are further along than me. I got a late start but it is what it is. Figured some of you young investment masterminds with multi million dollar accounts would throw an old man a bone.
The issue is no one knows. It is much easier to know when to get out versus when to get back in. All I know is that once the market has made the pivot and the lows are past us we won't know it at the time and most people will claim we are still going lower. Good luck.
Posted on 6/14/22 at 4:30 pm to SavageReb
My best guess is we for sure tap 3500 and very well may drop below the 200 WMA. I'd enter there.
We are probably looking at a 2000 financial crisis that will last a couple of years.
But I don't really know what the hell I'm talking about. Good luck!
Posted on 6/14/22 at 4:39 pm to SavageReb
Too many unknowns.
Is this all of your 401k? meaning all cash?
Do you have a taxable account? If so, how much?
Other assets?
When you retire, is this what you will use for income or do you have other sources of income?
Lots of questions....
5 years is a short time frame and that should dictate where and when you park your money.
Is this all of your 401k? meaning all cash?
Do you have a taxable account? If so, how much?
Other assets?
When you retire, is this what you will use for income or do you have other sources of income?
Lots of questions....
5 years is a short time frame and that should dictate where and when you park your money.
Posted on 6/14/22 at 5:15 pm to SavageReb
quote:26DV's??
Sitting in cash account with @$750k in my 401K.
First, congrats on having >$750K in a 401k.
Second, it's a retirement account, so I'm assuming you're looking at more buy-hold long-term positions, and I'm assuming, perhaps mistakenly, that your account is over-heavy cash.
By year end, do you expect markets to be higher or lower? How about in 5-10yrs?
If your answer to those is "higher", then you need to be invested.
My guess is we are 5-10% from a bottom. Unless you think you can time the bottom accurately, put a strategy together, and plan on incrementally reinvesting over the next month or two (15-20%/wk). However, if we have an obvious capitulation (aka bottom), be prepared to reinvest at an accelerated rate (days, not weeks/months).
At least that's the way I'm approaching it.
Posted on 6/14/22 at 5:22 pm to SavageReb
quote:5yrs?
55 Plan to retire in 5 yrs.
Wasn't expecting that.
A fairly short (5yr) time-horizon changes the info-set quite a bit. You need to include that in the OP.
What is your risk tolerance with the $750K?
Posted on 6/14/22 at 5:27 pm to MrSpock
quote:A dot.com bubble followed by a 9/11 event?
We are probably looking at a 2000 financial crisis that will last a couple of years.
But I don't really know what the hell I'm talking about.
Gosh, I hope you're right ... that you really don't really know WTF you're talking about.
Posted on 6/14/22 at 5:37 pm to NC_Tigah
quote:
A dot.com bubble followed by a 9/11 event?
Gosh, I hope you're right ... that you really don't really know WTF you're talking about.
No better way to kickstart the economy than to rev up the machine.
:max_bytes(150000):strip_icc():format(webp)/dotdash_INV-final-Stock-Market-Crash-July-2021-01-88a96c7bec2846dd9986a5777c089417.jpg)
Posted on 6/14/22 at 5:56 pm to SavageReb
PUT IT ALL IN CELSIUS!!!!!
Posted on 6/14/22 at 6:02 pm to Ross
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/17/23 at 11:54 pm
Posted on 6/14/22 at 6:04 pm to TigerGrad2011
I put 25% in today. Will keep adding down along the way.
Posted on 6/14/22 at 6:10 pm to TigerGrad2011
Put it all in NFTS !!!!
MOAR moar
MOAR moar
Posted on 6/14/22 at 6:16 pm to Fat Bastard
Find some beat down high value stocks. Low PE
They should be safe to ride for next 5 yrs.
Good dividend stocks as well. Should atleast get dividend back and even if stock is barely moved, you've gained
They should be safe to ride for next 5 yrs.
Good dividend stocks as well. Should atleast get dividend back and even if stock is barely moved, you've gained
Posted on 6/14/22 at 6:21 pm to MrSpock
quote:for a 401k, relatively speaking, that's good.
Nevermind
Posted on 6/14/22 at 6:23 pm to SavageReb
You should definitely try to time the market.
For now, shift to derivatives and options. Also, short gold.
For now, shift to derivatives and options. Also, short gold.
Posted on 6/14/22 at 6:25 pm to NC_Tigah
quote:Ehh, 5 year is short but I wouldn't say 5 year is his time horizon for his investment. Are you guys going all cash AT retirement?
5yrs?
Wasn't expecting that.
A fairly short (5yr) time-horizon changes the info-set quite a bit
I'm in my thirties so I don't have a game plan for what my allocation will be then but I'm for sure expecting to still be in the 50-60% range AT retirement. Still a lot of years left to live from that point
Posted on 6/14/22 at 6:36 pm to castorinho
quote:Negative.
Ehh, 5 year is short but I wouldn't say 5 year is his time horizon for his investment. Are you guys going all cash AT retirement?
In risk terms, investment horizon is a different animal.
Posted on 6/14/22 at 6:41 pm to Bestbank Tiger
Lulz
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