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re: Under the Hood of the Stock Market / Timeframe of the Turn
Posted on 6/5/20 at 2:17 pm to Hussss
Posted on 6/5/20 at 2:17 pm to Hussss
quote:So you're taking credit for something you didn't predict. That's sad.
No I never mentioned a pandemic, only debt deflation.
quote:The U.S. dollar is stronger today than it was a year ago against all major currencies.
Increasing the money supply = weakening the dollar
quote:The Consumer Price Index for April, the latest figures available, showed a NEGATIVE rate of inflation of -0.8%. LINK
= rising cost of living
See, I knew you couldn't articulate what you posted accurately.
quote:The Federal Reserve injected trillions into the financial markets in 2008. The 750 billion you referenced was actually $831 billion and was just one of several congressional stimulus packages in 2008/2009 the total of which were in the trillions. The tax cuts alone to stimulate the economy were a trillion dollars.
Congress was asked for 750B in 2008.
You are clueless.
This post was edited on 6/5/20 at 2:22 pm
1
Posted on 6/5/20 at 2:38 pm to LSURussian
The market is pricing in INflation and a weaker dollar.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 2:41 pm to Hussss
quote:Prove it.
The market is pricing in INflation and a weaker dollar.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 2:44 pm to LSURussian
Seriously? Have you not seen the moves in the bond market as well as commodities, companies like FCX / X / CLF etc?!?
Posted on 6/5/20 at 2:51 pm to Hussss
Yes, seriously. Prove that the USD is forecast to appreciably weaken and that inflation is on the horizon.
I just searched and nowhere have I found that what you're claiming regarding the U.S. dollar and expected inflation is true.
I can only conclude you're either lying or just dumb.
Maybe both??
I just searched and nowhere have I found that what you're claiming regarding the U.S. dollar and expected inflation is true.
I can only conclude you're either lying or just dumb.
Maybe both??
Posted on 6/5/20 at 3:10 pm to LSURussian
1) USD breaking its 50MA on the weekly is a big indicator.
2) Bonds selling off and yields going higher is a big indicator
3) Oil screaming higher is a big indicator
4) Commodities as well as commodity stocks are a pretty good indicator as well
5) Banks ripping with the yield curve steepening
I’m assuming you can read the tape
2) Bonds selling off and yields going higher is a big indicator
3) Oil screaming higher is a big indicator
4) Commodities as well as commodity stocks are a pretty good indicator as well
5) Banks ripping with the yield curve steepening
I’m assuming you can read the tape
This post was edited on 6/5/20 at 3:14 pm
Posted on 6/5/20 at 3:27 pm to Hussss
Try posting some links which support your claims rather than just typing bullshite that you've made up.
An anticipated recovering economy from a near dead stop because of a pandemic will result in every one of those points on your list.
And those bond yield increases you're touting are miniscule and are to be expected as the economy gets going again.
You honestly have no idea what you're reading or saying. You confuse what's a positive for the U.S. economy to be a negative. You ALWAYS do that. Complete ignorance on your part.
An anticipated recovering economy from a near dead stop because of a pandemic will result in every one of those points on your list.
And those bond yield increases you're touting are miniscule and are to be expected as the economy gets going again.
You honestly have no idea what you're reading or saying. You confuse what's a positive for the U.S. economy to be a negative. You ALWAYS do that. Complete ignorance on your part.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 4:24 pm to Hussss
Huss,
LSURussian is a complete moron and he’s killling you here. The USD is much, much too strong relative to the other currencies. We need to strongly devalue the dollar in order to increase our net exports and therefore GDP.
LSURussian is a complete moron and he’s killling you here. The USD is much, much too strong relative to the other currencies. We need to strongly devalue the dollar in order to increase our net exports and therefore GDP.
This post was edited on 6/5/20 at 4:25 pm
Posted on 6/5/20 at 5:22 pm to Hussss
quote:
I’m assuming you can read the tape
The bond market is priced correctly, sir, and risk does not exist
Posted on 6/5/20 at 6:00 pm to OleWarSkuleAlum
quote:
LSURussian is a complete moron
Don't stoop to his level.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 6:02 pm to wutangfinancial
You would think risk no longer exists around here. They trust the Fed as well as all the BS coming out of DC.
Let em' sleep.
Let em' sleep.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 6:12 pm to Hussss
quote:So you refuse to provide links backing up your claims?
You would think risk no longer exists around here.
That is VERY revealing.
ETA: Here is what you posted in your OP on May 12:
quote:
Look for the turn to happen next week. Taking risk off the table by the end of day Friday May 15 looks most prudent to be on the safe side.
We're still waiting and my lights are still on...
This post was edited on 6/5/20 at 6:15 pm
Posted on 6/5/20 at 6:20 pm to LSURussian
You know I love ya.
Have an awesome weekend
Have an awesome weekend
Posted on 6/5/20 at 6:58 pm to rocket31
I actually disagree. It makes perfect sense. We pulled forward like 4 years (haven't re calculated this in a while) of government spending to support assets prices. There's more on the way which is supporting the consumer, who are better off than before on unemployment. There's massive macro risk on the other side but for now you'll see stocks rise into October. After that there's too much uncertainty to even care try and pretend anybody knows what's going to happen. Big business should thrive though as they swallow market share from small business. Kind of sad actually. Unfortunately the Fed can't click a button and print cash flow for them.
Posted on 6/8/20 at 10:35 am to Hussss
quote:
Look for the turn to happen next week. Taking risk off the table by the end of day Friday May 15 looks most prudent to be on the safe side.
Posted on 6/8/20 at 4:03 pm to notiger1997
+461
Posted on 6/11/20 at 12:26 am to Fat Bastard
Levered long yet Bastard? Fed has your back, I am quite SURE of it 
OR are you ready for the next rounds throughout this hot summer.
Choice is yours.
OR are you ready for the next rounds throughout this hot summer.
Choice is yours.
Posted on 6/11/20 at 6:28 am to Hussss
Never know but don't be surprised if this correction is short lived. I'm thinking 2960s on the sp500. Soon see
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