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Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:04 am to rocket31
We need a WSB ETF ticker: MEME
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:04 am to Upperdecker
The price on OTM calls right now are ridiculous. It's $14 for a Feb 19 200 strike
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:04 am to rocket31
I have absolutely zero idea what I'm doing, but I made $16 off of this today.
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:04 am to rintintin
I don't believe there is anybody short GME anymore and there hasn’t been for some time now, so there’s no viable ‘short squeeze’ thesis.
There’s a couple of things to consider. The total number of shares shorted as of the last report was 75M shs. A metric that equity long/short hedge funds use is called ‘short turnover’. It’s just (shares short)/(avg daily trading volume). So if a stock has 10M shares short and averages 1M shares traded per day, the stock is ‘10 days short’. In general, the ‘longer’ a stock is short, the more likely you are to see a short squeeze. Conversely, if a stock is just a few days short, you arent likely to see a squeeze.
I looked at this in November, and at the time GME was like 80-100 days short. I don’t remember the exact numbers, but there were something like 50M shares short and like 750k in average volume. So that’s a decent setup for a squeeze.
On Friday, GME turned over its entire short interest in three hours which is insane. If you look at traded volumes, GME has turned over the short interest like 15 times in the last three weeks. I don’t know the date of the last short report (the shares shorted is reported one a month and on a delay) so the actual number is a mystery, but the only people short now are options dealers hedging their books while they clip the insane premiums people are willing to pay here.
There’s a couple of things to consider. The total number of shares shorted as of the last report was 75M shs. A metric that equity long/short hedge funds use is called ‘short turnover’. It’s just (shares short)/(avg daily trading volume). So if a stock has 10M shares short and averages 1M shares traded per day, the stock is ‘10 days short’. In general, the ‘longer’ a stock is short, the more likely you are to see a short squeeze. Conversely, if a stock is just a few days short, you arent likely to see a squeeze.
I looked at this in November, and at the time GME was like 80-100 days short. I don’t remember the exact numbers, but there were something like 50M shares short and like 750k in average volume. So that’s a decent setup for a squeeze.
On Friday, GME turned over its entire short interest in three hours which is insane. If you look at traded volumes, GME has turned over the short interest like 15 times in the last three weeks. I don’t know the date of the last short report (the shares shorted is reported one a month and on a delay) so the actual number is a mystery, but the only people short now are options dealers hedging their books while they clip the insane premiums people are willing to pay here.
This post was edited on 1/26/21 at 10:06 am
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:08 am to Smoke7024
quote:
I have absolutely zero idea what I'm doing, but I made $16 off of this today.
"I told you never to call me here. What's that? They're all buying? Then SELL, SELL, SELL!"
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:12 am to BeYou
quote:
BeYou
That's a long post to just say you don't think it's a good idea to buy.
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:15 am to Chucktown_Badger
I'm too much of a pansy to put any real money into this. It's fun though.
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:17 am to rintintin
quote:
The price on OTM calls right now are ridiculous. It's $14 for a Feb 19 200 strike :lol
358% implied vol and 83% IV rank as of today.
Other than penny stock biopharms, I can’t recall seeing IV and premiums this insane before. In other situations, I’d sell some WAY OTM call spreads. But this thing has lost touch with reality (short sellers have lost over $90 billion so far this month). So sold a basket of 1/29/21 42 strikes at the 15 delta.
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:20 am to Oates Mustache
From a rational standpoint it's a terrible buy.
But people aren't buying because of rationality. They're buying because there's a hoard of millions of irrational people that don't give a frick focused on this stock.
This is the antithesis of the efficient market hypothesis.
But people aren't buying because of rationality. They're buying because there's a hoard of millions of irrational people that don't give a frick focused on this stock.
This is the antithesis of the efficient market hypothesis.
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:20 am to Jag_Warrior
Im in for $2500. Lets go!
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:38 am to Upperdecker
I just cashed out most of my shares. Leaving a few in my portfolio for posterity. I'm happy with 150% return on my investment in less than a week.
Good luck to all of you still enjoying the ride.
Good luck to all of you still enjoying the ride.
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:40 am to MadDogs
CHAMATH just announced he will win the war on GameStop
YUGE
YUGE
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:44 am to rintintin
quote:
They're buying because there's a hoard of millions of irrational people that don't give a frick focused on this stock.
People are buying because these big institutions who naked shorted this bitch into the ground are getting wiped out. This is a big f you from retail investors to the hedge fund wallstreet guys. They got greedy and shorted over 140% of the available shares and have no way out.
This post was edited on 1/26/21 at 10:44 am
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:45 am to Upperdecker
quote:
CHAMATH just announced he will win the war on GameStop
YUGE
How does this effect my $16 in profit? If I wanted to put back in?
This post was edited on 1/26/21 at 10:46 am
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:48 am to Triple Bogey
That's true, although at the end of all of this there are gonna be A LOT of retail investors holding the bag with big irreparable losses.
So while it is indeed fun to watch retail stick it to the suits, it won't be without repercussions.
So while it is indeed fun to watch retail stick it to the suits, it won't be without repercussions.
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:52 am to rintintin
Exactly. My question, along with everyone else’s is when to bail? Don’t wanna be late to that party. I’d imagine once DFV liquidates and lets it be known it’s ballgame.
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:58 am to rintintin
quote:
That's true, although at the end of all of this there are gonna be A LOT of retail investors holding the bag with big irreparable losses.
I think you're misunderstanding what the play is here. There aren't enough shares for them to buy back to close their original short positions. They are paying ridiculous amounts of money everyday to hold these shorts open as the stock keeps rising. People on wsb, including my dumbass, have set limit orders at insane prices. IF they get margin called, they will have to buy the shares at whatever the limit order sells are set at in order to close.
I bought in for the first time when the stock was at 14$. I could give a frick less if it tanks 20% in a day. I will simply sit and wait them out.
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