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Started By
Message
re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
Posted on 12/19/12 at 10:43 am to C
Posted on 12/19/12 at 10:43 am to C
I don't know. Never completely trust Bill Gates.
Did you add the percent numbers manually and divide by 9 to see what you get? I'm predicting you won't get what the AVGDEV function results are.
Did you add the percent numbers manually and divide by 9 to see what you get? I'm predicting you won't get what the AVGDEV function results are.
1
Posted on 12/19/12 at 10:51 am to LSURussian
yeah even when I changed the individual values to absolutes, it flipped the number to something else. Oh well. live and learn.
Posted on 12/19/12 at 10:52 am to C
Oh and I was cautious about using google docs because it may show my actual name. I think I am safe as long as I'm not logged in but if someone can see my name, let me know please.
Posted on 12/19/12 at 10:54 am to C
quote:
yeah even when I changed the individual values to absolutes, it flipped the number to something else. Oh well. live and learn.
For questioning my Excel abilities you are hereby disqualified from winning the Grand Prize.
Posted on 12/19/12 at 10:56 am to LSURussian
I don't know if I've ever used that function before, so I'm hopeful no serious mistakes were made at work...
Posted on 12/19/12 at 10:58 am to C
quote:Much better.
fixed. try now.
Did you purposefully omit the oil predictions for Plano and Easter Bunny?
Posted on 12/19/12 at 11:00 am to C
quote:I've never used it.
I don't know if I've ever used that function before, so I'm hopeful no serious mistakes were made at work...
I noticed years ago that the financial function for computing duration is a little off, too. Since then I always hand compute at least one range of cells to double check Bill Gates' math.
Posted on 12/19/12 at 11:07 am to C
C, if you omit by 100% deviation (for putting "lol" next to Nasdaq), what would my total deviation be?
Posted on 12/19/12 at 11:10 am to LSUtoOmaha
10.28% average deviation if your non-prediction is ignored.
Posted on 12/19/12 at 11:16 am to LSURussian
fixed
Posted on 12/19/12 at 11:22 am to C
quote:What's fixed?
fixed
Posted on 12/19/12 at 11:29 am to LSURussian
got rid of the "100%" for the people who didn't make a prediction.
Posted on 12/19/12 at 11:30 am to LSURussian
quote:
Second highest deviation is goodgrin on the price of silver. He predicted $65.00 and the actual this minute is $31.86 for a deviation of -104.02%.
Yeah, it's been a little disappointing, but I have faith that silver will exceed the measly $65 when the over decade long bull market executes its spectacular blow off bubble. When? I'd give it 2-5 years.
It's possible the spot price of silver will go even lower as the end of the year approaches. Wont' bother me since I'll be cost averaging more physical bullion into my possession.
Posted on 12/19/12 at 11:35 am to C
Posted on 12/28/12 at 10:45 am to LSURussian
With one trading day to go, here are some interim results as of 10:30 AM today:
Overall leaders:
Plano Privateer: 9.33% total deviation
C: 9.72% total deviation
lynxcat: 10.36% total deviation
Stock Market Indices:
DJ30:
LSUtoOmaha: .63% deviation
PlanoPrivateer: 1.64% deviation
LSURussian: 1.82% deviation
S&P500:
LSU0358: .81% deviation
C: 1.32% deviation
EasterBunny & GumboPot (tie): 2.93% deviation
NASDAQ:
LSURussian & lynxcat (tie): .93% deviation
C: 4.11% deviation
Oil:
LSURussian & Tigress (tie): .53% deviation
LSUtoOmaha: 2.74% deviation
Overall leaders:
Plano Privateer: 9.33% total deviation
C: 9.72% total deviation
lynxcat: 10.36% total deviation
Stock Market Indices:
DJ30:
LSUtoOmaha: .63% deviation
PlanoPrivateer: 1.64% deviation
LSURussian: 1.82% deviation
S&P500:
LSU0358: .81% deviation
C: 1.32% deviation
EasterBunny & GumboPot (tie): 2.93% deviation
NASDAQ:
LSURussian & lynxcat (tie): .93% deviation
C: 4.11% deviation
Oil:
LSURussian & Tigress (tie): .53% deviation
LSUtoOmaha: 2.74% deviation
Posted on 12/28/12 at 2:16 pm to LSURussian
quote:
S&P500:
LSU0358: .81% deviation
C: 1.32% deviation
EasterBunny & GumboPot (tie): 2.93% deviation
Tied for the bronzePosted on 12/28/12 at 2:18 pm to The Easter Bunny
Posted on 12/28/12 at 2:39 pm to LSURussian
I say we call, "Ballgame" as of 10:30 this morning. Who's with me?
Posted on 12/28/12 at 2:47 pm to LSURussian
quote:
As of now, the largest deviation from actual (any category) is The Easter Bunny on the 10 yr rate. He predicted 3.75% for a deviation of 108.33%
winner winner chicken dinner
Posted on 12/28/12 at 5:28 pm to PlanoPrivateer
quote:
I say we call, "Ballgame" as of 10:30 this morning. Who's with me?
Gotta play it out!
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