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re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company

Posted on 6/2/25 at 8:19 am to
Posted by SpeedyNacho
Member since May 2014
2490 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 8:19 am to
Damn. 3 people bought over 40, and are maaaaad
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
2753 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 8:34 am to
quote:

$1billion equity offer. Good news is its only at 2-3%


Compared to CRWV which borrowed at 9%. This is a no brainer for nbis
Posted by SpeedyNacho
Member since May 2014
2490 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 8:36 am to
Caused my 2nd buy to initiate premarket. I’ll take it.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
21471 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 8:38 am to
quote:

Compared to CRWV which borrowed at 9%. This is a no brainer for nbis

Fantastic
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
17022 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 9:07 am to
quote:

Damn. 3 people bought over 40, and are maaaaad


If you haven’t been down at least 20% once with NBIS you’re not really playing.
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
2753 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 9:12 am to
ITDawg.. got any comments on this move?
Posted by SpeedyNacho
Member since May 2014
2490 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 11:54 am to
I’ve done my DD. Just ran across this thread last week. I’ve made a fricking killing flipping TEM from 48-60 the last few months, This seems to be in the same AI bubble and follows it pretty well, laid out what my plan was and was just commenting about the people downvoting lol. I sure hope it goes down below 30 so I can double down at 28.68!
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
24478 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 12:25 pm to
I don't really like this as a short term play for a company that already claimed to have a lot of capital, but could be very beneficial in the long term. Good rates and a lot of $ to be spent...

I am still very bullish on NBIS - almost bought more today but held off
This post was edited on 6/2/25 at 12:29 pm
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
2753 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 12:39 pm to
Thanks. Didnt coreweave do the same with a lot more $ and a lot higher rates? Also are you hopeful that this upcoming june europe “tour” results in positives?
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
24478 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 1:22 pm to
They did.

I’m most hopeful for September and October when they announce their first profitable quarter and guidance closer to $1B ARR.

I was thinking it would slowly go up over the next few months and then bust out toward the end of the year.

I’m long on this with around 1500 shares
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
21471 posts
Posted on 6/3/25 at 10:06 am to
It's nice to see it heading back the other way rather than flirting with that gap from $28-33.
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
24478 posts
Posted on 6/3/25 at 2:27 pm to
Crazy watching CRWV the last few days and not thinking NBIS will be next when they all sell off of CRWV. Missed that boat….but at a 40% loss of profit, seemed so damn risky.

Almost looking at playing a short on CRWV at this price point….
This post was edited on 6/3/25 at 2:29 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
21471 posts
Posted on 6/3/25 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

Almost looking at playing a short on CRWV at this price point….

I know. It's crazy...
It is entirely hype driven.

Trading at 14x forward revenue (5bn) while spending will exceed 20bn this year.

Posted by AuburnTigers
Member since Aug 2013
14675 posts
Posted on 6/3/25 at 5:47 pm to
quote:

I know. It's crazy...
It is entirely hype driven.
Hottest stock on the planet just made me a fortune

Had to dabble my toe back in NBIS. It looks poised for a breakout. Just needs a little more volume.
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45062 posts
Posted on 6/3/25 at 6:10 pm to
While I certainly enjoy NBIS and maintain a position, I have began deploying capital into acquiring more AVGO shares. Luckily, prior to the recent run up.

I had AI do a deep research on a avgo, and I liked what I read. I intend on doing a deep research on NBIS this evening.

I will share the results via email if anyone is interested, but I highly suspect the NBIS deep research will match what the twitter account that bb shares here says.

If you all don’t have chat gpt to perform DD on stocks, I suggest getting it



Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45062 posts
Posted on 6/3/25 at 7:02 pm to
Sneak peak:

Segment
Valuation Metric (FY2025E)
Estimated Segment Value (USD)
Implied Value per NBIS Share

AI Cloud (Nebius Core)
~10× EV/Revenue (high growth cloud)
~$6.0 – 7.2 billion
~$25 – $30

Avride (Autonomous Driving)
Comparable EV to early-stage AV peers (Aurora, etc.)
~$0.5 billion
~$2

TripleTen (EdTech)
~3× Revenue (bootcamp/EdTech multiple)
~$0.15 billion
~$0.6

Toloka AI (Equity Stake)
Recent funding valuation (Bezos-led)
~$0.1 – 0.2 billion (est.)
~$0.5

ClickHouse (28% Stake)
Implied by $6B valuation
~$1.68 billion
~$7

Net Cash (Q1’25 post-convert)
Cash ~$2.4B – Debt ~$1.0B
~$1.4 billion
~$6


Total SOTP Value
~$9.8 – 10.7 billion
~$41 – $45 per share



Ai can be wrong. Do your own research.
This post was edited on 6/3/25 at 7:03 pm
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45062 posts
Posted on 6/3/25 at 8:22 pm to
Fresh seeking alpha hit piece just dropped, for those wanting some bearish views to consider

Nebius Reality Check: Why Its Premium Valuation Doesn't Add Up

LINK


Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
2753 posts
Posted on 6/3/25 at 8:30 pm to
Saw that SA article. So stupid
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
15255 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 4:12 am to
Just loaded up on NBIS with my sale of shares from CRWV. Let's Go!
Posted by OTIS2
NoLA
Member since Jul 2008
51540 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 5:28 am to
I appreciate the effort to share data, but I am dumb. Explain this to me like I am a 5th grader.
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