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re: Looking like a huge stock market sale today
Posted on 1/10/25 at 7:57 am to I Love Bama
Posted on 1/10/25 at 7:57 am to I Love Bama
quote:
How does this equal shite?
The reaction by the 10 year Treasury bonds. Yield up over 10 bps. Means interest rate cuts will be few and far between.
1
Posted on 1/10/25 at 8:05 am to bigjoe1
Another discount day. Enjoy
Posted on 1/10/25 at 8:07 am to tigerbacon
Im all red currently except for CVX which is up over 2.5
Posted on 1/10/25 at 8:52 am to tigerbacon
5881 minus 15% haircut.
SP 5000.
-10% 5292
Very plausible.
SP 5000.
-10% 5292
Very plausible.
Posted on 1/10/25 at 9:01 am to lsu xman
Followed through on some of my other posts and bought OPFI and NBIS. Much more of NBIS than OPFI.
Posted on 1/10/25 at 9:09 am to bayoubengals88
AMPX is up 20% 
Posted on 1/10/25 at 9:26 am to jefforize
finally got a bounce.
im firing up some LOs a touch below that opening hour floor, for the day.
im firing up some LOs a touch below that opening hour floor, for the day.
Posted on 1/10/25 at 10:44 am to jefforize
Got a quick scalp on the 278 0DTE calls.
Was happy with 11.1% in about 2 minutes.
Was happy with 11.1% in about 2 minutes.
Posted on 1/10/25 at 11:27 am to tigerbacon
It's an ugly day for sure. Inflation continues to be out of control.
Posted on 1/10/25 at 12:02 pm to tigerbacon
quote:
What are you buying?
Nothing. Key technical support level on SPY around $583 is broken. If we can't close above that level today, that means a head-and-shoulders pattern is complete and we have a breakout to the downside. Looking at a major correction over the next few weeks.
Not a dip-buying day for me. Sitting my arse on the sidelines until a new bottom forms.
This post was edited on 1/10/25 at 12:04 pm
Posted on 1/10/25 at 12:12 pm to TxTiger82
buy all the way down. Buying tech stocks today. However due to divdiends of MO today and bitcoin etc im positive so far today
Posted on 1/10/25 at 12:20 pm to TxTiger82
quote:It may just happen...
If we can't close above that level today,
Posted on 1/10/25 at 12:45 pm to tigerbacon
I wonder if part of it is profit taking since the taxes, on capital gains this year will not have to paid till April 2026. Plus uncertainty with Trump coming in. Like December is for tax harvesting by selling a loss.
Posted on 1/10/25 at 2:08 pm to leeman101
quote:It's mostly the feds unwillingness to cut rates to the extent that the market thought it would.
I wonder if part of it is profit taking since the taxes, on capital gains this year will not have to paid till April 2026. Plus uncertainty with Trump coming in. Like December is for tax harvesting by selling a loss.
Posted on 1/10/25 at 3:38 pm to bayoubengals88
I fully expect a rebound on July 20. It will be a bumpy ride but expect nasdaq up 10% to end the year and the others up 5
Posted on 1/10/25 at 4:20 pm to tigerbacon
I hate market movements. I would much rather a 0.05% S&P increase daily than down 2%, up 1%, down 4%, up 4%, etc
Posted on 1/10/25 at 5:45 pm to tigerbacon
I meant Jan 20th
Posted on 1/11/25 at 10:10 am to tigerbacon
quote:
I meant Jan 20th
Up until recently I've been quite bullish, optimistic that the tailwinds from 2024 were still in play. But now most of them are weakening.
Last year we had:
1 - Easing inflation pressures
2 - The promise of a falling rate environment
3 - Earnings growth
4 - Some multiple expansion as sentiment was very positive
Now, it looks like inflation will hang around for a bit, and fears of inflation are being exacerbated by Trump's rhetoric (that is not a political statement, it is just a statement that is true). The Fed seems less likely to cut rates as much as previously thought, and sentiment is turning bearish.
That leaves earnings growth. We need a strong earnings season to get this thing back on track.
This post was edited on 1/11/25 at 10:11 am
Posted on 1/11/25 at 10:23 am to TxTiger82
WM and HD will be the horses I ride this year.
Posted on 1/11/25 at 10:28 am to TxTiger82
quote:
That leaves earnings growth. We need a strong earnings season to get this thing back on track.
We're going to find out about that real fast. Major banks start reporting next week.
Not at all sure what Trump's economic policies will be since he promised everything to everybody. Just hanging my hat on the thought this administration will be business friendly. We should see a lot more M&A activity with a more business friendly FTC and DOJ.
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