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re: Just Want to Share a Trade I Put On Every Year That Works

Posted on 1/10/19 at 1:56 pm to
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162217 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

Just Want to Share a Trade I Put On Every Year That Works

The stock has been taking a nose dive since July of last year

I wouldn't be so sure that your "insider trick" is going to hold up this time partner
Posted by Hussss
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
6742 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 2:13 pm to
You sound like someone that buys when sentiment is high. Good luck chasing things if that is the case.
This post was edited on 1/10/19 at 2:14 pm
Posted by TheIndulger
Member since Sep 2011
19239 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 2:37 pm to
I looked at it the last 5 years. It looks like The price went down three times and up twice after the new year.
Posted by Hussss
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
6742 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 2:40 pm to
After the Q4 (2/27) and Q1 (TBD) earnings reports. Did you look before or after Q4 / Q1 earnings reports of previous years?

Let me try to help you out here:

You buy today and hold it until right before 2/27 or if you are more into risk then hold through the report.
This post was edited on 1/10/19 at 2:56 pm
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35369 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 3:40 pm to
quote:

The first two earnings reports of the year are always spectacular and close to 20% of the float is sold short so you can catch a bit of a short covering rally and if you are not 100% confident it will be a huge beat you can hop off right before the release of the earnings reports.



Investing off history huh? I remember someone shitting on that idea yesterday
Posted by Hussss
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
6742 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 3:48 pm to
Has nothing to do with history. Close to 20% of the float is short NOW, the stock is trading at 52w lows NOW and there is a catalyst coming UP. Hop on dummy.
This post was edited on 1/10/19 at 3:51 pm
Posted by b-rab2
N. Louisiana
Member since Dec 2005
12576 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 3:56 pm to
Hussss, He doesn't like traders..
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
56254 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 3:57 pm to
We all know that all a company needs to make more money are more customers


Why look at all those other silly numbers
Posted by Hussss
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
6742 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 3:58 pm to
Yeah it’s obvious. They all think they are Warren Buffett but it is so ironic that none of them can say exactly what “investments” work for them right now or what THEMES they like going forward. These AMZN lovers don’t even know just how much of their revenue is dependent on .gov nor do they realize before stocks are set up to skyrocket the big boys club the S H I T out of it first by shorting and THEN they accumulate.
This post was edited on 1/10/19 at 4:03 pm
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50341 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 4:01 pm to
quote:

and there is a catalyst coming UP. Hop on dummy.


Is that baked into the current price, theoretically.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35369 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

The first two earnings reports of the year are always spectacular


quote:

Has nothing to do with history



Hmmmmm
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35369 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

Is that baked into the current price, theoretically.





You would think. Markets are forward looking
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

Is that baked into the current price, theoretically.
Don't you know? Hussss is the only person in the world who can detect patterns in market pricing. Be grateful he is willing to share his insight with us cretins....
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35369 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 4:30 pm to
Wait, I missed this the first wrap around.

There’s a short sentiment, meaning a not insignificant amount of people are wanting the price to go down, and you’re telling people to go long into a stock that people are wanting to drop, and then ride it back up when people start buying to cover shorts?


Why wouldn’t you just buy on margin when the sentiment changes and sell at the catalyst?
This post was edited on 1/10/19 at 4:32 pm
Posted by Hussss
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
6742 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 4:31 pm to
I don’t use margin dummy. Learned that lesson over 20 years ago.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35369 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 4:32 pm to
Because you probably did something stupid with it
Posted by Hussss
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
6742 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 4:34 pm to
Haven’t we all made stupid mistakes in life? Come on

A mistake is not a mistake until you REFUSE to correct it AND LEARN from it.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35369 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 4:36 pm to
Oh I agree and you’re right


But if I hit myself in the nuts with a hammer, I’m not going to blame the hammer, for it is but a tool


Like margin
Posted by Hussss
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
6742 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 4:38 pm to
Good luck with your margin trades
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35369 posts
Posted on 1/10/19 at 4:40 pm to
I don’t trade on margin, I’m just saying if we’re making wild trades, why not leverage them


The vast majority of people should never even know what margin is
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