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If I'm looking to make a 5% annual return (after tax) by investing in funds...

Posted on 9/13/16 at 4:48 am
Posted by PenguinNinja
Antarctica (and Japan)
Member since Sep 2011
2082 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 4:48 am
How much "risk" would I need to tolerate?

I'm not trying to hit a hot stock and make 30% on my money in a year, but I'd like to be able to count on 4-6% (after taxes) a year on my savings as a little supplement income that I can use to pay my mortgage (less than 4% rate). If I can't get 4% each year, I'd just as soon pay down my mortgage.

How much risk would I need to be willing to accept if I got an advisor to take my savings and manage it, and I told him / her I was targeting 4-6% per year (on average) as income?
Posted by FunroePete
The Big Cheezy
Member since Dec 2012
1531 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 4:59 am to
Posted by PenguinNinja
Antarctica (and Japan)
Member since Sep 2011
2082 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 6:04 am to
Anything specific in there that you're directing me towards?
Posted by Sigma
Fairhope, AL
Member since Dec 2005
3643 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 6:27 am to
You're going to have to take on significant risk to make 4-6%. Not too long ago, zero risk money market funds were paying 5%. These days they're paying basically zero. CDs and lower risk bond funds will get you 2-3%. To get above that, you're going to be generally holding stocks. (Assuming you're not into other things like real estate, etc)

The answer to your specific question of investing vs paying down mortgage is a matter of risk tolerance, among other things. Can you handle a relatively short term drop in value of 20% or more? Do you have other savings or investments?
Posted by FunroePete
The Big Cheezy
Member since Dec 2012
1531 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 6:31 am to
The New Investor part.


You're asking an impossible question on two fronts
1. Because we/i have no idea of your financial health.
2. Nothings guaranteed and you seem to think a substantial return (5% after tax) is trivial because you don't think you would be risking that much.
Posted by b-rab2
N. Louisiana
Member since Dec 2005
12577 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 6:31 am to
Check out some of the MLP's. EPD, TOO, PTXP. Or look at a bond fund like PONCX

Just saw the "after tax." Yeah good luck. That's going to be a little hard to do.
This post was edited on 9/13/16 at 6:45 am
Posted by crazycubes
Member since Jan 2016
5256 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 7:17 am to
Look into some dividend funds, however you will be in all stocks
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42494 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 9:15 am to
Boy, do i have an awesome investment for you
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
20481 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 9:41 am to
quote:

You're going to have to take on significant risk to make 4-6%


Eh not really. I mean yes he's probably going to need to be 60%+ and realistically 70%+ into equities, but you can place some Sell Stops to prevent a major loss and furthermore adjust them as you make gains.
Posted by PenguinNinja
Antarctica (and Japan)
Member since Sep 2011
2082 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 10:03 am to
1. I'm asking a question. I don't "seem to think" anything, or else I wouldn't have had the question.

2. I have no debt and will have no debt other than potentially a mortgage. All assets have recently become fully liquid (cash) as I'm in the process of moving.

If I can pay cash for a house, or pay 20% down and mortgage the rest at 3.125% and deduct the mortgage interest, id need to beat 3.125% (or slightly less) after taxes in investing it. I'm just trying to figure how much risk (qualitatively) I'd be taking on in trying to do that.

I'd prefer 4-6% to make it worth the trouble, but admittedly anything above 3.125% makes it worthwhile. I would have thought a diversified portfolio of a few decent funds could achieve that, but I know frick all about it. Hence the question.
Posted by b-rab2
N. Louisiana
Member since Dec 2005
12577 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 10:09 am to
Like I said earlier, an MLP will will yield you around 4-6% yield but that comes with the risk of equities going up and down. My FA put my in a Pimco fund PONCX which yield 6.5% with a 1.5% management fee crap. But it's stable and I like to think of it as a emergency money account since a savings account doesn't earn you anything.
Posted by Balloon Huffer
Member since Sep 2010
3421 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 10:29 am to
What kind of money are you looking to invest?

Real estate will get you far better than 5%.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
20481 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 12:44 pm to
My recommendation is that given your questions and current knowledge of investing, you'd be best off paying your house off in cash and investing what you can after that. I'm over 90% in equities in what I have in the stock market then I have real estate. I'm young but most importantly I'm comfortable any dips will be times for me to buy and not to freak out. Most are not like that.

What I would do does not always make sense for you or someone else. Can you make more than 5% in equities, absolutely. Is it worth it for someone like you, at this point I'd say no. The problem id predict is you'd be very nervous and pull out at the first sign of a dip. That's a good way to lose money.
Posted by RJSambola
Member since Jun 2012
319 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 1:27 pm to
Ford, at&t, hsbc, bp, rdsa/b

All pay more than 4% dividends, even if the price of the stock drops you should theoretically expect a 4+% return on your initial investment annually. Of course past performance is no indicator yada yada
Posted by whodatigahbait
Uptown
Member since Oct 2007
1752 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

How much "risk" would I need to tolerate?

I'm not trying to hit a hot stock and make 30% on my money in a year, but I'd like to be able to count on 4-6% (after taxes) a year on my savings as a little supplement income that I can use to pay my mortgage (less than 4% rate). If I can't get 4% each year, I'd just as soon pay down my mortgage.

How much risk would I need to be willing to accept if I got an advisor to take my savings and manage it, and I told him / her I was targeting 4-6% per year (on average) as income?


Look at exchange traded debt of BDCs. A 7 year piece of paper is yielding in the high 6s low 7s.

One of the safest investments out there. It is fixed income but they pay outsized yields and are very safe. IMO.

Check out www.dividendyieldhunter.com for a list.
This post was edited on 9/13/16 at 1:50 pm
Posted by PenguinNinja
Antarctica (and Japan)
Member since Sep 2011
2082 posts
Posted on 9/13/16 at 2:28 pm to
Depends on whether or not I take out a mortgage. Anywhere from $200k - $800k.

I don't think I want to be a landlord just yet.
This post was edited on 9/13/16 at 2:33 pm
Posted by Balloon Huffer
Member since Sep 2010
3421 posts
Posted on 9/14/16 at 9:38 am to
With the type of money you were looking to invest, I would do a little research on private real estate lending.

Not being the landlord, being the bank.

despite all the thumbs down my last comment received, if you know what you are doing in real estate, you will get better returns and have less overall risk than the stock market.
This post was edited on 9/14/16 at 9:39 am
Posted by PenguinNinja
Antarctica (and Japan)
Member since Sep 2011
2082 posts
Posted on 9/15/16 at 2:35 am to
Yeah, problem is that I don't know what I'm doing in real estate.
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
24958 posts
Posted on 9/15/16 at 7:34 am to
I am in the same boat and following this thread closely.
Posted by bovine1
Walnut Ridge,AR via Tallulah,LA
Member since Dec 2004
1282 posts
Posted on 9/15/16 at 4:15 pm to
According to the GMO 7 yr projected returns report that came out yesterday timber at 4.8% before tax avg annual return is the only asset class that comes close. I've found GMO's projections to be worth paying attention to. Full disclosure I'm very much a mean reverting investor.
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