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How rare is an emergency or between meetings rate cut?

Posted on 8/5/24 at 11:41 am
Posted by thelawnwranglers
Member since Sep 2007
40634 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 11:41 am
Business Insider

quote:

Traders are increasingly pinning their hopes on an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut.





Does this happen very often? I don't see it happening, but the market keeps wish casting rate cuts it seems
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
131405 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 12:12 pm to
I believe there was an in-between meetings rate cut early in the 2008/2009 real estate crash, "The Great Recession."

I remember the Fed Board held a conference call, I believe it was in January, 2008, and agreed to cut the Fed Funds rate by 75 basis points (-.75%). That was one of the largest rate cuts in 20 years or so.

There's probably been others but that's the only one that comes immediately to mind for me.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
5542 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 12:22 pm to
You don't really want the Fed to listen to traders, but when basically everything is tanking thats as good of an indicator on the economy as anything else
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
55750 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 12:24 pm to
Aside from the one Russian mentioned, I think there were two in the immediate aftermath of 9/11.

Thus far I'm not seeing anything about an "emergency meeting" actually happening, just wishcasting attempts.
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4823 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 12:29 pm to
If they had an emergency meeting at this point from what is currently known and cut rates, that would be more concerning than anything.

That would signal to the markets that they think the economy is in more trouble than we thought.

We’ve been overdue for this correction, let it happen. The grass can’t grow without some rain!
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11677 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

thats as good of an indicator on the economy as anything else


Actually big tech melting down should prove to everybody revenue and earnings growth don’t matter at all

This post was edited on 8/5/24 at 12:50 pm
Posted by thelawnwranglers
Member since Sep 2007
40634 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

wutangfinancial



My 20 year zero Treasury is doing work right now
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
90105 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

You don't really want the Fed to listen to traders, but when basically everything is tanking thats as good of an indicator on the economy as anything else


Is Nvidia’s outlook 30% worse today than it was 45 days ago?
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
5542 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

Is Nvidia’s outlook 30% worse today than it was 45 days ago?



No, but even things that exclude tech altogether are down.

I don't think we are at "tanking" levels yet, but as I said in my post if everything does start to tank then I do think you can point to the stock market as more of an indicator.

I'm high on QQQ but even I know Tech has been cruising for a bruising for a while now.
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11677 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 12:52 pm to
The other side of that argument is do you think NVDA's valuation was justified based on absolutely retarded assumptions surrounding AI 45 days ago?

I'd just say people should drop the narrative that corporate P&Ls matter at all in 2024. It's not your father's stock market anymore.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
90105 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

The other side of that argument is do you think NVDA's valuation was justified based on absolutely retarded assumptions surrounding AI 45 days ago?


I’m fine with that argument too, because it implies this is reasonable and healthy.

quote:

I'd just say people should drop the narrative that corporate P&Ls matter at all in 2024. It's not your father's stock market anymore.


I don’t think they matter in the short term at all, but it’s still a solid long term way to make decisions.
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