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re: Fed hides weekly M1 supply, says "money doesn't matter"

Posted on 7/13/22 at 3:08 pm to
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
52956 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 3:08 pm to
Tic toc
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
52956 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

He’s not wrong. Are you suggesting he is?

You need actual velocity of money to trigger traditional inflation, and then you need that velocity to be maintained for it to be long lasting inflation.

People have been worrying about runaway inflation since 2009 and it simply hasn’t even come close to materializing in this country.


Clown
Posted by USMCguy121
Northshore
Member since Aug 2021
6332 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 10:30 pm to
Damn. Didnt age well.
This post was edited on 7/13/22 at 10:31 pm
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
52956 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 10:45 pm to
MB is full of sunshine pumpers with their heads I the sand, they think they can duck hard mathematical certainties
This post was edited on 7/13/22 at 10:46 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 11:04 pm to
quote:

Clown


It’s comical that you think my post has been proven wrong.

I’ve definitely been wrong about inflation in the short/medium term, but of all the posts you could bump to highlight it, you chose the one where I simply laid out the facts.
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47827 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 11:30 pm to
if anything this thread shows how time is passing insanely quickly. Can’t believe my original posts were made over a year ago.

Feel like I was right on the inflationary pressures being unprecedented, but wrong in that I didn’t think the Fed had it in them to be hawkish in the face of initiating a recession. I guess I still don’t think they have it in them to maintain their hawkish posture once unemployment starts ticking up in the middle of a recession.
Posted by braindeadboxer
Utopia
Member since Nov 2011
8742 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 11:41 pm to
quote:

How do people this clueless get one of the most important jobs on the planet?


They aren’t clueless…. They know exactly what they are doing
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11872 posts
Posted on 7/14/22 at 8:55 am to
The DXY is up 15ish% since Fedwire broke last year. Maybe your conclusion about consumer prices was right, but your conclusion on inflation is wrong. Your prediction was based on academic theory that is about 50 years outdated and without consideration for the supply variable which is the main driver for CPI increases for 1.5 years. Chill, baw. You sound like a lib flexing that a 10 year old girl got abused.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
58006 posts
Posted on 7/14/22 at 9:25 am to
quote:




Be careful with that chart. The reason for that massive spike is due to how the Fed changed their view of the money supply. During COVID so many people began using their savings accounts as just another checking (meaning they, generally, became liquid enough to be considered as part of M1) that they added them to M1.

Don't get me wrong, there was an increase in the overall money supply, but it wasn't nearly that big a jump (see: M2)

Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
52956 posts
Posted on 7/14/22 at 11:03 am to
quote:

The DXY is up 15ish% since Fedwire broke last year.


Valued against what? A basket of shittier currencies?
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11872 posts
Posted on 7/14/22 at 11:29 am to
CPI is a basket of a bunch of shitty Chinese goods. What's your point?

The dollar has not been debased to the degree that you think it has, if at all. There is no way to measure it. In fact, there are pricing signals everywhere indicating the opposite.
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
52956 posts
Posted on 7/14/22 at 11:37 am to
You are so wrong I dont even know how to start to respond.
This post was edited on 7/14/22 at 11:47 am
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11872 posts
Posted on 7/14/22 at 11:51 am to
Can’t wait until you bump this thread this winter when the dollar starts falling on a Fed pivot to confirm “it’s happening” again
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
52956 posts
Posted on 7/14/22 at 12:15 pm to
I dont even care anymore
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
52956 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 4:51 am to
Getting ugly
Posted by TDFreak
Coast to Coast - L.A. to Chicago
Member since Dec 2009
9008 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 5:52 am to
quote:

Valued against what? A basket of shittier currencies?

Pretty clear now. The USD is worth a Euro and nearing an ATH vs the Pound.

And yet we have buku inflation.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
58006 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:13 am to
quote:

Pretty clear now. The USD is worth a Euro and nearing an ATH vs the Pound.

And yet we have buku inflation.


Skinniest kid at fat camp.
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
52956 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 6:23 am to
Being right is tedious work
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
52956 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 12:02 pm to
New white hot inflation numbers coming....
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