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re: Diving deeper on Standard Lithium?

Posted on 12/11/23 at 12:52 pm to
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28918 posts
Posted on 12/11/23 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

ETA: Dang, worse than I thought. Why do people hate lithium all of the sudden?



The market seems to hate almost everything I own outside my tax deferred retirement accounts. They don't want me taking too early retirement.
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
58969 posts
Posted on 12/11/23 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

1 isn’t coming. That would mean its market cap equals its approximate asset book value, leaving the business operations themselves valued at $0.
wouldn’t this be accurate?
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
2896 posts
Posted on 12/11/23 at 12:58 pm to


This post was edited on 12/11/23 at 12:59 pm
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
2896 posts
Posted on 12/11/23 at 2:06 pm to
To combine with the other thread.....

Posted by go ta hell ole miss
Member since Jan 2007
14026 posts
Posted on 12/11/23 at 2:17 pm to
I’ve bought the dip a few times, but it keeps dipping.
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
2896 posts
Posted on 12/11/23 at 2:21 pm to
It's hard to reward them with more buying, but we are in the range where their rights to lithium are worth it even if they don't do a thing. A la Tetra.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
15192 posts
Posted on 12/11/23 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

I'll probably get back in around or below the dollar range.

I stand by by statement.
This post was edited on 12/11/23 at 3:32 pm
Posted by ev247
Member since Nov 2022
444 posts
Posted on 12/11/23 at 6:30 pm to
I'd like to know the actual value of their mineral options. Trying to figure it out, I have more questions than answers.

The reference would be the Galvanic to Exxon sale of 120k mineral acres for $100M. This was probably the entire mineral estate.

Standard doesn't own any mineral estates, only options to produce on someone else's.
Options (only lithium) for 27k acres from Tetra for SWA and at least 25k acres in East Texas (right to all minerals, including potash, bromine)

So you have Exxon's full 120k acre mineral estate sold in Arkansas for $100m

vs

Lithium production rights on 27k acres + All mineral production rights on property with much higher lithium concentrations, good bromine levels (how compares to Exxon's?), and good potash (does Exxon's have this at all?) on 25k acres (at least).

Interesting

This post was edited on 12/11/23 at 6:55 pm
Posted by ev247
Member since Nov 2022
444 posts
Posted on 12/11/23 at 6:35 pm to
Also I emailed IR today to ask if the pilot plant has been extended beyond Dec 5 and if the AOGC ruled either way on the 1A royalty rate. Will hopefully report back shortly
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
23051 posts
Posted on 12/11/23 at 7:55 pm to
SLI hasn't done anything proof of concept wise for over 2 years. They really need to do a monthly production report of complete end to end lithium production at the demo plant including costs even if they can't sell the product. Have Koch verify it.
Posted by jamiegla1
Member since Aug 2016
7557 posts
Posted on 12/12/23 at 4:37 am to
they should've been doing these for the last couple years. There will come a time when a monthly report will look more like begging than showcasing what they've done
Posted by ApexHunterNetcode
Member since Aug 2023
594 posts
Posted on 12/12/23 at 7:59 am to
quote:

Have Koch verify it.


Agree with everything except this part, use a 3rd party to attest. Really need to see some production volume.
Posted by Fe_Mike
Member since Jul 2015
3538 posts
Posted on 12/12/23 at 9:10 am to
Just added another 5% at $1.83

Will do one more 5% tranche if it gets to the $1.70 level. Then just try to shut it out of my head til January.

Have some concerns that an offtake agreement that may or may not have been a 'done deal' a few months ago is now in limbo because of the plunging lithium prices. Could be slowing down the capital raise.

We'll see how the next month goes. Hopefully I don't get to buy any more.
Posted by ev247
Member since Nov 2022
444 posts
Posted on 12/12/23 at 9:36 am to
Same concern here. But I think Joe Lowry said something that made me think that the US lithium market might be independent in a way since the IRA funding programs require US minerals. Planning to listen to his podcast with Exxon this afternoon
Posted by Neauxla_Tiger
Member since Feb 2015
1981 posts
Posted on 12/12/23 at 9:47 am to
Anybody in here do any technical or chart analysis? I'd be curious what the technicals are looking like, because this has to be getting to the point of being very oversold. It's been straight down since August with hardly any bounce (minus one two week stretch in October). We've gotta be due at least a dead cat bounce soon
Posted by gautamj
Member since Sep 2023
59 posts
Posted on 12/12/23 at 9:50 am to
wow !! another 7% drop .. why?
who's crazy enough to sell at these prices?
Posted by Neauxla_Tiger
Member since Feb 2015
1981 posts
Posted on 12/12/23 at 10:07 am to


Here's the 5 year chart for lithium commodities. Pretty darn close to SLI's 5 year chart. Hopefully lithium will stabilize or bounce at that 2021 level that it sat at for months. If so, then we may be getting close to a bottom ::fingerscrossed::

But it definitely seems we are dependent on this trend reversing with lithium before any individual stocks get relief. The recent headlines about low demand for EVs has no doubt hurt.
Posted by Fe_Mike
Member since Jul 2015
3538 posts
Posted on 12/12/23 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Will do one more 5% tranche if it gets to the $1.70 level. Then just try to shut it out of my head til January.


To be clear, I will not be buying another 5% if it hits that level today.



The other lithium stocks are rebounding after today's slow start, SLI missed the memo.
Posted by go ta hell ole miss
Member since Jan 2007
14026 posts
Posted on 12/12/23 at 10:32 am to
quote:

wow !! another 7% drop .. why? who's crazy enough to sell at these prices?


Short sellers.
Posted by UFownstSECsince1950
Member since Dec 2009
32797 posts
Posted on 12/12/23 at 10:33 am to
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