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re: Diving deeper on Standard Lithium?

Posted on 10/30/21 at 8:55 pm to
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28946 posts
Posted on 10/30/21 at 8:55 pm to
Plus the Germans are coming to town. The big guys. Great PR to sign the JV with the local and state media there. Maybe a senator or two. They've had their 3 months of data. It's time. Especially if they are to break ground at first of the year.
Posted by Fe_Mike
Member since Jul 2015
3538 posts
Posted on 10/30/21 at 9:03 pm to
Has it actually been confirmed that Lanxess management is in town? I thought that was a joke…
Posted by DrSeuss19
Member since Sep 2021
37 posts
Posted on 10/30/21 at 9:03 pm to
This is likely to be a rough week for the market as a while with bond spending being cut and tapering discussion (I’m aware interest rates are not being raised but the market is going to act like they are until they aren’t).
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28946 posts
Posted on 10/30/21 at 9:16 pm to
quote:

Has it actually been confirmed that Lanxess management is in town? I thought that was a joke…


I haven't seen them with my own eyes, but a very reliable source confirms it's not rumor. There's been more talk of the deal in the plant. Up until very recently SLI was never said by name by Lanxess management, just "the project".

Employees were not to discuss it even amongst each other unless it was absolutely necessary, or so I've been told. I feel like it has to be close considering the loosening of the silence order. Doesn't mean that's what they are coming for, but the timing is curious. Enough for me to buy $40k more Friday when it dipped and ready for another if we get an overall market sell off.
Posted by CecilShortsHisPants
One Foty Fo uh uh Magnolia Screet
Member since Oct 2012
3374 posts
Posted on 10/30/21 at 9:43 pm to
Our last few PR drops have been at the German open, is that a correct statement?

I’m unloading everything Monday. I don’t care if I miss on a dollar.
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28946 posts
Posted on 10/30/21 at 10:04 pm to
It seems like recent ones have been. That tells me that Lanxess starting coordination the PR whenever that started. Cause the Germans were getting f$%ked.

SLI holds no loyalty to the German market and until JV agreed upon, then they really don't have to tell Lanxess shite before the drop PR.
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28946 posts
Posted on 10/30/21 at 10:05 pm to
quote:

’m unloading everything Monday. I don’t care if I miss on a dollar.


Whatcha mean by that?
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13877 posts
Posted on 10/30/21 at 10:10 pm to
Yeah at first read it sounded like he was going to sell all his SLI but I think on second read it’s talking about unloading everything else to buy more SLI.
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13877 posts
Posted on 10/30/21 at 10:12 pm to
Yeah I think the SIFT plant PR was the first one that was announced at midnight, before that most were announced like 8am or so US time. They have all been at midnight since the SIFT plant PR. That PR will always hold a special place in my heart as it stopped our slide into the abyss…..
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28946 posts
Posted on 10/30/21 at 10:16 pm to
quote:

eah at first read it sounded like he was going to sell all his SLI but I think on second read it’s talking about unloading everything else to buy more SLI.


I would assume that's what he meant. Unloading the other holdings. I've been antsy all weekend. These sumbitches always seem to drag it out a week or two after we expected and people start giving up.
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28946 posts
Posted on 10/30/21 at 10:20 pm to
quote:

They have all been at midnight since the SIFT plant PR. That PR will always hold a special place in my heart as it stopped our slide into the abyss…..


I told y'all it was there!!! Won't lie. The delay made me start wondering if something went wrong. Then we find out they added reverse osmosis between the two units. Any delays have always turned out to be for good reasons. Just like the PEA. I'm still pumped about it. You can bet your arse they are going to be able to produce more than 30k tons/year. I'm thinking 50-60k. We'll know in a few years.
Posted by jimjackandjose
Member since Jun 2011
6635 posts
Posted on 10/30/21 at 10:21 pm to
I hoping this auph buyout happens early next week before JV announcement. Sell and roll into SLi. If timing works, could be a great 2 weeks for me
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28946 posts
Posted on 10/30/21 at 10:33 pm to
Good luck!
Posted by CecilShortsHisPants
One Foty Fo uh uh Magnolia Screet
Member since Oct 2012
3374 posts
Posted on 10/30/21 at 11:52 pm to
quote:

’m unloading everything Monday. I don’t care if I miss on a dollar.

Whatcha mean by that?


*Miss on a dollar discount if we do pull back.
I’m planning to buy at market value Monday instead of waiting for the dip everyone’s been begging for. Freed up a lot of cash this week (thanks Tesla), and can buy about 5000 more at this price.
Posted by HarrisonTown
Member since Nov 2019
533 posts
Posted on 10/31/21 at 2:49 am to
So you think this JV is coming this week?
Looking to time it to be honest lol.
I'm ready to pick up another 1k to swing on top of my stack. Unfortunately I'm not a baller like you guys but I'm bullish long for sure.
Doesn't matter i'll make money anyway.
I'll hold until I do.
Just weird buying so much higher than my average.
Frick it, buying for a swing first thing monday am
Dammit, or wait for the lunchtime dip. Gotta maximize ya know
Posted by CecilShortsHisPants
One Foty Fo uh uh Magnolia Screet
Member since Oct 2012
3374 posts
Posted on 10/31/21 at 4:41 am to
I’m preparing as if they’re in town for the ribbon-cutting photo. All other business is done virtually these days
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13877 posts
Posted on 10/31/21 at 6:51 am to
Yeah you would think it's either for the ribbon cutting photo or one last trip to see everything in person before signing the docs.
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
2672 posts
Posted on 10/31/21 at 9:34 am to
Is there a scenario where lanxess is just as smart of a play here? Does SLI benefit exponentially by licensing their technology to other players outside of lanxess? Or would that be not permitted in the JV agreement?
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28946 posts
Posted on 10/31/21 at 10:24 am to
quote:

Is there a scenario where lanxess is just as smart of a play here? Does SLI benefit exponentially by licensing their technology to other players outside of lanxess? Or would that be not permitted in the JV agreement?


Not that I see currently. I bought Lanxess early when it was down in 2020 as a hedge, I thought they'd get back in the 70's-80's within a year without the SLI project and they did. It was a better buy then in the 30's. I think they've positioned themselves to do well even without SLI and they have gone big in production of battery casings for EV batteries. They don't have the upside of SLI, but they don't have the potential downside either. I think they are currently undervalued. The bromine market has been down, like everything else, due to COVID. They have focused on streamlining their operations for efficiency and costs savings. Being close to Albermarle and Lanxess, Lanxess seems to be a much better ran company. At least here in south Arkansas.

From my understanding, Lanxess and SLI will form a separate company that is basically a subsidiary of each, for their JV. SLI will be free to pursue other ventures with or without Lanxess. There could be some restrictions that we won't know until JV released, such as partnering with Albermarle. Ventures such as that may be limited to the JV company. Otherwise, SLI can develop Tetra, the other SW Arkansas project and possibly Mojave project independent of SLI.

I wouldn't be shocked to see Lanxess/SLI begin battery manufacturing separate from their current ventures. Makes sense to me. Lanxess makes the structural components needed, SLI/Lanxess could produce enough lithium to support the company and have the greenest batteries on the planet. But SLI still the big winner over next 10-15 years. Past that, it may be Lanxess unless SLI can use their tech or acquire/develop new tech in other areas. I do plan on rolling some of my SLI profits over into Lanxess down the line. I think they are positioning themselves quite nicely in their sector.
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28946 posts
Posted on 10/31/21 at 10:41 am to
quote:

So you think this JV is coming this week?
Looking to time it to be honest lol.
I

I think there is a very good chance, but it could be on/after SLI's Q3 report. I've been pretty good about knowing when things are going to happen, but it hasn't been exact by any means. Hell, the SiFT plant was here weeks before it was announced.

quote:

I'm ready to pick up another 1k to swing on top of my stack. Unfortunately I'm not a baller like you guys but I'm bullish long for sure.


I just hope they don't spring it on us Monday. I bought more during the dip Friday, but hedged for another dip next week if week get a market sell off. When I do that it usually just keeps going up. When I buy bigger, it drops about another 10% or more before surging again.

quote:

Just weird buying so much higher than my average.
Frick it, buying for a swing first thing monday am

I think my cost average on my first 100k shares was about $.65-.75. I've been averaging up every since. Sometimes it makes sense to. I'll tell you for sure in a few months.

quote:

Unfortunately I'm not a baller like you guys but I'm bullish long for sure.
Doesn't matter i'll make money anyway.

And that's the way it should be. When I first started investing, I didn't take as big of shots as I do now. As you make money and re-invest, you make more money. Don't try to be what you're not. Don't invest more than you can stand to lose in speculative stocks. Don't compare what you have to others, it'll bait you into making bad decisions. Scared money never wins.

I know people that have lost their arse on SLI. Know one guy that bought $30k worth at like $3.25. Great investment huh? Except when in dipped back into the $2's he did just as I warned him not to and sold. He lost $10k in 2 weeks, and he really couldn't afford to. He would've been better off buying $4-5k worth or whatever he could comfortably risk, and he'd still have it.

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