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re: Dave Ramsey: Will the stock market crash under Joe Biden?

Posted on 4/15/21 at 11:17 am to
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
15475 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 11:17 am to
We’re up 11% ytd on the S&P. A crash, if it were
To happen because of Biden, should have already happened imo
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11815 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 11:20 am to
No I've always like the technology and I'm big on decentralization of government. I don't understand how it's any different than a government backed currency. And the more I hear the institutional men that have ins with the regulators talk about it, I don't really see the value other than another piece of Art for elites and a way to pretend your wealth is isolated from the system.

Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41874 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 11:21 am to
quote:

I can use any fraction I want as a means of exchange. That means there's an infinite supply of BTC. What am I missing?



finite supply, but infinitely divisible

for example, ~$600 can buy you 1 million sats right now (or 0.001000000 bitcoin)
This post was edited on 4/15/21 at 11:21 am
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41874 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 11:22 am to
quote:

I don't understand how it's any different than a government backed currency.


dude, the circulating supply of bitcoin will never be more than 21 million

the circulating supply of dollars will continue to go up for the rest of our lives
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47827 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 11:42 am to
quote:

I don't understand how it's any different than a government backed currency.


Scarcity.

I don’t have to trust the people involved, I only have to trust the code and the established protocol.
Posted by Douglas Quaid
Mars
Member since Mar 2010
4118 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 11:47 am to
quote:

I don't understand how it's any different than a government backed currency


This is a surprising comment given your apparent sophistication in other realms of finance.
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11815 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

the circulating supply of dollars will continue to go up for the rest of our lives


This is objectively wrong with the current system

quote:

finite supply, but infinitely divisible


Infinite supply, finite divisibility

What's the difference?

BTW this is all assuming the commercial banks have nothing to do with creating money, which they do.
This post was edited on 4/15/21 at 12:19 pm
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 12:32 pm to
If you don’t understand the differences between BTC and a CBDC, I’m not sure what to say.

Also a CBDC should frighten the bajeezus out of everyone but politicians
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41874 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 12:55 pm to
yea the discussions around cdbcs are kinda alarming but I'm just hoping it's fear mongering
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11815 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

If you don’t understand the differences between BTC and a CBDC, I’m not sure what to say.



I fully understand the difference between the two. I'm talking about dollars now not some theory on what the central bank will do in cohorts with the Treasury at some point down the road as they continue to fight deflation. If you don't understand that the money printer is not in the hands of the Federal Reserve I don't know that we can continue this conversation because that underlying assumption needs to be understood by both parties. This is because that is the system that exists now.

On another note the other issue is the difference between the two (decentralized control) seems to be an illusion. The decentralized aspect can be put into question fairly easily. Also, I still haven't been explained how people expect to dissasocciate from government without some utopian BTC economy that is allowed to operate independently from the rest of the plebians who don't have access to it.
Posted by down time
space
Member since Oct 2013
1914 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 2:39 pm to
Focusing on dollars now.

There is about 90 trillion in assets in the equities markets. The credit/bond market has 300 trillion. How much leverage?

Today, the common bank only has $4 dollars to every $100 loan. (25x leverage) For reference, Lehman brothers in 2007 was leveraged 31x

World debt is 4 to 1 GDP. Growth needs to be at 12% a year to stop the need for these huge stimulus packs.

How is this sustainable? US is 30 trillion in debt and has 150 more in obligations within 15 years.

Bitcoin is a default swap on this. ??
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82004 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

i feel like wutang is like one of those people who hates bitcoin at first and then once he learns all about it, ends up loving it

That was me. I can pull up so many threads back in the Wiki days where I was a major critic. Then I actually took the time to learn about it.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41874 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 3:02 pm to
yea great point. greg foss and Preston were talking about that on the latest pod
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82004 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

I don't understand how it's any different than a government backed currency.
Your posts usually exude that you are knowledgeable in general. This comment here makes me have my doubts though.
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11815 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 3:06 pm to
De-leveraging isn't inflationary but I agree with you it's not sustainable.

quote:

This comment here makes me have my doubts though


Is that why nobody can actually address the questions I'm asking?
This post was edited on 4/15/21 at 3:11 pm
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41874 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 3:21 pm to
your question makes no sense

we have a free market to buy whatever we want and store value in whatever we want.. that is the epitome of freedom, and patriotism, and being an american

only a statist would make it's people stay dependent on the dollar

This post was edited on 4/15/21 at 3:22 pm
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11815 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 5:00 pm to
quote:

only a statist would make it's people stay dependent on the dollar


Umm correct. Guess who's in charge of public policy? DC statists that only care about their own wealth, power and self interests. My question makes perfect sense since BTC is supposed to be an end game asset in a post-dollar dominant world.
Posted by Douglas Quaid
Mars
Member since Mar 2010
4118 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 5:09 pm to
Ultimately, I believe crypto will force a reckoning between the people and the state. This will be in Western societies of course.

The people will have to ask themselves if they are subjects to the state or masters of their own government. The reverse question is already being pondered by the state.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41874 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 6:03 pm to
quote:

My question makes perfect sense since BTC is supposed to be an end game asset in a post-dollar dominant world


maybe for some people but not for me personally

bitcoin for me is just to preserve wealth, im more than happy using dollars to buy stuff or send money to others
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41874 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

Ultimately, I believe crypto will force a reckoning between the people and the state.


i dont think it will cause that much disruption overall in the states

save in bitcoin (if you want) and then spend in dollars.

not sure why that would be a big deal
This post was edited on 4/15/21 at 6:07 pm
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