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Started By
Message
re: BOIL has become predictable
Posted on 5/7/14 at 8:48 am to Iowa Golfer
Posted on 5/7/14 at 8:48 am to Iowa Golfer
It's pretty frustrating, every time you think the tide has turned, in one fell swoop it shoots back up. I guess it's going to take a consistent few weeks of better than expected injections to make the turn for good.
1
Posted on 5/7/14 at 8:57 am to rintintin
Large day time volume in July contracts. Ticks down during the day, probably because the professionals are trading. Follows after 5PM when the amateurs jump on.
Posted on 5/7/14 at 11:32 am to Iowa Golfer
No real liquidity in KOLD, but I'm trying to place an August 33/37 bull put spread. I doubt it ever gets to even the midpoint.
Posted on 5/8/14 at 9:15 am to Iowa Golfer
10:30 EST. Anything over 71 would be good.
Posted on 5/8/14 at 9:33 am to Iowa Golfer
I'm assuming the injection report was nice this week.
Posted on 5/8/14 at 9:53 am to TheBigHurt
Looks like storage was +74bcf vs. predictions of 71-73bcf.
Another beat
Another beat
Posted on 5/8/14 at 10:01 am to rintintin
Yup. But I saw some estimates as high as 78. Futures down over a dime across the board.
The important contract for everyone short July is the August contract. August is $4.616, Cash is $4.736 as of right now.
I think we need natty gas under $4 to make money.
The important contract for everyone short July is the August contract. August is $4.616, Cash is $4.736 as of right now.
I think we need natty gas under $4 to make money.
Posted on 5/8/14 at 10:05 am to Iowa Golfer
My July ung 23p just popped 36%.
Posted on 5/8/14 at 5:11 pm to Iowa Golfer
If we can keep this avg injection per week up we are gonna be more than good to make some money come July-Aug-Sept-Oct.
Posted on 5/8/14 at 5:44 pm to L S Usetheforce
August, Sept and Oct? I had completely overlooked this. Thanks, I'll be going there next time there is a rebound, which I would expect tomorrow.
Posted on 5/12/14 at 6:38 am to Iowa Golfer
Unless things change from last night and early this morning, it's going to be bloody for the natty gas bulls again today.
Posted on 5/12/14 at 6:49 am to Iowa Golfer
I hope so. I've finally hit a stride in oil futures and my UNG puts are killing my gains.
Posted on 5/12/14 at 7:05 am to econ85
Which puts, and what is your entry and strike price(s)?
I had to average down on my puts, all the way to Friday. My July 20/23 puts are at .25 and .46. It's been an enlongated painful way to feed the trade so far for me.
I had to average down on my puts, all the way to Friday. My July 20/23 puts are at .25 and .46. It's been an enlongated painful way to feed the trade so far for me.
This post was edited on 5/12/14 at 7:08 am
Posted on 5/12/14 at 7:19 am to Iowa Golfer
20 contracts at 1.99
UNG Jul 23
I've lost my arse. Go back in this thread and you can see the exact moment I decided to piss away money
UNG Jul 23
I've lost my arse. Go back in this thread and you can see the exact moment I decided to piss away money
This post was edited on 5/12/14 at 7:21 am
Posted on 5/12/14 at 7:21 am to econ85
Give me month and strike price and I'll figure out the Greeks on it, and also run it through this spreadsheet I made to see where futures need to be to get to UNG price.
Posted on 5/12/14 at 10:41 am to Iowa Golfer
Finally a little action on out of the money July puts. Someone is starting to sense something.
Posted on 5/12/14 at 11:17 am to Iowa Golfer
I told yall once storage was above the 1000 bcf mark shite would happen.....
Expect a 90 bcf injection thursday
Expect a 90 bcf injection thursday
Posted on 5/12/14 at 11:51 am to econ85
@ econ85
I think we could see UNG at $20. I bought some UNG July 23P at up to .93, but I averaged it down all through last week.
quote:
20 contracts at 1.99
I think we could see UNG at $20. I bought some UNG July 23P at up to .93, but I averaged it down all through last week.
Posted on 5/12/14 at 11:56 am to Iowa Golfer
My July 23 UNG puts just went positive. UNG @ $24.61, Cash contract @ $4.527, June @ $4.44, July @ $4.448 and August @ $4.445.
Posted on 5/12/14 at 1:28 pm to Iowa Golfer
Wow, you really did average down didn't you?
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