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Willie Stroker
Longwood Fan
Member since Sep 2008
6877 posts
 Online 

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
quote:

theOG

Unless we start seeing some regression to the mean, your anonymity as a time traveler may start to erode.


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Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
Great job so far


theOG
Oklahoma Fan
Member since Feb 2010
7251 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
Thanks guys.


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
111003 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
1 week down, only 51 weeks to go.....



LSUcam7
SRB FL
Member since Sep 2016
1581 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
The tale of two markets. Pretty wild month and a half we have had, but if this game is evidence of anything, it’s evidence of how oversold stocks were.

As of the last update there was only one portfolio in the negative. Breadth is back baby!


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
111003 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
quote:

As of the last update there was only one portfolio in the negative.
As I posted in another thread this afternoon, although I updated my spreadsheet this morning there wasn't much change since yesterday's update so I didn't post an update today.

One slight change as of close of trading yesterday is now none of us is in the red YTD. The last place player is +.83% today. You moved up one spot from 23 to 22 and improved YTD from 7.04% to 7.95%.


LSUcam7
SRB FL
Member since Sep 2016
1581 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
quote:

23 to 22


I’ve contacted all major institutions to help me lay low and come in strong in Q4.

As always, thanks Russian.


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
111003 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
I realize that last year is last year but I just went back and analyzed how players did last year at this time in January versus where they finished the year in the standings.

No player who was in the bottom third of the rankings as of January 11, 2018 finished the year in the top 10.



Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
quote:

No player who was in the bottom third of the rankings as of January 11, 2018 finished the year in the top 10.


I will be the first one then if the market has a year as rough as I expect. If it doesn't then I should finish in the middle somewhere securing my ban bet for ya.
This post was edited on 1/11 at 11:52 pm


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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
111003 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
Rankings updated through close of trading on 1/11/2019.

I've added a column on my spreadsheet which shows up just to the right of each poster's average YTD return next to your name.

That is what you were ranked on the previous update.

I updated the spreadsheet yesterday but I didn't post the update yesterday, so don't confuse the last posted update with the number next to your average % today. The last posted update was from close of trading on Wednesday. The previous ranking number shown today is from close of trading Thursday which I didn't post yesterday. Confused yet???

I underlined the new number (just this once) so that you can see what I'm referring to.

I hope you like this added information. If you don't like it let me know and I'll delete the new column in future updates. Thanks.
_____________________________________________________________

1 theOG 23.02% 1
BHC 22.47% CGC 42.35% KNX 14.28% STNE 14.43% NBIX 21.59%

2 LSUTOM07 16.20% 2
FB 9.70% HAL 15.50% WYNN 14.80% CELG 36.37% V 4.64%

3 rowbear1922 14.57% 5
GE 18.10% CGC 42.35% MO -0.99% CAT 3.96% BA 9.43%

4 ynlvr 14.13% 3
TDOC 11.90% NVDA 11.48% CNC 4.06% FDC 2.19% NBR 41.00%

5 cave canem 13.55% 4
GS 5.91% CAT 3.96% GE 18.10% CPE 30.82% LNG 8.97%

6 TT1234 13.44% 8
GILD 8.97% LRCX 5.83% VIAB 14.55% EAF 20.28% TUP 17.58%

7 papz 12.94% 11
AMZN 9.23% SHOP 7.93% W 7.02% TDOC 11.90% ACB 28.63%

8 jerryc436 12.61% 10
AAPL -3.46% BABA 10.40% NVDA 11.48% WDC 8.28% CELG 36.37%

9 Suntiger 12.53% 13
ANTM -2.28% BAC 5.64% CGC 42.35% BABA 10.40% IDCC 6.55%

10 juice4lsu 12.41% 9
GS 5.91% JD 9.32% PVH 13.79% VNOM 8.26% NKTR 24.76%

11 bossflossjr 11.81% 7
DNR 26.90% AMZN 9.23% XOM 5.18% FDX 5.99% SPLK 11.75%

12 lynxcat 11.74% 18
NVDA 11.48% KDP 5.89% CRON 31.57% AMZN 9.23% JNJ 0.54%

13 raw dog 11.43% 6
TELL 9.21% REV 6.31% JD 9.32% IAC 0.07% AMRN 32.26%

14 WPBTiger 11.36% 12
SHOP 7.93% TDOC 11.90% SQ 18.08% TTD 9.68% AMZN 9.23%

15 arkiebrian 10.51% 14
AAPL -3.46% CHK 29.52% FCX 12.51% FB 9.70% INTC 4.26%

16 thegreatboudini 10.35% 17
PFE -1.76% INFO 3.77% BABA 10.40% AMD 9.80% CHK 29.52%

17 Zilla 10.06% 15
SQ 18.08% FB 9.70% ZS 15.28% VZ 4.27% CBLK 2.98%

18 Vols&Shaft83 9.05% 16
AA 7.41% SNE 1.45% ROKU 29.14% JPM 3.17% HMN 4.06%

19 oklahogjr 8.97% 19
NOW 7.66% TDOC 11.90% DXCM 17.78% ADSK 6.32% MSFT 1.21%

20 LSUcam7 8.82% 22
VLO 4.67% MS 5.27% FB 9.70% AGN 11.67% TAP 12.78%

21 PlanoPrivateer 8.49% 21
LMT 6.07% MO -0.99% CAT 3.96% F 15.29% GE 18.10%

22 deeprig9 8.38% 25
XOM 5.18% T 9.95% F 15.29% SO 6.12% EQIX 5.35%

23 SouthMSReb 7.97% 23
NKE 2.56% FB 9.70% ITW 2.86% BA 9.43% F 15.29%

24 LSUtoOmaha 7.86% 20
ET 13.85% KMI 11.25% HCA 3.77% JPM 3.17% BX 7.25%

25 leoj 7.39% 28
DIS 2.74% TXN 4.33% LRCX 5.83% BA 9.43% COMM 14.64%

26 DawgCountry 7.35% 26
T 9.95% AMZN 9.23% HD 4.42% CVX 3.45% FB 9.70%

27 C 7.23% 29
XOM 5.18% T 9.95% CSCO 1.13% GE 18.10% WMT 1.81%

28 cuyahoga tiger 7.01% 30
V 4.64% T 9.95% SMG 10.45% BAC 5.64% LUV 4.39%

29 white perch 6.01% 31
GE 18.10% RDS.B 3.70% AMZN 9.23% CALM 0.00% MO -0.99%

30 Willie Stroker 5.81% 33
AMZN 9.23% BAC 5.64% CRM 7.72% V 4.64% WMT 1.81%

31 Notro 5.76% 36
JNJ 0.54% BAC 5.64% GE 18.10% KO -0.02% NOC 4.55%

32 LSURussian 5.75% 32
AMZN 9.23% MSFT 1.21% JPM 3.17% T 9.95% XOM 5.18%

33 Hussss 5.72% 40
RCII 5.93% OLN 13.82% SSRM 2.32% VZ 4.27% NVS 2.28%

34 TimeOutdoors 5.68% 27
TLK 5.11% ANET 3.51% APPN 15.80% ATVI -0.06% MA 4.02%

35 TigeRoots 5.52% 38
BAC 5.64% CAT 3.96% RDS.A 3.90% ALK 5.41% LULU 8.68%

36 Dandaman 5.38% 39
T 9.95% ALLY 9.09% AMZN 9.23% AAPL -3.46% GOOG 2.08%

37 Azazello 5.34% 35
AAPL -3.46% AMZN 9.23% GS 5.91% GILD 8.97% LMT 6.07%

38 Costanza 5.26% 34
AMZN 9.23% BA 9.43% V 4.64% MSFT 1.21% WMT 1.81%

39 windshieldman 5.15% 37
BP 6.12% V 4.64% AAPL -3.46% TWTR 14.37% PM 4.10%

40 FunroePete 5.02% 24
ATVI -0.06% ADBE 5.00% WTRH 5.29% LNG 8.97% TTWO 5.92%

41 TigerinOkieHell 5.02% 44
T 9.95% WMT 1.81% INTC 4.26% CVX 3.45% BAC 5.64%

42 CajunTiger92 5.00% 42
JPM 3.17% IP 12.09% MSFT 1.21% IR 4.09% SCI 4.45%

43 Lawg4dyfe 4.83% 45
T 9.95% VZ 4.27% VKTX 8.76% AAPL -3.46% V 4.64%

44 Cdawg 4.80% 41
AMZN 9.23% BAC 5.64% V 4.64% JNJ 0.54% CAT 3.96%

45 Rendevoustavern 4.24% 43
JPM 3.17% BA 9.43% CAT 3.96% MSFT 1.21% LYB 3.42%

46 southernelite 4.11% 47
DIS 2.74% MSFT 1.21% ORCL 6.95% DE 6.11% FEYE 3.52%

47 PearlJam 4.03% 49
GS 5.91% BAC 5.64% AAPL -3.46% C 8.89% JPM 3.17%

48 HYDRebs 3.87% 50
SMAR 2.65% HEI 1.69% MRVL 7.04% MS 5.27% VRSK 2.72%

49 DynaMike 3.76% 46
AAPL -3.46% GOOG 2.08% AMZN 9.23% INTC 4.26% BBY 6.70%

50 FriscoTiger 3.46% 52
VTR 2.61% UN -0.45% V 4.64% BA 9.43% NEE 1.09%

51 jsk020 3.45% 51
AAPL -3.46% BABA 10.40% EXC 1.53% AMD 9.80% SBUX -1.04%

52 TunaTime 3.26% 48
AAPL -3.46% AMZN 9.23% ZTS 0.61% COP 6.48% CVX 3.45%

53 bayoubengals88 2.08% 55
CIM 2.81% PFE -1.76% DPZ 0.40% T 9.95% MO -0.99%

54 tiger perry 1.77% 53
MCD 2.70% PG -0.16% AAPL -3.46% JNJ 0.54% AMZN 9.23%

55 eatboudin 1.73% 56
WMT 1.81% EL -3.20% BUD 12.03% STZ -1.00% MO -0.99%

56 Wade Phillips 1.09% 54
STZ -1.00% JPM 3.17% UNH -0.58% CSCO 1.13% TSS 2.71%


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Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
Thanks for doing this


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I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
18993 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
Thanks for doing this Russian. I know one of the participants VERY well and he posted his picks while I wasted away in banville.

I have a question for everybody--if you could stop today for the year with the return you have today would you?? Would you go to cash?

Maybe if the stakes were a little higher--if the winner of the contest got $1 million and could go to cash anytime during the year but could not return would you take the return you have now as your YE contest return and go to cash?

I believe I would if I were OG with a 23% return today.

The top 17 in the contest have returns already this year above the 90 year average of the S&P 500 of 9.8%.
This post was edited on 1/12 at 6:30 pm


C
Atlanta Falcons Fan
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
25582 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
If the stakes were higher and you were trying to win, contrarian bet is probably your best bet whether you believe it going higher or not. Obviously few would just take it out of the market at this point for no reason.


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PlanoPrivateer
LSU Fan
Frisco, TX
Member since Jan 2004
2135 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
quote:

I have a question for everybody--if you could stop today for the year with the return you have today would you?? Would you go to cash?

No, not after just one week. It is too soon.


I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
18993 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
OG could lock in a 23% annual return today. There are not many years you can get that.

I wonder how many years 23% would have won the contest?


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Wade Phillips
Member since Dec 2008
435 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
And to think I felt pretty good about my picks... Rough start.


Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
I still like your STZ pick


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rowbear1922
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2008
9665 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
Whoop! Whoop! Made it to the top 3!


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
111003 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
quote:

Whoop! Whoop! Made it to the top 3!
You're doing even better today!

Updated through close of trading Monday, January 14.

Reminder, the number to the right of your average YTD percent is what your ranking was in the most recent previous update. In this case, the previous update was as of close of trading on Friday, January 11.


1 theOG 25.41% 1
BHC 20.47% CGC 58.13% KNX 16.59% STNE 12.74% NBIX 19.10%

2 rowbear1922 17.15% 3
GE 17.57% CGC 58.13% MO -2.29% CAT 3.72% BA 8.64%

3 Suntiger 15.54% 9
ANTM -2.86% BAC 7.02% CGC 58.13% BABA 8.90% IDCC 6.50%

4 ynlvr 15.32% 4
TDOC 15.25% NVDA 12.69% CNC 5.72% FDC 1.95% NBR 41.00%

5 LSUTOM07 14.83% 2
FB 10.91% HAL 14.26% WYNN 9.29% CELG 35.76% V 3.91%

6 papz 14.25% 7
AMZN 7.67% SHOP 7.69% W 3.97% TDOC 15.25% ACB 36.69%

7 cave canem 13.03% 5
GS 6.99% CAT 3.72% GE 17.57% CPE 27.89% LNG 8.97%

8 TT1234 12.76% 6
GILD 7.51% LRCX 3.13% VIAB 16.26% EAF 19.06% TUP 17.83%

9 juice4lsu 11.95% 10
GS 6.99% JD 5.30% PVH 12.40% VNOM 8.72% NKTR 26.32%

10 WPBTiger 11.51% 14
SHOP 7.69% TDOC 15.25% SQ 16.21% TTD 10.71% AMZN 7.67%

11 lynxcat 11.11% 12
NVDA 12.69% KDP 3.35% CRON 32.44% AMZN 7.67% JNJ -0.60%

12 jerryc436 11.08% 8
AAPL -4.91% BABA 8.90% NVDA 12.69% WDC 2.95% CELG 35.76%

13 bossflossjr 10.76% 11
DNR 25.73% AMZN 7.67% XOM 5.04% FDX 6.33% SPLK 9.03%

14 arkiebrian 10.31% 15
AAPL -4.91% CHK 30.00% FCX 12.51% FB 10.91% INTC 3.03%

15 thegreatboudini 9.81% 16
PFE -2.93% INFO 3.50% BABA 8.90% AMD 9.59% CHK 30.00%

16 Zilla 9.66% 17
SQ 16.21% FB 10.91% ZS 14.79% VZ 4.29% CBLK 2.09%

17 LSUcam7 9.21% 20
VLO 5.31% MS 7.14% FB 10.91% AGN 11.67% TAP 11.04%

18 oklahogjr 9.090% 19
NOW 5.81% TDOC 15.25% DXCM 19.15% ADSK 4.77% MSFT 0.47%

19 raw dog 9.086% 13
TELL 8.78% REV 6.31% JD 5.30% IAC -0.75% AMRN 25.79%

20 Vols&Shaft83 8.99% 18
AA 8.31% SNE 0.29% ROKU 28.79% JPM 4.22% HMN 3.34%

21 deeprig9 8.71% 22
XOM 5.04% T 9.07% F 17.52% SO 5.10% EQIX 6.81%

22 PlanoPrivateer 8.50% 21
LMT 5.98% MO -2.29% CAT 3.72% F 17.52% GE 17.57%

23 SouthMSReb 8.49% 23
NKE 2.63% FB 10.91% ITW 2.75% BA 8.64% F 17.52%

24 LSUtoOmaha 7.75% 24
ET 11.36% KMI 12.03% HCA 3.87% JPM 4.22% BX 7.28%

25 cuyahoga tiger 7.18% 28
V 3.91% T 9.07% SMG 11.00% BAC 7.02% LUV 4.91%

26 TigeRoots 7.02% 35
BAC 7.02% CAT 3.72% RDS.A 3.67% ALK 5.77% LULU 14.90%

27 DawgCountry 6.88% 26
T 9.07% AMZN 7.67% HD 4.07% CVX 2.69% FB 10.91%

28 C 6.82% 27
XOM 5.04% T 9.07% CSCO 0.48% GE 17.57% WMT 1.93%

29 leoj 6.14% 25
DIS 2.53% TXN 1.94% LRCX 3.13% BA 8.64% COMM 14.46%

30 Notro 5.94% 31
JNJ -0.60% BAC 7.02% GE 17.57% KO -0.42% NOC 6.15%

31 Willie Stroker 5.43% 30
AMZN 7.67% BAC 7.02% CRM 6.63% V 3.91% WMT 1.93%

32 PearlJam 5.30% 47
GS 6.99% BAC 7.02% AAPL -4.91% C 13.20% JPM 4.22%

33 LSURussian 5.29% 32
AMZN 7.67% MSFT 0.47% JPM 4.22% T 9.07% XOM 5.04%

34 white perch 5.16% 29
GE 17.57% RDS.B 3.80% AMZN 7.67% CALM -0.95% MO -2.29%

35 TigerinOkieHell 4.75% 41
T 9.07% WMT 1.93% INTC 3.03% CVX 2.69% BAC 7.02%

36 Azazello 4.65% 37
AAPL -4.91% AMZN 7.67% GS 6.99% GILD 7.51% LMT 5.98%

37 TimeOutdoors 4.63% 34
TLK 4.54% ANET 2.32% APPN 10.97% ATVI 1.55% MA 3.77%

38 Costanza 4.52% 38
AMZN 7.67% BA 8.64% V 3.91% MSFT 0.47% WMT 1.93%

39 windshieldman 4.50% 39
BP 6.59% V 3.91% AAPL -4.91% TWTR 12.63% PM 4.28%

40 CajunTiger92 4.37% 42
JPM 4.22% IP 9.61% MSFT 0.47% IR 4.20% SCI 3.35%

41 Dandaman 4.35% 36
T 9.07% ALLY 9.05% AMZN 7.67% AAPL -4.91% GOOG 0.88%

42 Cdawg 4.34% 44
AMZN 7.67% BAC 7.02% V 3.91% JNJ -0.60% CAT 3.72%

43 Lawg4dyfe 4.25% 43
T 9.07% VZ 4.29% VKTX 8.89% AAPL -4.91% V 3.91%

44 Hussss 4.23% 33
RCII 3.21% OLN 10.34% SSRM 2.15% VZ 4.29% NVS 1.18%

45 FunroePete 4.13% 40
ATVI 1.55% ADBE 3.68% WTRH 4.48% LNG 8.97% TTWO 1.98%

46 Rendevoustavern 4.02% 45
JPM 4.22% BA 8.64% CAT 3.72% MSFT 0.47% LYB 3.07%

47 HYDRebs 3.58% 48
SMAR 1.53% HEI 2.00% MRVL 5.25% MS 7.14% VRSK 1.96%

48 southernelite 3.29% 46
DIS 2.53% MSFT 0.47% ORCL 6.71% DE 5.52% FEYE 1.23%

49 DynaMike 2.97% 49
AAPL -4.91% GOOG 0.88% AMZN 7.67% INTC 3.03% BBY 8.16%

50 jsk020 2.37% 51
AAPL -4.91% BABA 8.90% EXC -0.13% AMD 9.59% SBUX -1.60%

51 FriscoTiger 2.33% 50
VTR 2.54% UN -1.93% V 3.91% BA 8.64% NEE -1.49%

52 TunaTime 1.89% 52
AAPL -4.91% AMZN 7.67% ZTS -1.22% COP 5.23% CVX 2.69%

53 Wade Phillips 1.56% 56
STZ 0.02% JPM 4.22% UNH -0.43% CSCO 0.48% TSS 3.53%

54 eatboudin 1.18% 55
WMT 1.93% EL -3.99% BUD 10.21% STZ 0.02% MO -2.29%

55 bayoubengals88 1.09% 53
CIM 3.14% PFE -2.93% DPZ -1.54% T 9.07% MO -2.29%

56 tiger perry 0.68% 54
MCD 2.06% PG -0.84% AAPL -4.91% JNJ -0.60% AMZN 7.67%


ynlvr
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
2287 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Friday, 1/18/19 on page 17.
Weed, Tech, or Bioscience generally seem capable of harboring outliers that can spike the punch if you choose them right. 12 months is a pretty long run. Each are making their contributions early. But, I am impressed with the early run of KNX. Nice call OG.


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