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re: What’s your prediction for number of wins for LSU football in 2024?

Posted on 6/18/24 at 4:23 pm to
Posted by Ty Gus
Southlake, TX
Member since Apr 2013
237 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 4:23 pm to
I expect 9-3, but will be disappointed if that's the result.

Posted by paulb52
Member since Dec 2019
5814 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 4:28 pm to
7-5 or 8-4
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
19934 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 4:35 pm to
Roster still has major holes into his 3rd season.
Posted by pbro62
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2016
13953 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 4:44 pm to
No one gives a frick what you think
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
29296 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 5:37 pm to
USC (N)-L
Nicholls-W
@S. Carolina-W
UCLA--W
S. Alabama--L
Bye
Ole Miss-W
@Arky--W
@Aggy-L
Bye
Bama--W
@Florida--W
Vandy--W
Oklahoma--W

9-3
Posted by TigerBait2008
Boulder,CO
Member since Jun 2008
35269 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 6:04 pm to
Shutup you suck.
Posted by Dissident Aggressor
Member since Aug 2011
4690 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 6:59 pm to
quote:

Anything under 10 wins is a disappointment.

well then
prepare to be disappointed…
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
59752 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 7:13 pm to
quote:

well then
prepare to be disappointed…


Why the negativity? Typical rantard stuff?

I loved that people mentioned losing a Heisman QB considering the fact that at least 50% of the fan base was ready to bench that same QB at least 1/3 of the way into the season last year.
This post was edited on 6/18/24 at 7:15 pm
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
21768 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 7:19 pm to
I'll play it safe and predict 10 wins

I think the offense will be about the same overall, better production from the RBs. I think the defense will be significantly better, at the average-to-solid tier instead of the "sucks arse" tier.
Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
10160 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 7:24 pm to
quote:

Sorry Kelly fanbois.


Do you realize how gay and pathetic this is?
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
59752 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 7:30 pm to
quote:

We aren't making up for losing JD5, Nabors and starting a new QB.


Who the frick is Nabors? You were probably one of the ones who was calling for benching JD5 early in the season.
Posted by austintexastiger
Austin, Texas
Member since Aug 2006
1963 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 9:12 pm to
I agree with this totally. 9-3 and getting in the playoff as team 12.
Posted by rpg37
Ocean Springs, MS
Member since Sep 2008
51600 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 9:18 pm to
USC (N)- 31-24
Nicholls- 58-10
@S. Carolina- 31-27
UCLA-- 38-27
S. Alabama-- 55-21
Bye
Ole Miss- 31-30
@Arky-- 27-24
@Aggy- 17-31
Bye
Bama-- 27-24
@Florida-- 35-28
Vandy- 45-24
Oklahoma-- 41-31

11-1. Lots of close games with Mississippi and Alabama being the two best games. Arkansas looks like an ugly game and back-to-back with AM is a lot. I say we drop one of two. Florida to me is a true trap game, but we play them in their midst of elite competition.I do think we have a 7-5 floor with a 9-3 team with a coach who can steal us a game. If you have high BP, this season may not be for you.
Posted by BallCoach
Member since Jun 2024
49 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 9:53 pm to
How can LSU ever suck on the DL is beyond me!
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
29296 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 10:21 pm to
LSU has won 5 consecutive games vs Florida, 3-0 at home and 2-0 in Gainesville. Over the years LSU has performed well vs the Gators on the road, surprising since they rarely get many Tiger fans for games there.
Posted by GruntbyAssociation
Member since Jul 2013
6629 posts
Posted on 6/18/24 at 10:33 pm to
11-1
Posted by MikeEhrmantraut
Anchorage, Alaska
Member since Nov 2020
1001 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 12:02 am to
6-6. Defense is going to be a tough watch.
Posted by Viking5589
Dallas,Tx
Member since Dec 2012
73 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 12:24 am to
And what, pray tell is the “scientific reasoning and your scoring system” behind this “predicting” ?? Throwing darts ?? Vegas has them favored in every game except A&M. I’m pretty sure they will lose at least one game. Over/under is 9 1/2 for LSU. And WHERE is it written Alabama will be great?? And IF you truly believe in “your system” you can make a LOT of money in Vegas. Fire away.
Posted by Jenar Boy
Elsewhere
Member since Aug 2013
13547 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 1:43 am to
USC (N)- 45-34
Nicholls- 52-13
@S. Carolina- 31-17
UCLA-- 38-24
S. Alabama-- 55-13
Bye
Ole Miss- 27-30
@Arky-- 34-17
@Aggy- 27-20
Bye
Bama-- 27-24
@Florida-- 35-20
Vandy- 45-17
Oklahoma-- 38-24
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
6785 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 8:58 am to
quote:

And what, pray tell is the “scientific reasoning and your scoring system” behind this “predicting” ?? Throwing darts ?? Vegas has them favored in every game except A&M. I’m pretty sure they will lose at least one game. Over/under is 9 1/2 for LSU. And WHERE is it written Alabama will be great?? And IF you truly believe in “your system” you can make a LOT of money in Vegas. Fire away.
Who pissed in your oatmeal today?

It's not difficult to assign a winning percentage to a point spread.

For example, some sites suggest that a 0 to 1.5 point spread is a 50% chance to win, a 2 to 4 point spread is a 55% chance to win, anything over 20 points is a 95% chance to win, etc. Accordingly, LSU has a 55% chance to win the Ole Miss game and a 45% chance to win the Texas A&M game.

Once a percentage is assigned to each game, those percentages are added to determine a win total. It ain't rocket science.

I don't think my method is more accurate than anything in Vegas. My post is just a view to a method.
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