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re: We matchup very well with Bama

Posted on 10/21/18 at 2:42 pm to
Posted by WilliamTaylor21
2720 Arse Whipping Avenue
Member since Dec 2013
35931 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

Their only weakness is the secondary.

1. Alabama has the worst run defense they have had in almost a decade.
2018: 907 rushing yards (3.54 ypc) in 8 games
2017: 1326 yards (2.72 ypc) in 14 games
2016: 959 yards (2.01 ypc) in 15 games
2015: 1136 yards (2.43 ypc) in 15 games
2014: 1434 yards (3.17 ypc) in 14 games
2013: 1381 yards (3.32 ypc) in 13 games
2012: 1069 yards (2.43 ypc) in 14 games
2011: 938 yards (2.43 ypc) in 13 games

In 8 games against a terrible schedule, they have given up similar rushing yards as some teams gave up in full seasons.


2. Alabama's secondary, they are currently ranked 52nd in the country. And the best QB they have played against was Kellen Mond...


3. Alabama's rush offense. They have had one running back go for 100+ yards all season, and they have faced 6 defenses ranked outside the top 90. The only defense they have faced inside the top 50 (Texas A&M), they ran for only 108 yards on 30 carries. LSU has two backs with more rushing yards than their leading rusher, and LSU has played some of the best rush defenses in college football.


4. Alabama's special teams. One of their kickers has made 66% of his kicks, the other 50%, with four extra points missed. Their punter is near last in average punt distance (18 punts, 34 yards per punt).


If I had to guess you have not watched much, if any, Alabama football all year, and you look at only the final score of their games. Their QB is better, but they are worse at virtually every other position this year.

Just a reminder, they have played:
2-5 Louisville
2-6 Arkansas
3-4 ULL
3-4 Tennessee
4-3 Arkansas State
4-3 Missouri
5-3 Ole Miss
5-2 Texas A&M


Posted by lsu2006
BR
Member since Feb 2004
39983 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

I’d take Burrow and our WRs or Tua and there’s

Oh wow
Posted by Brazos
Member since Oct 2013
20362 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 2:43 pm to
Take off them blinders man.
Posted by TigerKnights
Member since Jun 2011
3276 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 2:45 pm to
Damn that's even more overrated than I thought. Wow.
Posted by Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
6777 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 2:45 pm to
I just wonder if we can score enough points. We will slow them down but we can’t expect to stop them entirely. Ensminger comes out with BS conservative playcalling and we can get in trouble quick
Posted by lsu2006
BR
Member since Feb 2004
39983 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 2:45 pm to
The stats are what they are. But I can’t help but think we should consider the fact that they usually only have to try for a quarter or maybe a half until the game is out of reach.
Posted by LSUKNUT
Naples, Florida
Member since Jun 2007
2315 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 2:46 pm to
Bama’s Biggest weakness is the fact they’ve played hot garbage, pansies this year and haven’t been tested.

LSU on the other hand.....
Posted by JakeFromStateFarm
*wears khakis
Member since Jun 2012
11927 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

34-17 LSU


Put the crack pipe down
Posted by Big EZ Tiger
Member since Jul 2010
24276 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

We will be a heavy underdog with very little to no pressure.

In theory that's true, but history has shown that Bama doesn't even need to win their division to make the playoff while LSU has 1 loss and the only way to make it to the SECCG is to beat Bama. So we have pressure becaue we're not a program with zero expectations.
Posted by Big EZ Tiger
Member since Jul 2010
24276 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

Tua with only a slight edge over Burrows?

You’ve lost your mind.


He does this every week...always picks LSU to win by double digits.
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
28504 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

other than QB and WR where I give a slight edge to Bama (and that’s debatable

quote:

34-17 LSU

Sounds mighty familiar to your UF predictions
Posted by olgoi khorkhoi
priapism survivor
Member since May 2011
14893 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

When looking at unit breakdowns, other than QB and WR where I give a slight edge to Bama (and that’s debatable), I see us with the advantage in every other category





Okay, I’m listening, make the case.
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33794 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

34-17 LSU



Pretty sure that'd be the worst loss in terms of point margin in the Saban era at Alabama.

It'll be something like a 5 point win if it happens.

Appreciate the dedication to the troll game though.
This post was edited on 10/21/18 at 3:14 pm
Posted by earl keese
A Thousand Miles from Nowhere
Member since Jan 2014
7027 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 3:22 pm to
quote:

34-17 LSU


I believe we have enough talent to beat Alabama. But that depends on which LSU offense shows up in my opinion.

If the offense that played the Georgia game shows up, an offense that was productive for the entire 60 minutes of the game, we stand a pretty good chance of winning.

But if last night's offense shows up, one that plays good for a quarter then disappears for a couple of quarters shows up. It might be a long night.

And last night's offense has shown up in damn near every game this year.
Posted by ImayGoLesMiles
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Feb 2015
12709 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 3:26 pm to
Look. It is the same thing that everyone said before the uga game. Who has Bama played this year so far? Not a damn soul. We will by far be the best team they have played and have the athletes and depth in the secondary to compete with them. They won't be able to simply run a fly route and be wide open to throw the ball and stroll into the endzone. That won't happen against LSU. We match up well against anybody. We hAve proven that this season by our schedule. People believin that Bama is unbeatable are dense. They are beatable, they just have to play a team that had the athletes they have on the oppositems side. Geaux tigers.
Posted by ImayGoLesMiles
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Feb 2015
12709 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 3:28 pm to
We have the athletes on defense to stop the run, and stop the pass. We will play press coverage for a lot of the game and put pressure on tua. He won't be able to just sit back in the pocket and take his time and wait for a receiver to come open. Aranda is about to put some medicine on their asses, just watch.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
30672 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

Their only weakness is the secondary.



Not true, they look as soft on the center of the D-line as I've seen a Saban Bama team. They are #33 in rush defense, #29 in pass defense.

As a comparison, LSU is #26 in rush defense, Moo State #19, Miami #11. Moo and Miami also have better pass defenses than Bama.

The biggest issue will be can we stop their offense, because they still have a really good defense and we don't exactly have a quick score, high powered offense.
Posted by ForeverEllisHugh
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2016
14861 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 3:39 pm to
quote:

But if last night's offense shows up, one that plays good for a quarter then disappears for a couple of quarters shows up. It might be a long night.


I can absolutely guarantee that last night's offense will not show up. That's because while it was boring and pedestrian, it was an intentional response to the elements and most importantly the opponent. They had an elite pass rush and a secondary that was impressive.

On the other hand, Fitz could not throw to the right team. Add in the miserable conditions, and it was absolutely the right call to go conservative with the lead and not risk a strip sack or big INT return. Because that's the only way State was getting back into the game.
Posted by cctiger89
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2018
1187 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 3:45 pm to
I'm a Tiger fan through and through but why are so many people opposed to addmiting when we are truly an underdog? It's okay to admit a dam team is good. You don't have to run for it, hell if anything wouldn't it be better to say we are playing the best team in college so if we do beat them we can say we beat the best?

To sit here and act like we have the advantage is fricking dumb. Be Realistic. They have a much better offense and their defensive front is much better than our line, quit the lying and comfort talk. Look at facts and then look for ways to improve and do better in the areas we are better at. You think the coaches are filling the players heads with bullshite like "o they aren't that good"
Get the frick out of here, they are men and are gonna be forward and real.

Can LSU win ? Of course
Is it gonna be easy ? Nope
Are the cards stacked vs lsu? Big time

If you think for a second we are gonna run through them then you are in for a very long Saturday come gameday.

Personally I think it's either a blowout by Bama or a 3 point win for us.
This post was edited on 10/21/18 at 5:34 pm
Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
79349 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 3:48 pm to
quote:

WilliamTaylor21


Thanks for the write up
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