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re: WCWS preview and predictions LSU softball

Posted on 6/2/17 at 6:07 pm to
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
82242 posts
Posted on 6/2/17 at 6:07 pm to
Bump.
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
82242 posts
Posted on 6/2/17 at 8:34 pm to
well that was a disaster of a game
Posted by Bhs83
Member since Mar 2016
548 posts
Posted on 6/2/17 at 10:09 pm to
i been away from internet, tomorrow i be back in Kenna and will have time to respond to the posts made about OBP and slappers. No time tonight.
Posted by Tigerbait357
Member since Jun 2011
69835 posts
Posted on 6/2/17 at 10:10 pm to
Definitely didn't go well. Although i thought it shows where this program needs to take its next steps.

Nothing to be ashamed of at all. Florida when they play to their potential are practically unbeatable


We just need to be way better offensively. It's not a knock on the players but it's true
Posted by Bhs83
Member since Mar 2016
548 posts
Posted on 6/2/17 at 11:01 pm to
This team needs an occasional butt kicking to get them going again.
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
82242 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 8:59 am to
quote:

This team needs an occasional butt kicking to get them going again.




i'd have preferred that if needed after going 2-0!
Posted by Bhs83
Member since Mar 2016
548 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 10:52 am to
Todays predictions

Toss up games but...

Oregon beats Baylor then loses to Lsu tonight

UCLA beats aTm and then beats washington tonight



Uc
Posted by Bhs83
Member since Mar 2016
548 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 3:46 pm to
I dont have access to the internet, I am in the boonies now. I did see the game though.

In response to Mulerider....

Like I said, if OBP was the most important thing, then there would be an award for it. The reason it is not is because it has more to do with the pitcher than the batter, even though the batter gets the statistical bump, its the pitcher who must throw four balls, and he doesnt have to. That doesnt mean the batter has nothing to do with it, but he is secondary when it comes to walks, the pitcher walks the batter, the batter doesnt walk the pitcher. Sure, the batter can work the pitcher, but the walk results from four balls or a hit by pitch.

The purpose of a hypothetical is to force the logical outplay of a theory. The hypothetical I gave you was a game situation where the pitcher has not walked anyone. Those who think the OBP is most important try to push the OBP into the picture because you think the batter is more the reason for a walk than a pitcher, or just as much.

I say this with charity....if you'd pick the .330 hitter with a .430 OBP over a .425 hitter with a .425 OBP in a game when the pitcher has walked nobody, I think you crazy …. again, I say that with charity..

Pitchers walk two or three people per game/

That means of the (at least) 21 batters (usually 30 or so), two will walk. This is why it is silly to think that the OBP expands across the whole spectrum of the game and is dependent more on the hitter than the pitcher.

Some who push the OBP over the BA make it sound like a pitcher who hasnt walked anyone will walk someone with a .450 OBP because of something the batter does.

You said, “It is not solely dependent on the pitcher”. What I meant was that unless the pitcher throws four balls, there is no walk. Regardless of what the batter's savvy may do to a pitcher, the pitcher has to throw four balls for a walk, unless he hits the batter. That was my point.


In response to Sasquatch Smash, you say it looks like the batter has plenty to do with the OBP,,, yes but not as much as the pitcher. If you want to know what the batter has most to do with, look at the batting average, and that is the reason why OBP is not an awarded statistic. OBP is dependent on walks, mostly, in terms of being higher than the batting average. Sacrifice flies are very rare. Jaquish has 62 walks and 1 sacrifice fly. See?

While the OBP is not ignored by MLB, it is probably the fifth most important statistic, not to the point where the OBP leader is recognized, and that should be the TELL-ALL right there. The batting champion has the highest batting average, not the highest OBP. Arguing that the OBP is more important puts one in a small group of people, definitely outside the realm of baseball gods.

((I know this is running long for a response, but I wanted to touch on a few other things))....

About walks.... if I had someone that was working the pitcher, like Wade Boggs and Tony Gwynn used to do, I am ok with it. But if I felt that my batter was getting in the batters box aiming at drawing a walk, among all other things, I'd probably bench that player. Those are the kind that let marginal pitches go, hoping they will be called balls, and usually end up striking out.

Look at ULL, how many of those girls get up there for a walk? They are confident enough that they can get on base by hitting the ball hard. They turn their hips into the ball, throw the back elbow downward and the front elbow upward..... power generation right there. Just like a flathander gets his power from pulling the back elbow downward. Thats why a team with middle of the road pitching can beat any team in the country on a good day.

As for slappers, as the season toils on and you move into elite opponent territory, slappers become less proficient. Tennessee's all time career BA leader, Chevanne, was like 2 for 13 in the championship series. Slapping is like running the option in football. The better a team is, the less likely an option will work, and that is why you dont see offenses in the NFL running the traditional option that you see in college football.

We got one coach on here who says we should bunt on Paige Parker. .. Agreed. Wear her out. Bunt, force her to run up and get the ball. Slapping has its place and time, and that window, where slapping works, most certainly shrinks as defenses get better and better. I am with the folks who would use a sometimes slapper for 1, 2 and 9th hole batters... maybe not second ,, maybe 1 and 9, but only if they could swing away if the situation requires it. I would be scared to have a slap-only batter in my starting line up.

Someone said that Oklahoma won a natty with a bunch of slappers...no .. from 1-9, every single one of those girls had 6 or 7 home runs, and none of them were merely tap and go slappers.

Slapping has its place, like bunting does. Dont throw it out altogether, but dont make the mistake of spending all your roster spots on slappers. Next year, if we dont have power hitters coming in, our lineup is going to look really skimpy.. they will call us the Small Ball Tigers.
Posted by Tiger1988
Houston
Member since May 2016
28234 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 4:35 pm to
Looks like it's going to be Oregon and their butts. They are up 5-0 top of 5th.
This post was edited on 6/3/17 at 4:39 pm
Posted by Bhs83
Member since Mar 2016
548 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 4:38 pm to
Yep
Posted by Tigerbait357
Member since Jun 2011
69835 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 4:45 pm to
I think Oregon is very beatable.

Not the best offense either but we need to be on our game to take care of business
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42832 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 4:51 pm to
Baylor making a comeback down 5-2 still batting in the 5th
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42832 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 4:51 pm to
5-4 now
This post was edited on 6/3/17 at 4:53 pm
Posted by Tigerbait357
Member since Jun 2011
69835 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 4:55 pm to
Hahahahaha
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
25441 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 4:56 pm to
Damn. Two low strikes called in that at-bat.
Posted by double d
Amarillo by morning
Member since Jun 2004
16878 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 4:58 pm to
Well the umps blew an out call at 2nd early in the inning now these ankle high strikes......where do they find these incompetent umps.
Posted by Tigerbait357
Member since Jun 2011
69835 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 5:05 pm to
YMCA down the road
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42832 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 5:30 pm to
7-4 Oregon Baylor batting bot 7th person on 1st 0 outs
This ump apparently does not want to call strikes now
This post was edited on 6/3/17 at 5:32 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42832 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 5:32 pm to
single to right 1st and 2nd for Baylor 0 outs
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42832 posts
Posted on 6/3/17 at 5:33 pm to
single to left center bases loaded 0 outs
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