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re: TCU VS LSU PREDICTION

Posted on 7/24/13 at 9:15 am to
Posted by 3xlsugrad
Member since Feb 2012
11037 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 9:15 am to
Purple & Yellow - 27
Purple & White - 29
Posted by cajunjj
Madison, AL
Member since May 2008
7427 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 9:16 am to
LSU 21 TCU 14.
Posted by sunnydaze
Member since Jan 2010
29989 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 9:17 am to
27-16 LSU
Posted by Slip Screen
Tomball, Texas
Member since Jan 2005
2107 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 9:32 am to
35-13 LSU
Posted by Williamf30
Member since Feb 2013
44 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 9:39 am to
LSU-38
TCU-17

I'm completely buying in to the offensive hype. I would love to see us come out on the first drive and score throwing the ball.
Posted by MetryTyger
Metro NOLA, LA
Member since Jan 2004
15587 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 9:41 am to
LSU 23
TCU 13
Posted by jhhingle
New Orleans
Member since Oct 2007
3108 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 9:43 am to
28-24 Da Tigahs in exciting finish Blue with TD run last minute and Frogs driving for winning TD in wanning seconds as ball stripped away and recovered by AJ (freak) for the W!
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
13563 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 9:51 am to
quote:

9 starters return for one of the best defensive minds in college.


And of those 9 starters, how many would start at LSU? They will be playing against an LSU offense that is bigger, faster, stronger. Its just a fact.

31-10 LSU
This post was edited on 7/24/13 at 9:52 am
Posted by JBeam
Guns,Germs & Steel
Member since Jan 2011
68377 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 9:54 am to
quote:

They will be playing against an LSU offense that is bigger, faster, stronger. Its just a fact.

Posted by Choctaw
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
77774 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 9:59 am to
anyone that says we win by less than a TD may have a learning disability
Posted by jhhingle
New Orleans
Member since Oct 2007
3108 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 10:20 am to
Anyone says we win going away not watch last season; just don't think offense ready to be called juggernaut and still young replacements D; Frogs will be pumped for this in their home state and only +5 dogs in Vegas. Tigers win this game but still think pretty close; hey , prove me wrong and bet the house spot the 5 for easy money LOL!
Posted by JJ27
Member since Sep 2004
60263 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 10:31 am to
So Vegas has a learning disability?
Posted by Mahootney
Lovin' My German Footprint
Member since Sep 2008
11873 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 10:32 am to
Some stats for predictions: By year, average scores for LSU and Opponent; Both Overall & (vs Top 25)

2009: 24.8 - 16.2, (13.75 - 17.25), 4 Top 25
2010: 29.7 - 18.2, (26.9 - 23.9), 7 Top 25
2011: 35.7 - 11.3, (31.6 - 14.3), 9 Top 25
2012: 29.8 - 17.5, (21.8 - 19.5), 6 Top 25

4 Year Average: 30.0 - 15.8, (23.5 - 18.7) 6.5 Top 25 Opponents

The 2011 defense was by far the best, but the other 3 years were only slightly above the 4 year average with 17.3 points per game (20.2 vs Top 25).

- If we assume that the 2013 defense is comparable to the typical defense (09, 11, 12), this would indicate that TCU should score somewhere between 17-21 points statistically.

When looking at the offense through the years, again, 2011 was special. However, the other 3 years were only slightly below the 4-year average with 28.1 points per game (20.8 vs Top 25).

- If we assume the offense isn't any worse than any of those years, LSU should score at least 21-28 points.
So, I'd say that it's safe to assume that LSU will win the game.

In opening games,
2009: 31-23 vs UW, 2010: 30-24 vs #18 UNC, 2011: 40-27 vs #3 UO, 2012: 41-14 vs UNTx

The opening game averages fall on the upper end of the season averages: 35.5 - 22.0, (35.0 - 25.5) 2 Top 25.

All things considered, I'll pick LSU 30-17.
Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
79025 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 10:35 am to
quote:

Mahootney


Great post dude. I think 30-10 LSU
Posted by Mahootney
Lovin' My German Footprint
Member since Sep 2008
11873 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 10:38 am to
I saw Vegas had a 5 pt spread on the game.... looks like they are using the 4-year average vs Top 25 opponents.
Posted by Choctaw
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
77774 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 10:50 am to
quote:

So Vegas has a learning disability?


yes.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 12:30 pm to
It's not going to be a blow out. TCU's defense is always strong against the run and the offenses that give their defense trouble are strong passing offenses with QBs that can get rid of the ball to neutralize the pass rush. Until LSU can prove to me that their passing game is legit I am expecting a tight defensive struggle of a game.
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
26627 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

All things considered, I'll pick LSU 30-17.


my guess was 31-17 LSU

2 TD runs, two passing TDs

I think we start up the Blue and Hilliard show early again thios year and Mett goes over top for close to 250. I see Pachall going 2 TDs in the first half. Chavis adjusts and the go scoreless in the fourth. We go 21 in the first half and Patterson adjusts so it's 24-17 til late in the fourth. We score a TD with less than 5 minutes to go.

Leslie over over 100, Blue over 100, team goes over 400 yards offense.
Posted by Clark W Griswold
THE USA
Member since Sep 2012
10509 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 3:50 pm to
Anyone who thinks we blow them out has a learning disability.
Posted by Mahootney
Lovin' My German Footprint
Member since Sep 2008
11873 posts
Posted on 7/24/13 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

It's not going to be a blow out. TCU's defense is always strong against the run
Stronger than say, UGA, UF, Alabama, Auburn?
I'm not saying that these guys aren't good.... they may be, but I'm not going to pretend like they are better than the elite SEC defenses we see year in and year out.
quote:

Anyone who thinks we blow them out has a learning disability.
Based on what evidence?
I recall very similar statements the last time we played in Dallas.... how did that one turn out?
This post was edited on 7/24/13 at 6:23 pm
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