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re: Talent solves the world's problem on offense

Posted on 11/27/18 at 10:42 pm to
Posted by PawnMaster
Down Yonder
Member since Nov 2014
1652 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 10:42 pm to
quote:

Saban can't win NCs without 5 star recruits. We are striving to win NCs and we do not have enough overall talent to do so.


No one is winning a National Championship without elite talent. And I totally agree BAMA is more talented in the trenches. That’s where the talent gap is and always has been. With that being said, the talent gap isn’t “29-0” big. Our offensive game plan in that game was far inferior to BAMA’s.

Do you think Tua and Alabama’s offense would be having the year they’re having if they were coached by Orgeron and Ensminger? I do not. They’d still be good, but not the level they’re currently at.

My point is, our coaching is holding back our talent, not the other way around.
This post was edited on 11/27/18 at 10:44 pm
Posted by Bayoufightingtiger
Member since Aug 2011
4608 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 10:50 pm to
To a certain extent. we should find better ways of scoring against Bama. We have has success moving the ball at times but not scoring. Yes are could do better but there is no OC out there that could have this LSU team undefeated right now. This team finished ranked much higher than the experts believed.
Posted by lostinbr
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2017
12585 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 11:21 pm to
quote:

Why not just take the recruiting rankings every year and declare the team with the best class champion? After all, it's all about talent

Uhh except that more often than not, that is exactly how it works. I'm tired of having to argue this point around here but fine, here we go again...

Here are the 3-year average recruiting class rankings for the national championship winners and losers going bck to 2007:
Year - NC Winner Rank / NC Loser Rank
2017 - 1.00 / 5.00
2016 - 12.00 / 1.00
2015 - 1.00 / 13.33
2014 - 3.33 / 18.00
2013 - 5.67 / 8.67
2012 - 2.00 / 13.67
2011 - 2.67 / 6.00
2010 - 16.67 / 25.33
2009 - 6.00 / 5.67
2008 - 2.67 / 11.00
2007 - 9.00 / 57.00

And since the biggest factor affecting whether or not any team from the SEC West can get to a national championship is Bama, let's look at the recruiting class rankings for Bama vs. LSU since 2007:
Year - Alabama / LSU
2018 - 5 / 15
2017 - 1 / 7
2016 - 1 / 2
2015 - 1 / 5
2014 - 1 / 2
2013 - 1 / 6
2012 - 1 / 13
2011 - 1 / 8
2010 - 4 / 9
2009 - 1 / 1
2008 - 3 / 13
2007 - 12 / 5

Recruiting is everything in college football. I’d bet Saban’s success at Bama since the GotC is 10% X’s and O’s, 15% team discipline, and 75% recruiting #1 classes in 8 of the last 9 years.
This post was edited on 11/27/18 at 11:33 pm
Posted by Rickdaddy4188
Murfreesboro,TN
Member since Aug 2011
47984 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 1:54 am to
quote:

The same plays he calls at LSU would work at Alabama. They have More talent they everyone else and would still put up points. They are undefeated with a nobody as OC. They win every year with anyone at OC. The reason is they have more talent.




This isnt true.if it was lsu would never have a problem on offense against scrub teams and we do. The talent gap between our rent wins and lsu is bigger than the talent gap between lsu and bama.
Bama wouldn't be close to the best offense in cfb like bama is now.
Ensminger runs outdated concepts and rarely calls plays that put his players in a position to succeed.

He took decent offensive talent at lsu and made them one of the worst offenses in cfb.

Locksley took over one of the worst offensive programs in cfb at Illinois and had them in the top 40 3 years later.

Yes talent is a factor in success of an offense but its not the end all. If it were our offense would never struggle against rent a wins.
This post was edited on 11/28/18 at 2:04 am
Posted by bostitch
Member since Apr 2016
777 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 2:10 pm to
Maybe you have to keep repeating yourself because the reasoning is just an easy way to justify O's performance.

If Alabama and LSU had the same roster, LSU would lose every time. Alabama has lost to lesser teams. Hell, scoring on them would be an improvement from where we are today. And using them as a gateway to the playoffs is disingenuous, 11-1 with a close loss to Bama absolutely gets us in every year.

Look at LSU's recruiting ranking over the last 6 or 7 years, averages top 10 peaking at 2 the year fournette came in. Then look at the teams LSU loses to or even ones that score on Bama. Troy, A&M, Florida, etc. Does that recruiting ranking argument hold water then? If it doesn't work both ways it doesn't work at all. Just looking at the numbers you posted seems like NC title losers are routinely outside of the top 10 in rankings and LSU doesn't sniff the playoffs.

At a certain point to get these recruiting classes LSU will have to be an underdog and win, which is demonstrably possible. Unfortunately our coaching staff apparently needs a stacked NFL roster to do it.
Posted by HueyP
Lubbock
Member since Nov 2008
3155 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 2:14 pm to
I totally agree.
Signed
Curley Hallman
Posted by Brazos
Member since Oct 2013
20557 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 2:24 pm to
You see this simply isn’t true because Mullen and Jimbo would have just made different adjustments to counter whatever different style attack LSU presented. I agree they would have helped but to automatically assume we woukd have won is foolish. Us LSU fans just aren’t used to adjustments on offense which is sad.
This post was edited on 11/28/18 at 2:37 pm
Posted by Green Chili Tiger
Lurking the Tin Foil Hat Board
Member since Jul 2009
50290 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 2:25 pm to
Guess how many points our OC has against Bama in 2 games.

Go ahead, guess.
Posted by nvasil1
Hellinois
Member since Oct 2009
17384 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

Talent solves the problems period. Some people are just obsessed with coaching.

I take it you didn't want Les fired then. Just needed Orgeron as recruiting coordinator for a couple more years to help bring the talent back to an elite level on the lines. Then we would've been golden.
Posted by lostinbr
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2017
12585 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

Maybe you have to keep repeating yourself because the reasoning is just an easy way to justify O's performance.

I’m not trying to justify anything. Recruiting is part of the coach’s job, no? I am trying to get people to realize that recruiting is a bigger factor than offensive scheme.
quote:

If Alabama and LSU had the same roster, LSU would lose every time.

And you know this based on what evidence, exactly?
quote:

Look at LSU's recruiting ranking over the last 6 or 7 years, averages top 10 peaking at 2 the year fournette came in.

You’re right, since the GotC LSU averages a #7 recruiting class with a high of #2 (twice). In the same span, Bama averages a #2 class (1.5 really) with #1 classes 6/7 years.
quote:

Then look at the teams LSU loses to or even ones that score on Bama. Troy, A&M, Florida, etc. Does that recruiting ranking argument hold water then?

Florida averages a #10 class over the same time period, during which we are 4-3 against them. Texas A&M averages a #12 class and we beat them seven times in a row followed by a 7OT loss. You think those seven losses in a row were all due to scheme? I mean they are only averaging 5 spots behind us in recruiting after all.

Yeah, we lost to Troy. Inexcusable. No, the best team does not always win. But it’s an outlier. If we played them 7 straight times like Florida and aTm we would be 6-1.
quote:

Just looking at the numbers you posted seems like NC title losers are routinely outside of the top 10 in rankings and LSU doesn't sniff the playoffs.

Here are those NC title losers you’re referring to, since 2011:
- Notre Dame (Independent)
- Oregon (Pac-12)
- Clemson (ACC)
Which brings me to my next point..
quote:

11-1 with a close loss to Bama absolutely gets us in every year.

Oh, is that all we need to do? It’s a hell of a lot easier to go 11-1 in the ACC, Pac-12, or even SECe than in the SECw with an annual east matchup against Florida. Serious question - how many 11+ win seasons do you think LSU would have since 2012 if we played Clemson’s schedule every year?

In that time frame, an SEC school has finished with 11+ regular season wins 11 times: Alabama (7x), Georgia (3x, never in a year they played Bama in regular season), and Auburn (1x, kick-6 season).

At the end of the day, if we want to get back to being in the title hunt we have to win (or at least play in) the SEC championship. If we want to win the SEC we have to win our division. If we want to win our division we have to beat Alabama. If we want to beat Alabama on the field, we have to out-recruit them.

Again, it’s the coach’s job to recruit. I just think we should be asking ourselves how we can get #1 classes on a routine basis instead of bickering about the team’s screen game.
Posted by Bayoufightingtiger
Member since Aug 2011
4608 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 7:10 pm to
That's right. Out recruiting Bama gives us the best chance to win. Schemes only take you so far. Every other team with great coaches try to scheme Bama only to get pounded by Bama who has superior talent. People keep briinging up teams who scored on Bama but the end result was a loss and still a pounding.
Posted by Gus007
TN
Member since Jul 2018
14001 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 7:24 pm to
There are not 70+ teams that played LSU's schedule nor played against the defenses.
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