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Started By
Message
Simulations have us winning the natty
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:16 am
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:16 am
shorturl.at/ijoKT
Peach Bowl
LSU 38 - 33 Oklahoma
shorturl.at/kmMN1
Fiesta Bowl
OSU 35 - 16 Clemson
shorturl.at/bFUV4
National Title
LSU 45 - 38 Ohio State
shorturl.at/jvGU1
Granted this is just a series of simulations based on the season up to this point and the stats each team has put up so far. I will say though that its a pretty thorough system. The stat lines for each game individually are in the link but those are just 1 game out of the series of simulations. What I find way more interesting is that LSU beat Oklahoma by an average score of 40.1-37.7 over the course 1648 simulations, winning 54.7% of the time. Ohio State beat Clemson by an average score of 29.5-25.9 over the course of 3691 simulations, winning 58.4 % of the time. And lastly, LSU beat Ohio State by an insanely tight average score of 31.3-30.1 over the course of 2371 simulations which puts LSU beating OSU 50.9% of the time.
Obviously these are all just made up numbers and projections but if you like stats and projections as much as I do, enjoy.
Just a heads up, if you use the links under the games it will give you a different score every time. It's just pulling stats and scores from 1 of the tons of simulations.
Peach Bowl
LSU 38 - 33 Oklahoma
shorturl.at/kmMN1
Fiesta Bowl
OSU 35 - 16 Clemson
shorturl.at/bFUV4
National Title
LSU 45 - 38 Ohio State
shorturl.at/jvGU1
Granted this is just a series of simulations based on the season up to this point and the stats each team has put up so far. I will say though that its a pretty thorough system. The stat lines for each game individually are in the link but those are just 1 game out of the series of simulations. What I find way more interesting is that LSU beat Oklahoma by an average score of 40.1-37.7 over the course 1648 simulations, winning 54.7% of the time. Ohio State beat Clemson by an average score of 29.5-25.9 over the course of 3691 simulations, winning 58.4 % of the time. And lastly, LSU beat Ohio State by an insanely tight average score of 31.3-30.1 over the course of 2371 simulations which puts LSU beating OSU 50.9% of the time.
Obviously these are all just made up numbers and projections but if you like stats and projections as much as I do, enjoy.
Just a heads up, if you use the links under the games it will give you a different score every time. It's just pulling stats and scores from 1 of the tons of simulations.
This post was edited on 12/9/19 at 9:40 am
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:17 am to sneezeprupandgold
LSU's winning it all.
It's science!
It's science!
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:18 am to sneezeprupandgold
These computers also had Alabama ranked #2 ahead of LSU as early as last week
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:18 am to sneezeprupandgold
quote:
LSU 38 - 33 Oklahoma
That seems unlikely.
quote:
OSU 35 - 16 Clemson
As does this.
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:19 am to sneezeprupandgold
quote:I'm not seeing that.
OSU 35 - 16 Clemson
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:19 am to sneezeprupandgold
But...Will we pass the eye test doing it?
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:20 am to sneezeprupandgold
quote:
Fiesta Bowl
OSU 35 - 16 Clemson
.at/bFUV4
Nah.
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:21 am to Prominentwon
quote:
These computers also had Alabama ranked #2 ahead of LSU as early as last week
Negative
That was a completely different algorithm (FPI) and is not meant to be a ranking of teams.
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:28 am to sneezeprupandgold
quote:
The average score is Louisiana State (2020): 40.0 - Oklahoma (2020): 37.5, decided by < 5 pts 345 times (19.6%)
I'd take this. I don't care what the score is as long as we have 1 more point than them.
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