Page 1
Page 1
Started By
Message

Simulations have us winning the natty

Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:16 am
Posted by sneezeprupandgold
Member since Oct 2019
18 posts
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:16 am
shorturl.at/ijoKT

Peach Bowl
LSU 38 - 33 Oklahoma
shorturl.at/kmMN1

Fiesta Bowl
OSU 35 - 16 Clemson
shorturl.at/bFUV4

National Title
LSU 45 - 38 Ohio State
shorturl.at/jvGU1

Granted this is just a series of simulations based on the season up to this point and the stats each team has put up so far. I will say though that its a pretty thorough system. The stat lines for each game individually are in the link but those are just 1 game out of the series of simulations. What I find way more interesting is that LSU beat Oklahoma by an average score of 40.1-37.7 over the course 1648 simulations, winning 54.7% of the time. Ohio State beat Clemson by an average score of 29.5-25.9 over the course of 3691 simulations, winning 58.4 % of the time. And lastly, LSU beat Ohio State by an insanely tight average score of 31.3-30.1 over the course of 2371 simulations which puts LSU beating OSU 50.9% of the time.

Obviously these are all just made up numbers and projections but if you like stats and projections as much as I do, enjoy.

Just a heads up, if you use the links under the games it will give you a different score every time. It's just pulling stats and scores from 1 of the tons of simulations.
This post was edited on 12/9/19 at 9:40 am
Posted by BayouCowboy
Member since Dec 2012
14415 posts
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:17 am to
LSU's winning it all.

It's science!
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
93721 posts
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:18 am to
These computers also had Alabama ranked #2 ahead of LSU as early as last week
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:18 am to
quote:

LSU 38 - 33 Oklahoma



That seems unlikely.

quote:

OSU 35 - 16 Clemson


As does this.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123929 posts
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:19 am to
quote:

OSU 35 - 16 Clemson
I'm not seeing that.
Posted by Paluka
One State Over
Member since Dec 2010
10763 posts
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:19 am to
But...Will we pass the eye test doing it?

Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
33001 posts
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:20 am to
quote:

Fiesta Bowl
OSU 35 - 16 Clemson
.at/bFUV4


Nah.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162230 posts
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:21 am to
quote:

These computers also had Alabama ranked #2 ahead of LSU as early as last week



Negative

That was a completely different algorithm (FPI) and is not meant to be a ranking of teams.

Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
18286 posts
Posted on 12/9/19 at 9:28 am to
quote:

The average score is Louisiana State (2020): 40.0 - Oklahoma (2020): 37.5, decided by < 5 pts 345 times (19.6%)


I'd take this. I don't care what the score is as long as we have 1 more point than them.
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 1Next pagelast page
refresh

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram