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re: SEC likely only gets 1 team in the playoff this year...
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:47 pm to CalRipkenJr
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:47 pm to CalRipkenJr
quote:
I don't see OU losing (Undefeated Big 12 Champ), either tOSU or Wisc will win out (Undefeated B1G champ), Clemson will run through their JV schedule (Undefeated ACC champ)!
Nobody sees it until it actually happens. And it happens nearly every year. 3 Power 5 undefeated teams at the end of the season is VERY RARE.
This post was edited on 10/15/19 at 9:48 pm
Posted on 10/15/19 at 10:58 pm to jbraua
quote:
Big XII will finish the season with the fewest ranked teams
based on what? What you say OKC "media"s is saying?
This post was edited on 10/15/19 at 11:04 pm
Posted on 10/15/19 at 11:11 pm to alumni95
If we lose a close game to Bama, the only realistic shot I see to get in is if 2-loss Texas defeats OU in the Big-12 title game.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 12:39 pm to H-Town Tiger
quote:
based on what? What you say OKC "media"s is saying?
Based on the remaining schedules. Baylor will drop out after OSU beats them this week. If OSU manages to crawl back into the rankings they’ll drop out again after OU beats them. The only ranked teams will be OU and Texas when the season finishes.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:30 pm to 225Tyga
quote:
Depends, if they decide to go with THE BEST 4 TEAMS. Then you will get more than 1 SEC team in.
You think Oklahoma and Ohio St couldn’t hold their own against anybody in the SEC?
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:34 pm to jbraua
quote:
Based on the remaining schedules. Baylor will drop out after OSU beats them this week. If OSU manages to crawl back into the rankings they’ll drop out again after OU beats them
You are acting like these are givens I mean it’s possible but it’s also possible someone will pull an upset or finish 9-3 even 8-4 could be ranked, all depends on the rest of country does.
You are taking a very myopic view and looking only at the Big XII which you’ve already decided was bad. look at the ACC who outside of Clemson will be ranked? Hell some have the AAC ranked ahead of the ACC. And What about the PAC 12 they have some good but not elite team it appears Someone has to 3rd, OU and Texas alone are a better 2 team combo then either the ACC and Pac 12
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:35 pm to CalRipkenJr
If LSU beats Bama and both teams win out afterwards, they'll both get in.
The Committee isn't leaving Bama out unfortunately.
The Committee isn't leaving Bama out unfortunately.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:40 pm to CalRipkenJr
Sorry Clemson Oklahoma and Ohio state lose a game. Every year everybody say these teams can’t lose and every year they lose. Only 2 P5 teams will be undefeated and one of them coming from the SEC. History and North Carolina back me.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:49 pm to CalRipkenJr
quote:
committee has to decide between a 2-loss SEC champion UF,
No way a 2 loss team gets into the CFP this year. A one loss Ohio st or Wisconsin team gets in before a 2 loss team.
quote:
God forbid but imagine UF winning that game,
If bama has one loss and this happens, bama gets in or a one loss team from another conf. It would be better for LSU to lose to bama in reg season and bama lose to a 2 loss fla. team in the SEC champ game. LSU would get in. No way a loss to a 2 loss team gets a team into the CFP. But if a one loss team does get into the CFP, no one loss team will have the resume' that LSU does. Unless that one loss is to anybody other than bama and bama loses to no one in the reg season. But, if Fla. wins out and wins the SEC game, they'd probably get into the CFP, even if LSU loses to bama.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 2:07 pm to CalRipkenJr
Have you done any statistical analysis to back that up? If Okla or Clem slip up once, they're out over a 1 loss non-sec champ team (meaning, us). Would a 1 loss, Wisc Big Ten champ get in? Let's say they wouldn't just for fun.
In that scenario it'd be Bama, Ohio St, Clem or OU, and us. What are the chances? Not that bad. Let's give Clem a 85% chance of running the table, we'll say the same for OU. OSU we'll say 80%? The odds of all three of those things happening: .85 * .85 * .850 = .578.
Meaning, If one of those teams slips up in the reg season or conf final, LSU wins every game but Bama, we'd get in. Odds of that in this hypothetical, about 42.2% chance.
There's a lot of assumptions in there but there's a ton of football to be played. I wouldn't be shocked at all if two SEC teams made it. I could see Ohio St and Wisc taking each other out. What if Texas goes to Big12 champ and beats OU? They're not jumping us.
That would be Bama, Clem, LSU, and either OU or OSU.
In that scenario it'd be Bama, Ohio St, Clem or OU, and us. What are the chances? Not that bad. Let's give Clem a 85% chance of running the table, we'll say the same for OU. OSU we'll say 80%? The odds of all three of those things happening: .85 * .85 * .850 = .578.
Meaning, If one of those teams slips up in the reg season or conf final, LSU wins every game but Bama, we'd get in. Odds of that in this hypothetical, about 42.2% chance.
There's a lot of assumptions in there but there's a ton of football to be played. I wouldn't be shocked at all if two SEC teams made it. I could see Ohio St and Wisc taking each other out. What if Texas goes to Big12 champ and beats OU? They're not jumping us.
That would be Bama, Clem, LSU, and either OU or OSU.
This post was edited on 10/16/19 at 2:09 pm
Posted on 10/16/19 at 2:22 pm to Kingofwheelock
History says it’s unlikely 4 P5 teams will be undefeated, 3 is rare. But Clemson has been in the playoffs 4 times and were unbeaten twice and had a loss twice. Better chance imo that the SEC Champ has a loss than Clemson.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 2:27 pm to mwade91383
quote:
Have you done any statistical analysis to back that up? If Okla or Clem slip up once, they're out over a 1 loss non-sec champ team
Clemson I agree could be out if they lose because their schedule is so bad but I’d worry about this status as defending champs and the fact they did schedule 2 SEC teams OOC.
I really don’t get why people keep saying OU would be out with a loss unless that loss is in the CCG. They’ve been in the last 2 years with the Big XII is not worse this year and is probably the 3rd best conference.
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