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re: SEC likely only gets 1 team in the playoff this year...

Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:47 pm to
Posted by alumni95
Member since Jun 2004
7587 posts
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:47 pm to
quote:

I don't see OU losing (Undefeated Big 12 Champ), either tOSU or Wisc will win out (Undefeated B1G champ), Clemson will run through their JV schedule (Undefeated ACC champ)!


Nobody sees it until it actually happens. And it happens nearly every year. 3 Power 5 undefeated teams at the end of the season is VERY RARE.
This post was edited on 10/15/19 at 9:48 pm
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59070 posts
Posted on 10/15/19 at 10:58 pm to
quote:

Big XII will finish the season with the fewest ranked teams



based on what? What you say OKC "media"s is saying?
This post was edited on 10/15/19 at 11:04 pm
Posted by root canal
West Monroe
Member since Dec 2007
1100 posts
Posted on 10/15/19 at 11:11 pm to
If we lose a close game to Bama, the only realistic shot I see to get in is if 2-loss Texas defeats OU in the Big-12 title game.
Posted by jbraua
Oklahoma City, OK
Member since Oct 2007
6790 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

based on what? What you say OKC "media"s is saying?


Based on the remaining schedules. Baylor will drop out after OSU beats them this week. If OSU manages to crawl back into the rankings they’ll drop out again after OU beats them. The only ranked teams will be OU and Texas when the season finishes.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59070 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

Based on what? Their two and a half ranked teams?


Here you go, conference rankings on ESPN. Big XII #3

Link
Posted by Howyouluhdat
On Fleek St
Member since Jan 2015
7318 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

Depends, if they decide to go with THE BEST 4 TEAMS. Then you will get more than 1 SEC team in.


You think Oklahoma and Ohio St couldn’t hold their own against anybody in the SEC?
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59070 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

Based on the remaining schedules. Baylor will drop out after OSU beats them this week. If OSU manages to crawl back into the rankings they’ll drop out again after OU beats them


You are acting like these are givens I mean it’s possible but it’s also possible someone will pull an upset or finish 9-3 even 8-4 could be ranked, all depends on the rest of country does.

You are taking a very myopic view and looking only at the Big XII which you’ve already decided was bad. look at the ACC who outside of Clemson will be ranked? Hell some have the AAC ranked ahead of the ACC. And What about the PAC 12 they have some good but not elite team it appears Someone has to 3rd, OU and Texas alone are a better 2 team combo then either the ACC and Pac 12
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:35 pm to
If LSU beats Bama and both teams win out afterwards, they'll both get in.

The Committee isn't leaving Bama out unfortunately.
Posted by Kingofwheelock
Maringouin
Member since Feb 2019
451 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:40 pm to
Sorry Clemson Oklahoma and Ohio state lose a game. Every year everybody say these teams can’t lose and every year they lose. Only 2 P5 teams will be undefeated and one of them coming from the SEC. History and North Carolina back me.
Posted by Tigers eyes
Member since Nov 2018
2649 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

committee has to decide between a 2-loss SEC champion UF,

No way a 2 loss team gets into the CFP this year. A one loss Ohio st or Wisconsin team gets in before a 2 loss team.
quote:

God forbid but imagine UF winning that game,

If bama has one loss and this happens, bama gets in or a one loss team from another conf. It would be better for LSU to lose to bama in reg season and bama lose to a 2 loss fla. team in the SEC champ game. LSU would get in. No way a loss to a 2 loss team gets a team into the CFP. But if a one loss team does get into the CFP, no one loss team will have the resume' that LSU does. Unless that one loss is to anybody other than bama and bama loses to no one in the reg season. But, if Fla. wins out and wins the SEC game, they'd probably get into the CFP, even if LSU loses to bama.
Posted by mwade91383
Washington DC
Member since Mar 2010
5637 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 2:07 pm to
Have you done any statistical analysis to back that up? If Okla or Clem slip up once, they're out over a 1 loss non-sec champ team (meaning, us). Would a 1 loss, Wisc Big Ten champ get in? Let's say they wouldn't just for fun.

In that scenario it'd be Bama, Ohio St, Clem or OU, and us. What are the chances? Not that bad. Let's give Clem a 85% chance of running the table, we'll say the same for OU. OSU we'll say 80%? The odds of all three of those things happening: .85 * .85 * .850 = .578.

Meaning, If one of those teams slips up in the reg season or conf final, LSU wins every game but Bama, we'd get in. Odds of that in this hypothetical, about 42.2% chance.

There's a lot of assumptions in there but there's a ton of football to be played. I wouldn't be shocked at all if two SEC teams made it. I could see Ohio St and Wisc taking each other out. What if Texas goes to Big12 champ and beats OU? They're not jumping us.

That would be Bama, Clem, LSU, and either OU or OSU.

This post was edited on 10/16/19 at 2:09 pm
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59070 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 2:22 pm to
History says it’s unlikely 4 P5 teams will be undefeated, 3 is rare. But Clemson has been in the playoffs 4 times and were unbeaten twice and had a loss twice. Better chance imo that the SEC Champ has a loss than Clemson.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59070 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

Have you done any statistical analysis to back that up? If Okla or Clem slip up once, they're out over a 1 loss non-sec champ team


Clemson I agree could be out if they lose because their schedule is so bad but I’d worry about this status as defending champs and the fact they did schedule 2 SEC teams OOC.

I really don’t get why people keep saying OU would be out with a loss unless that loss is in the CCG. They’ve been in the last 2 years with the Big XII is not worse this year and is probably the 3rd best conference.

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